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𝗢𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗝𝗣
In the Gujarat local body elections for Mehsana Municipal Corporation:
> 𝗕𝗝𝗣 𝗴𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗮 𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗮 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗻 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗝𝗣 𝗠𝗲𝗵𝘀𝗮𝗻𝗮 𝗼𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗲, who had been serving tea there for the last 28 years.
> His name is Rameshbhai Bheel. He is from a tribal Community.
> Today, he won the election.
> 𝗛𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗽𝗼𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗪𝗮𝗿𝗱 𝟭𝟯 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗲𝗵𝘀𝗮𝗻𝗮 𝗠𝘂𝗻𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗽𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗼𝗿𝗽𝗼𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻. 🫡
MBA pure hoti hi aajkal roj batchmates ki engagement and shadiyo ki stories dikh rahi hai. Really happy for all of them.
Ye sab dekh ke I feel like a kid tbh 😅.
My observation is mostly 1996/1997/1998 DOB vale logo ki ho rahi hai shadi and engagements.
I am back with predictions for West Bengal elections using same methodology from my LS elections.
BJP - 148 ± 5
TMC - 139 ± 5
INC - 5
ISF - 1
AUJP - 1
Left+ - 0
Dozens of seats are really neck to neck b/w TMC and BJP.
I am attaching phase wise and district wise counts below.
All unemployed youth in Bengal will receive ₹3,000 in their bank accounts on the first of every month.
We will provide ₹21,000 to every pregnant mother for the care of her child.
The BJP government will implement 33% reservation in government jobs, and from 1 June, all women will get free bus travel.
The BJP government will increase the PM-Kisan Samman Nidhi from ₹6,000 to ₹9,000.
- Shri @AmitShah#BanglarMoneSudhuiBJP
Is BJP set to create history in Bengal?
IANS-Matrize Poll-
BJP: 130–150
TMC: 140–160
OTH: 8–10
Just 2% vote share gap b/w BJP & TMC.
BJP IN GOOD POSITION TO WIN!
Now many naysayers will start giving me Gyan. So wait & read details.
BJP NEEDS TO SWING ONLY 1.92 LAKH VOTES!
BJP’s path to victory is closer than it looks—ground reality ≠ popular narrative.
👉Anti-incumbency vs Mamata Banerjee is rising—but that’s just the tip of the iceberg.
🔥Big twist: Nearly 1 Crore voter deletions (SIR) → massive churn → old vote patterns = totally unreliable now.
👉TMC’s problem is vote concentration.
Huge wins in select pockets
Especially Mu$£im-majority seats
Result: Votes pile up where they’re not needed. But not piling up in uniform manner in all constituencies.
🔥Seat efficiency gap (GAME CHANGER):
TMC: 114 high-margin seats (>10%)
BJP: Just 35
That means BJP votes are more spreaded over, more competitive.
👉“Wasted votes” reality check:
2024 base:
TMC: 55.8 lakh
BJP: 11.9 lakh
2021 base:
TMC: 65 lakh
BJP: 5.5 lakh
[Wasted votes means votes that don’t convert into seat advantage. This represents those seats where votes are concentrated more than requirement (normally known as strongholds) while other constituencies have scattered vote share (not enough to win that constituency)
And in first-past-the-post systems like Bharat...efficiency of votes matters more than total votes.]
👉Key insight:
Over 50% of TMC’s excess margins come from Mu$£im-dominated seats → strength locked, not expanding.
What this means 👇
~TMC looks dominant on paper
~But MANY seats are actually wide open
🔥The real battleground:
Just 58 tight seats can flip the game
Needed swing: ~1.92 lakh voters only
👉Bottom line:
~In Bengal, votes distribution beats total votes.
~With churn + anti-incumbency + tight margins → BJP isn’t chasing a miracle… it’s chasing math.
With all big guns blazing from BJP in PM .@narendramodi Ji, HM .@AmitShah Ji, CM .@myogiadityanath Ji & other star campaigners + Promises in Sankalp-Patra.... BJP IS DEFINITELY POISED TO WIN BENGAL.
Just 1.92 Lakh Votes to be flipped. Not difficult. Just needs a last push & guarantee of safety in form of No Post Poll Vi0£ence.
Ceilings collapsing over critically ill patients at Nil Ratan Sircar Medical College and Hospital is not an “incident” ,it’s a warning of how badly Bengal’s public healthcare has been neglected.
After the RG Kar Medical College and Hospital lift fiasco, another infrastructure failure exposes the cost of negligence under Mamata Banerjee’s watch.
How many more close calls before accountability replaces excuses?
Today we’re launching Blinkit inside the Mumbai Airport!
Specifically Terminal 2 (Domestic departures) of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj International Airport.
Through our partnership with Adani Airports, travellers can now order from a selection of 2500+ products like phone chargers, books, gifts and more on the Blinkit app. Orders will be delivered within the terminal by our dedicated team of walkers.
This is the first airport in the world to have a service of this kind and we're excited to deliver all the last-minute needs of our customers.
P.S - update your Blinkit app to the latest version to order.
@Adani_One | @AdaniDigital | @CSMIA_Official
Massive violence in Murshidabad district of West Bengal on the occasion on #RamNavami during processions on streets of Jangipur.
This district has more than 70% muslim population.