R.Dal

What is the planning fallacy and why is it a potential problem for school leaders? open.substack.com/pub/pendidikan…

@BeijingDai He seems to extrapolate from game theory rather than work like the superforecasters do, but he’s similar to them in that he makes definite testable predictions or at least he has for the iran war anyway

I saw an explanation for why Mr. Jiang is popular in the West, and I think it makes a lot of sense. In ancient China, there was a method of predicting the future known as the I Ching (or Zhouyi). Today, most Chinese people's attitude toward it is somewhere between "maybe" and "who knows." If someone were to use the I Ching to explain everything happening in the world today, and occasionally got things right, plenty of Chinese people would believe in him. In the West, religious narratives serve the same role as the I Ching does for the Chinese. Westerners today have a "maybe" attitude toward them as well. Now Mr. Jiang uses Western religious narratives to interpret world events—and he is sometimes correct—so of course many Westerners believe in him. On top of that, Jiang has a Chinese face that looks intelligent, which adds to his credibility. However, Chinese people who don't buy into Western religious narratives obviously aren't taken in by Mr. Jiang's approach. This is just like how Westerners wouldn't be convinced by a Chinese person using the I Ching to explain the world.

Is Alpha School actually scaling yet or is this still hype? Interesting to follow though. V

Schools buy teacher materials from 5 different publishers. Hundreds of teachers then apply their individual training and experience to classroom delivery. When a student fails a standardized test, how can anyone tell what went wrong? The solution is vertical integration!

@robinhanson Similar anti introspection sentiment

Analyzing your own thoughts might seem healthy, but a new review shows that deep introspection is actually associated with higher levels of depression and anxiety, rather than boosting life satisfaction or overall well-being. dlvr.it/TRb3RP

Laos has ordered schools nationwide to cut in-person classes from five to three days a week, as part of emergency measures aimed at easing financial pressure on families amid continued fuel price volatility. A notice issued by the Prime Minister’s Office on Thursday said the directive takes immediate effect, introducing changes to learning schedules while requiring schools to maintain academic standards. According to Xinhua News Agency, under the order, all general education institutions, both public and private, must reduce classroom teaching to three days per week. Full story: world.thaipbs.or.th/detail/laos-tr…

Yes most humans just don’t realize how capable most humans are, even when they can’t write compelling essays like LLMs do.

NotebookLM unique in being 'usable'. It's not in its brilliance, but in bringing together a cluster of useful features to act on ANY input by teachers or learners . Shows the way forward.

Pushing NotebookLM to its limits. Astonishing project. Soup to nuts curriculum and course design...

If you live in London, you should know that Brân (raven), son of Llŷr, had his head, lopped off in a battle with invading Irish, buried on Tower Hill to protect the kingdom, at which Branwen died of a broken heart. This is England’s deep mythology too.

People really don't seem to understand that Malaysia is basically a first world economies at this point. Salaries are even higher there for most tech roles than in London + most European cities now. Especially around Penang, which is very notable given its not the main economic engine of the country but is a huge semiconductor/engineering hub, and around Johor, which is Southeast Asia's data hub. The world has transformed massively in the past generation. The Malaysian Century.

@iullicious @human4christ @midascabal Isn’t he a high school teacher in Beijing? Not sure which school but have followed him for a while on YouTube

@human4christ @midascabal Its for you he is everywhere ot once 😂 You better search a bit before typing

I can't tell if Professor Jiang is FBI, a Psyop, or just some random bro with ideas.

@L__Macfarlane @FutureEconScot How many are moving to Scotland for greater benefits and are not net contributors? Or is that already factored in? Eg: would something free or cheaper in Scotland like a medication or the like be a draw for pensioners moving North or any other benefit that could be a pull factor

If we are to protect and expand Scotland’s distinct social contract, more revenue will need to be raised. Our latest @FutureEconScot paper sets out how👇 futureeconomy.scot/publications/1…

NEW: We often hear that Scotland’s more progressive income tax is “driving people out the country.” New HMRC data shows the opposite. Far more taxpayers are moving to Scotland than leaving it. Let’s look at the data 🧵

Lovely example of the application of hinge questions to coaching in rugby: bit.ly/41fqnXF. Thank you @Mr_Titley!

@tetheredtoed1 @bryan_caplan Yes, definitely, without APs the pressure to inflate grades and dumb things down would be even greater. That said, I would like to see them meaningfully benchmarked against other post 16 externally assessed qualifications

@bryan_caplan This is it — they are highly meritocratic — and many of them force schools and teachers to focus on content knowledge and actually have kids read, write and do high level math Killing AP classes would be a circular firing squad

APs are getting easier, but they are still highly meritocratic compared to not just high school grades but college grades. Most students who get an A in a college class would be lucky to get a 3 on the corresponding AP.

@tetheredtoed1 @helenrey @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard That’s MYP

@ryandal @helenrey @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard ibo.org/programmes/mid…

Just want to say that in England there is a national board that sets exam standards for exams like this. And it makes sense to do that because dumbed down tests are a clear threat to prosperity and national security.

@tetheredtoed1 @helenrey @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard They’ve always been constructivist but at the diploma level the teaching style is broadly similar to all post 16 courses. That said, I imagine internal assessments are going to be under sustained pressure from AI this year and subsequently

@helenrey @ryandal @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard IB went constructivist and has driven people away with antiquated systems and expense

@helenrey @tetheredtoed1 @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard I think near the top of the pile but still slightly underweighted

@ryandal @tetheredtoed1 @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard It's going to be interesting. It's also theoretical physics... strong math(s) will certainly help. That's strange about the IB though. I though that was deemed to be almost at the top of the pile in terms of qualifications?

Double-dose Algebra I is one of the few interventions at the high school level to show real promise. Positive effects last into college. But students must be grouped by math skills. When double-dose students near the national median were placed in classes with much lower achieving peers, the positive outcomes disappeared. pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.10…

@helenrey @tetheredtoed1 @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard That tracks with what I’m seeing, very selective British unis seem to overweight AP a bit, and perhaps underweight IB a bit. Maybe not in the case of your student though if she’s got physics and maths

@ryandal @tetheredtoed1 @Doug_Lemov @schools_us @EducationNext @CollegeBoard Interesting... I have no experience or knowledge of how UK unis view APs, though I've written UCAS references as a UK teacher and a US teacher. One of my APC students just got an unconditional offer to read Physics at Edinburgh. He will have done all 4 AP Physics courses.