Ryan Ammenheuser

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Ryan Ammenheuser

Ryan Ammenheuser

@ryanammenheuser

Writer. Political science PhD candidate. Liberal arts caricature. Hablo español, lerne Deutsch. He/him.

Mississippi, USA Katılım Mart 2016
206 Takip Edilen83 Takipçiler
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@PopulismUpdates Washington is made king and dies without an obvious heir; what follows is basically Game of Thrones except with American founding fathers
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@TennProg2003 How is he this far ahead? He won by single digits both times as governor and people are usually way less willing to ticket split for federal races
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Rob
Rob@robmac619·
@rep_favorite This is cool. What does the Republican list look like?
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wauk 🇺🇸
wauk 🇺🇸@rep_favorite·
Top 20 counties that have shifted the most to the left from 1984 —> 2024
wauk 🇺🇸 tweet media
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@AlDefinitely If anything this suggests she’s the one to beat given that she’s earned their primary focus over Haley Stevens
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Definitely Not Al Gore 🇺🇲🇺🇦🇵🇸
Has there really been a McMorrow implosion though? I feel like it's more just been a left twitter losing their minds over her in the past couple weeks out of nowhere more than McMorrow actually losing steam in reality.
Claudia Sheinbaum Fan Account@Weasel9100

I’m honestly kinda blown away by how fast the McMorrow campaign is imploding. She went from arguably frontrunner to desperately begging for debates and Cuomo/Janet Mills-style smear campaigns in like a week

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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@isilanorien The moment I noticed this, it was like hearing the bass riff at the end of The Chain
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@ferald_gord @ed_dems Not saying that’s definitely going to be the case, but if I were a Republican president trying my best to create a persuasion advantage for the Dems I’m not sure what I’d be doing differently
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kicole nidman
kicole nidman@ferald_gord·
@ed_dems it would require an absurd persuasion advantage for dems and also for republicans to basically not turn out
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kicole nidman
kicole nidman@ferald_gord·
my incredibly rough guess of what this looks like (redistricting made it harder and choppier, so flip/hold colors might be wrong in places) 263D-172R 51(ish) D Flips 3(ish) R Flips +48D Net
kicole nidman tweet media
ed@ed_dems

Virginia has tracked the national environment surprisingly well: 🔴 2013: VA Gov R+4 → 2014 House R+5.7 🔵 2017: VA Gov D+9 → 2018 House D+8.6
🔴 2021: VA Gov R+2 → 2022 House R+2.7 If that holds, in VA Gov was 𝗗+𝟭𝟱.𝟰 which could point to a 🔵 ~𝗗+𝟭𝟰 House PV in 2026

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Maruigi
Maruigi@maruigi·
@ryanammenheuser @axiochrono Rowling studied French and is a known Francophile, that's why only Hogwarts and Beauxbatons make sense and are truly fleshed out while Durmstrang is the silliest mix of German/Scandinavian/Eastern European and Balkan witchcraft, and also generally just the "evil" school. 😂
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Hill Wagan
Hill Wagan@Hill_Wagan·
@averpee @royzanov meadow seems like a pretty safe bet for a white lotus guest. probably has a family by now. maybe she brings AJ along to help him dry out.
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squeaky fromme the block
HBO All Stars season of White Lotus. Willa and Connor Roy. The Gemstones. Harper Stern and Yasmin Kara-Hanani. Renata Klein. Selina Meyer and Amy Brookheimer. Tim Robinson from the Chair Company
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@billgoldwater Any Democratic win in 2006 automatically does not count, no matter how impressive it looks
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@EPM106 Not excusing everything else but how is she still hung up on the Khelif stuff? There’s absolutely zero ambiguity there whatsoever, it is a documented fact that Khelif is a cis woman. She’s not trans, she has nothing to do with JKR’s transphobic crusade
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Thel 🏳️‍⚧️🦌
kind of shocked a major trade is actually bothering to frame it this way
Variety@Variety

J.K. Rowling says HBO's #HarryPotter series "is going to be incredible" after the first trailer drops: "I’m so happy with it." Twenty minutes earlier, Rowling celebrated the Olympics' decision to ban transgender women from competing in women’s events by writing: “Today’s ruling by the IOC means a welcome return to fair sport for women and girls, but I’ll never forget the scandal of Paris 2024, when people who consider themselves supremely virtuous and progressive publicly cheered on men punching women.” Rowling was referring to the Olympics decision to allow Algeria’s Imane Khelif to compete in the women’s boxing competition at the Paris 2024 summer games, one year after Khelif was disqualified from the Women’s World Championships for failing a gender eligibility test due to elevated levels of testosterone in her system. Rowling denounced the Olympics at the time. Khelif was born female. variety.com/2026/tv/news/j…

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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@perksofbeingHC This show is at its best when people have different value systems and navigate that. The Charlie/Maria stuff is super compelling for that reason.
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@perksofbeingHC I’ve said for some time that the show’s biggest issue right now is that there’s a pretty widely understood moral code now. People come in with the expectation that they may be blindsided at any time, because they themselves intend to do so. So nobody really takes betrayal hard.
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Heather
Heather@perksofbeingHC·
Call me old school I guess bc, as much as I like Christian, I’m so glad Ozzy gave it to him for blindsiding him. People on #Survivor make it way too easy for people to clown on them consequence free. The game is so much more interesting when blindsides have social consequences
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@LibZionistNerd @DrewSav I AM curious how Elliott County votes in a hypothetical election between a white Democrat and white Republican not named Trump in 2016. I definitely think its days as a blue county were numbered though.
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The Nerd the Size of a Man
The Nerd the Size of a Man@LibZionistNerd·
@DrewSav Mitt Romney only BARELY lost Elliot County after over 100 years of D voting. After every other demographically similar county went hardcore GOP years prior. It was clear Hillary wasn’t going to reverse it.
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Drew Savicki
Drew Savicki@DrewSav·
It seems impossible to believe now but many Dems long viewed Hillary Clinton as the secret weapon to winning back rural America. In 2013 Rocky Adkins said Hillary Clinton would sweep Elliott County. huffpost.com/entry/solid-so…
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@Ibai_93 Han never says the Jedi never existed. He specifically doubts the existence of the Force.
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Psicódrogo
Psicódrogo@Ibai_93·
Si ves la peli original de Star Wars después de ver las precuelas lo primero que piensas es que encaja regular, porque gente como Han Solo cree que los Jedi no existieron, cuando hace sólo 19 años todo dios los tenía en las noticias a todas horas.
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@Prolemasses If it’s cold or cool out, I’ll get a hot coffee. But I live in the Deep South and in the spring/summer you’re not going to make me drink a hot coffee at 8 AM when it’s already 87 degrees out
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Ryan Ammenheuser
Ryan Ammenheuser@ryanammenheuser·
@LRSerling As a whole, probably Obama. This would be because southern framers, especially slaveowners, would be like 90% in the anti-Obama camp. I think the Northerners, especially New Englanders would be more upset by Biden, but only like 60-40, making Obama narrowly more despised
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frank
frank@sen_frankie·
'2026 𝙈𝙞𝙙𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢𝙨: 𝘿𝙚𝙢𝙤𝙘𝙧𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝘾𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙈𝙤𝙫𝙚. - What if Dems swept the nation?
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