
Serban Balamaci
2.7K posts

Serban Balamaci
@sbalamaci
"Welcome my son, welcome to the machine. Where have you been? It's alright we know where you've been."















TD3C AG/China FFA update. Case in point, spend two weeks away from this, and recognise the silliness of these theoretical, make-believe numbers from Baltic panellists, for an event that cannot occur. Meanwhile, TD34 Oman/China is near $140k/day. #oott #tankers $FRO $DHT $INSW $ECO $BWET







This is starting to come into fruition VLCC rates in West africa and Brazil have now dropped below pre-war rates on the week of 2/23 That week West Africa loading hovered around ws 150-195 with rates now at ws 140. Same story for Brazil as rates hovered around ws 155-185 the week before the war with now a recent fixture going for ws 144 USG/Carib VLCC rates are holding stronger at $16-17 million, but rates the week before the war hovered around $15-16 million, so the initial rates spike has largely subsidized. This decrease has also been prevalent in other segments as Suezmax rates in West Africa while black sea rates hold stronger than expected. Aframax earnings, especially in the Caribs, probably had one of the most dramatic spikes in rates due to extremely limited vessel supply. Over the past 1-2 weeks a substantial amount of tonnage has started to ballast west massively pushing down rates from their peaks, but rates still hold high above pre-war levels. The markets will continue to stay volatile and hard to predict, but the fundamental drivers will hold if the situation persists. The USG will hold as a very active loading zone with stronger rates as VLCC and aframaxes both benefit from their symbiotic-like dynamic for lightening. Med rates will likely remain stronger for Aframaxes and Suezmaxes while loading zones like West Africa and Brazil continue to face softer rates looking ahead. Expect the market to stay very volatile and with more vessel supply freeing up and migrating, we’ll likely see an ongoing wave-like dynamic in rates fluctuating stronger and weaker as vessel supply decreases and increases. #tankers #oott #iran















