
Ryan Ammenheuser
2.6K posts

Ryan Ammenheuser
@ryanammenheuser
Writer. Political science PhD candidate. Liberal arts caricature. Hablo español, lerne Deutsch. He/him.



Nexus Strategies poll | 3/8-3/9 RV US Senate North Carolina 2026 crosstabs 🟦Democratic: Cooper +84 🟥Republican: Whatley +60 🟦Independent: Cooper +24 🟦White: Cooper +7 🟦Black: Cooper +69 🟦Urban: Cooper +25 🟦Suburban: Cooper +26 🟥Rural: Whatley +1 🟦Male: Cooper +13 🟦Female: Cooper +22 🟥No college: Whatley +18 🟦4 year grad: Cooper +24



I’m honestly kinda blown away by how fast the McMorrow campaign is imploding. She went from arguably frontrunner to desperately begging for debates and Cuomo/Janet Mills-style smear campaigns in like a week




Alaska is more winnable than Texas and anyone who says otherwise is an idiot



This was peak ET. Unfortunate if you weren't there for it.




Virginia has tracked the national environment surprisingly well: 🔴 2013: VA Gov R+4 → 2014 House R+5.7 🔵 2017: VA Gov D+9 → 2018 House D+8.6 🔴 2021: VA Gov R+2 → 2022 House R+2.7 If that holds, in VA Gov was 𝗗+𝟭𝟱.𝟰 which could point to a 🔵 ~𝗗+𝟭𝟰 House PV in 2026



I know it's old news but whenever people bring up the world outside Hogwarts I just remember that there's 1 school for the British isles... And the rest of the world looks like this.




This genuinely may be one of the most impressive electoral feats of the 21st century


J.K. Rowling says HBO's #HarryPotter series "is going to be incredible" after the first trailer drops: "I’m so happy with it." Twenty minutes earlier, Rowling celebrated the Olympics' decision to ban transgender women from competing in women’s events by writing: “Today’s ruling by the IOC means a welcome return to fair sport for women and girls, but I’ll never forget the scandal of Paris 2024, when people who consider themselves supremely virtuous and progressive publicly cheered on men punching women.” Rowling was referring to the Olympics decision to allow Algeria’s Imane Khelif to compete in the women’s boxing competition at the Paris 2024 summer games, one year after Khelif was disqualified from the Women’s World Championships for failing a gender eligibility test due to elevated levels of testosterone in her system. Rowling denounced the Olympics at the time. Khelif was born female. variety.com/2026/tv/news/j…








Evitarus poll | 3/12-3/17 LV (Poll sponsored by the California Democratic Party) California Governor jungle primary 2026 (Top two vote getters advance to November) 🟥Steve Hilton 16% 🟥Chad Bianco 14% 🟦Eric Swalwell 10% 🟦Katie Porter 10% 🟦Tom Steyer 10% 🟦Antonio Villaraigosa 3% 🟦Matt Mahan 3% 🟦Betty Yee 2% 🟦Tony Thurmond 1% Undecided 24% Link to poll: cadem.org/wp-content/upl…




The Founding Fathers discovering we elected TWO Catholics as President: [through gritted teeth] We did say “all men are created equal” I suppose








