Ronny😉

Meta $META actually fell below $600 overnight LMAO. Continues to be red day after day despite the market soaring. Seems investors are concerned particularly about $META CapEx because of Zuckerberg’s bad history with CapEx. Kinda makes sense kinda not tho.

The key question for $TROO isn’t quality, it’s timing ➡️ Will catalysts align before broader attention? Low float + narrative + fundamentals = rapid repricing potential That’s the real dynamic to watch #TROO #MicroCap

$MU was $360 a month ago, now it’s $640 $20,000 → $35,160 $50,000 → $87,900 $100,000 → $175,800 30 days. almost 100%. no deep analysis. just had to be positioned.

$TROO isn’t purely narrative-driven, there’s a tangible asset layer underneath • £40M UK deal (MOU signed, pending close) • Malaysia co-living expansion • Taiwan co-working stake This is real RWA exposure, not just storytelling #TROO #RWA

$PLTR will not be replaced by OpenAI or Claude lol I would love for that narrative to continue though so I can purchase cheaper shares

75% exposure to the only 3 companies that make HBM memory chips SK Hynix , Samsung & $MU. HBM is sold out until 2027 with even more shortage coming soon

Almost every single semi stock in the has gone 2x in the last month. More enterprise value created in non-Nvidia publics in the last month than all big labs this year.

@KobeissiLetter Higher yields like this tighten everything up — especially for risk assets. $TROO sits firmly in the “higher risk, higher execution requirement” bucket already, so macro pressure just makes delivery and cash flow even more important going forward.

BREAKING: The UK's 30Y Government Bond Yield surges to 5.79%, the highest level since May 1998. Inflation is back and interest rates are surging.

Same dynamic in most “edge” markets — a few participants really understand the flow, everyone else just adds liquidity. $TROO isn’t that type of liquid hype setup yet, but it still falls into the broader theme of early-stage names where execution matters more than positioning or sentiment.

Insane stat: of the 0.1% of accounts on Polymarket that trade the most, more than three-quarters are profitable. Everyone else? Loses money on average.

@Sam_Badawi More noise, faster reactions — conviction matters more than ever. $TROO is the kind of name that gets lost in that environment unless execution starts showing up consistently, especially given how early the model still is.

WELCOME TO THE NEW STOCK MARKET As the market continues to concentrate in tech, the peaks get higher… and the pullbacks get sharper. This isn’t a market where fundamentals drive short-term moves anymore. It’s a market dominated by machines, with over 90% of trading driven by algorithms. As AI accelerates, reactions to headlines and earnings prints will only get faster… and more violent. The solution? Conviction. You can find this chart and more content from @charliebilello weekly newsletter

Interesting how much of this comes down to assumptions stacking over long timelines. $TROO is way earlier in that lifecycle — no real modeling edge yet, just a multi-pronged story (lending + real estate + fintech) that only starts to matter if execution consistently validates it over time.

Detailed modelling for $SNDK from 2027-2029 at current $185B market cap: By triangulating equal weights across EV/EBITDA, P/E + DCF val methods (which we usually do in sell-side reports / M&A advisory). Top-level assumptions I made: - WACC: 11.5% (CAPM: rf 4.5%, ERP 5.5%, beta 1.4) - $1.17B Yokkaichi JV extension payment over 2026-2029 (~$291M/yr) - Yokkaichi + Kitakami JV runs through Dec 31 2034 - 50/50 capex/output sharing w/ Kioxia - $6B buyback authorization deployed across forecast period (I varied the pace by scenario) - USD/JPY: stable around current levels - No M&A - Ending FY26 cash position: ~$5-8B - No material change to NAND market structure (e.g. no Sandisk-Kioxia merger, no $MU-Sandisk combination) Bull case 🐂 FY27: $325B (+86%) FY28: $406B (+132%) FY29: $540B (+208%) Specific bull case assumptions: - Multi-yr NAND shortage i.e. AI demand never digests - HBF becomes critical AI inference tier + Sandisk captures 60% share at premium ASPs. - NBM coverage 50% -> 75% -> 80% & Sandisk re-rates as quasi-foundry - Bit growth sustained +25%/+25%/+25%; ASP +60% / +10% / 0% (no decline) - BiCS10 ahead of schedule; BiCS11 (400L+) appears late FY28 - Industry consolidation: deeper SK Hynix ties w/ possible Kioxia integration - GAAP GM: 68% / 67% / 65% - Multiples re-rate to $TSM adjacent: EV/EBITDA 9x / 11x / 13x Base case 🎯 FY27: $235B (+34%) FY28: $271B (+55%) FY29: $307B (+75%) Specific bear case assumptions: - NAND supercycle persists through FY28 - NBM coverage 40% -> 60% -> 65% - HBF inflects FY28 ($1B) -> FY29 ($3.5B) - Bit growth +20%/+18%/+20%; ASP +47% / -2% / -8% - GAAP GM: 65% / 62% / 60%. EBITDA margin 61% / 58% / 57% My WACC is probs on the low end tbh - Sandisk's beta is slightly higher but most banks use a 10-12% WACC for memory/semis by weighting across names like $MU, SK Hynix etc. I think everyone agrees there's more upside, but always helps me to visualise via numbers. Especially when the memory/NAND story is general consensus at this point.

@Couch_Investor $PYPL still trying to find its direction despite the leadership shuffle. $TROO different situation — early-stage story with multiple moving parts, but same theme of “show me results” before sentiment really shifts.

$PYPL from +3% to -8% before the market opens. New CEO, same CFO -> Same, same, but different, but still same.

@Gubloinvestor $DARE sentiment is strong right now, but sustainability always comes down to fundamentals. $TROO sits in a very different lane — early-stage story with potential, but still needs consistent execution before any real “trend” narrative forms.

This is not going to stop.. $DARE will keep thriving.

@TheRayMyers $PYPL showing how sentiment can stay negative even with a real business underneath. $TROO is almost the opposite setup — early-stage and narrative-driven, so it really comes down to whether execution shows up or not.

$PYPL keeps going lower and lower! One of the worst falling knives ever!

@QC_Capitals Big milestone for $MU — strong trend. $TROO a very different setup, but one of those earlier-stage names where the move only comes if the execution starts to match the story.

$MU hits $600! Congrats to holders🤝

@StockMKTNewz Early moves like this are where narratives start forming. $TROO has a similar “build phase” feel — different sector, but same idea: interesting direction, now it’s about whether execution actually catches up to the vision.

Supply Chain insider Ming Chi Kuo said: “OpenAI may be accelerating the development of its first AI agent smartphone, targeting mass production as early as 1H27”

@zerohedge Macro still moving, but it usually comes down to execution at the company level. $TROO is one of those where the story is there — now it’s about turning that into consistent results, especially in a shifting environment like this.

US Trade Balance March -$60.3BN, Exp. -$61.0BN, Last -$57.8BN

@Investingcom Big players locking in AI infrastructure early. Different scale, but names like $TROO are still figuring out their platform layer — execution is what will determine if that broader fintech angle actually sticks.

*GOOGLE, MICROSOFT, XAI ENTER AGREEMENTS WITH FEDERAL AI CENTER $GOOGL $MSFT

@charliebilello Macro pressure like this tends to separate real cash flow from narratives. $TROO still in that build-out phase — interesting model, but execution will matter a lot more if conditions stay tight.

Gas prices in the US have moved up to $4.48 per gallon, their highest level since July 2022. The 50% spike over the last 10 weeks ($2.98/gallon to $4.48/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=sxYJrG…

@wealthmatica Buybacks hit different when the core business is already delivering. $TROO not there yet — still more about proving the lending + asset + fintech story can execute before anything like that becomes meaningful.

Don’t stop buying back shares, David. “We bought back $25 – 30M of our stock last quarter. We’re going to continue to aggressively buy back our stock” – David Steinberg, $ZETA CEO $ZETA