Lieutenant Dan
1.6K posts





🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The clock hits 8PM ET tomorrow. Here's what could happen next... Trump's deadline is the most consequential moment of this war. Based on everything we know from inside the negotiations: Scenario 1: Trump takes the deal Iran's 10-point counterproposal isn't a rejection. The White House called it "a negotiating gambit." Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner all think he should try to get a deal now. Mediators are actively redrafting terms with Tehran. Scenario 2: Trump extends the deadline again He's done it multiple times already. Mediators warned the White House that Iranian decision-making is painfully slow and the Supreme Leader is communicating through children passing handwritten notes. Trump's team told mediators he needs "positive indications" to justify another extension. His credibility erodes with every delay. Scenario 3: Infrastructure Day The operational plan is ready. Two sources confirmed a massive U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign targeting every bridge and power plant in Iran is locked and loaded. Trump has been asking advisers "What do you think of Infrastructure Day?" Axios describes him as "the most bloodthirsty" person in his own administration right now. If he follows through, 85 million people lose electricity and Iran unleashes its most devastating retaliation of the war against Gulf water and energy infrastructure. The uncomfortable truth: -Netanyahu, MBS, and Lindsey Graham are all pushing Trump NOT to take a deal unless Iran makes concessions that are currently impossible -Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner want to negotiate -Iran won't surrender Hormuz or uranium for a 45-day pause that Israel could violate at will -The gap between the two positions is wide, and the people closest to Trump are pulling him in opposite directions What markets aren't pricing in: Even if a deal happens tomorrow, the damage is already done. There's a hidden 8 million barrel per day supply gap. Bombed refineries, damaged pipelines, and destroyed infrastructure take months or years to repair. Oil doesn't drop to $70 the day after a ceasefire. The real inflection point is mid-April, when strategic reserves run dry and the physical market can no longer absorb the shock. Tomorrow will either be the beginning of the end, or the end of the beginning. Source: Axios, WSJ, NYT, @jackprandelli

CHRISTIANITY IS SOCIALISM AT ITS CORE — CAPITALISM SHOULD NOT BE ANYWHERE NEAR IT — Nathan Apffel to Tucker 'Early church built social capital with NOTHING — no money, no buildings, yet it flipped Rome' LOVE THY NEIGHBOR toppled 'the greatest superpower' — 'THAT'S DANGEROUS'

















