RyanFitzs

SPX - end of a 100 year cycle imo

@FusionptCapital Sentiment has shifted

A look for longer term participants, I would note a few years ago everyone was drawing 08 comps at the worst possible time, and today you see arguments for 'most' oversold that swing from absolute RSI readings to volume on an opex day and/or the first low fear/greed reading $SPX

@RAWigger Short man syndrome but small boobs syndrome?

A -30% correction would take out majority of property investors especially as mum & dad have guaranteed family purchases. Few understand-50% is coming. Complacency is very high thinking intervention will save them.

@TechCharts Recession?

Always expect the unexpected. What is the unexpected right now?

$SPY Nasty top.

@FusionptCapital Final exit pump

2's starting to follow gasoline etc not a huge surprise but not unnoticeable now either.

Many bear flags and bearish wedges on #cryptocurrency pairs. Caution.

Oil has topped That means the recent burst of rate hike pricing will likely be unwound fast

Don't worry about home prices, Gen Z. Help is on the way! Prices will be falling 40-50% over the next 3-4 years.

This is such a powerful recession indicator.

@TXMCtrades Needs a severe recession

Highest 10yr UK gilt yield since 2008 👀 Friends as we first began discussing about four years ago, the bond bull market that stretched my whole life up to the pandemic is very dead. Long live the secular bond bear. History suggests it could take a couple decades.

$PBR This chart looks insanely bullish on high time frames as it's breaking out of a large basing structure. I'm reluctant to chase at the moment but would be interested in a dip although this thing looks like it can run nicely.

Seeing a lot of Mag 7 + $MSFT etc underperformance charts/comments out there Note we are now back at the 200 WMA. Not a rec, just highlighting not only the RSI divergence 6 mo ago but how the crowd tends to chirp after the fact etc Wasn't super extended but sentiment was

DXY prolly just made a top and is moving lower Gold and silver might wick down on some de-escalation news but then bid as the dollar and real rates fall HYPE continues to own the market

@Globalflows Also thanks for the all content you publish it doesnt go un appreciated!

@Globalflows Do you like RIVN? Marketradar is bullish long term on it.

The entire recording of the livestream is linked here I covered how to think about positioning and geopolitical risk into FOMC I’ll be doing another livestream tomorrow at the same time Lock in frens

Hyperliquid continues to bid Let me share several thoughts on how I think about the progression of my Hyperliquid adoption and how the entire system is being flipped in a way no one is positioned for: 🧵 First, we are moving in lockstep with the view I laid out in my pinned tweet. The idea is that tradfi assets migrating to Hyperliquid are creating an uncorrelated source of returns that is causing Hyperliquid to diverge from Bitcoin. This is happening perfectly as HIP-3 volume becomes a larger percentage of OI and volume. But this isn’t all that’s happen, it would be one thing if HYPE diverged from Bitcoin but it’s also rallied while global equity markets have sold off on geopolitical risk. We are literally seeing Hyperliquid benefit from global volatility. It is in many way exhibiting antifragility. Second, we are still waiting on Hyperliquid to be integrated into the US regulatory framework. Once this happens, even more flows will come on and arbitrage a lot of returns so that the funding rates collapse. Once funding rates for leverage on perps collapse, even more traders will be incentivized to enter the platform and get institutional level leverage as a normal person. Soon enough, you’ll have the same ISDA level leverage as @chamath Third, we have already seen many firms file for HYPE ETFs but we are still waiting for approval. It is this interim period of time that people are going to be aggressively chasing exposure to the HYPE token but won’t be able to obtain it until the ETFs launch. In this window of time, $PURR is likely to rally the most because it’s THE way for larger players to get exposure since they hold the most tokens of any DAT for traders to get size on. If options are listed on $PURR then this is likely to create a massive gamma squeeze. This is why the $PURR stock is my largest position right now and why I did an interview with the ceo. I’ll link this interview below. Finally, what seems to allude most people is how agentic trading for both systematic and discretionary traders is going to dominate and THE primary place to express this is Hyperliquid. When you have low cost of leverage, more leverage than a traditional brokerage account, and the ability to run an ETF type vault with Agentic Trading, the amount of money that will flow onto Hyperliquid is not conceivable. I suspect that this adoption will overlap at the same time that greater memory options are released for all of the AIs. When you have more memory, you’re able to have more informed iteration. Match this with the massive amount of compute to fuel this and you have a scenario for one of the largest productivity booms and liquidity injections in history. This doesn’t even account for the possibility of tokenization laws to pass where you can legally tokenize real world assets on chain. The upside is always inconceivable in foresight but obvious in retrospect. My entire goal right now is taking a bet on Agentic Macro Trading and Hyperliquid. If you want to follow everything I’m doing, you can get every update here: capitalflowsresearch.com/subscribe