Serban Balamaci

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Serban Balamaci

Serban Balamaci

@sbalamaci

"Welcome my son, welcome to the machine. Where have you been? It's alright we know where you've been."

Romania Katılım Aralık 2009
437 Takip Edilen169 Takipçiler
stanel-cristian
stanel-cristian@cristian_stanel·
Intrarea la Castelul Reginei Maria de la Balcic cu intrarea la Grădina botanică este pentru 2 persoane 40 €. E mult, e puțin ?
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Raluca
Raluca@e_raluca·
@cristian_stanel Intrare prioritară la Galeriile Borghese pt o persoană e 20 de euro. Cu ghid, 40. Intrarea la Muzeele Vatican + Capela Sixtină, 20 euro. Intrarea la Versailles + grădini + Trianon, 25 de euro. E ridicol.
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Serban Balamaci
Serban Balamaci@sbalamaci·
@CRUDEOIL231 The reverse is also true, Israel is not letting Trump off the hook without confirmation it’s destroyed
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JH
JH@CRUDEOIL231·
I’m telling you, Iran is never giving up those nukes. Whatever they were thinking before, this war just made them obsessed. It’s only natural for them to think, “Man, if we had the nuke bomb none of this would’ve happened.” Just look at North Korea. They’re stuck in a peninsula with five of the world’s biggest militaries breathing down their necks, but they survive just fine. Why? Cuz they have a real deterrent. Nukes. This is Iran’s Pearl Harbor or Korean War moment. Give up the nukes? No way. This war just gave them a reason to never let this happen again. Whatever they say publicly, they’re locked in now. I bet Koreans will totally back me up on this. What Iran is doing right now is exactly like the North Korean playbook we've been watching for decades. So it comes down to two choices: either we sit back and watch them get the bomb, or we physically stop them. #oott #iran
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Gp
Gp@GPs_capital_·
Just wrote a 7,000 word report on Minera Alamos. Tldr: -Highest producting CAGR in the sector 26-29 at 68% -Trading under 0,3xNPV -Production in the US -A lot of insiders buying Read the report here: open.substack.com/pub/gpcapital/… $MAI.V $MAI.NE
Gp tweet media
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$SNDK earnings are just way too good... Q3 earnings: Revenue: $5.95B vs. ~$4.7B (252% Y/Y growth, 26% beat) EPS: $23.41 vs. ~$14.5 (62% beat) Gross Margin: ~78.4% vs. 67.3% (+1,110 bps vs. Est.) Q4 2024 projections: Revenue: $7.75B-$8.25B vs. ~$6.5B (23% above estimates) EPS: $30-33 vs. ~$23 (37.0% above estimates) Memory companies (disclosure I do own Sandisk) are a bit easier to price in ahead of time vs. names like $RDDT (off of traffic data). Just purely from third party stuff like NAND price hike reports... so all the repricing does happen ahead of time, not on actual earnings. Regardless, this is formal confirmation that memory companies are going brrr... Astronomical earnings from memory players and they'll likely keep marching upward over this year.
Serenity tweet media
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Ed Finley–Richardson
🇺🇸 San Francisco is importing crude oil from 🇱🇾 Libya.
Ed Finley–Richardson tweet media
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Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
*AIR FRANCE HAS NO ISSUES WITH JET-FUEL SHORTAGES, CEO SAYS *AIR FRANCE: NO ISSUE WITH JET-FUEL STOCK THROUGH END OF 2Q
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Ed Finley–Richardson
A few weeks ago, we saw petroleum product fixtures for long haul voyages, MR cargoes flowing from PADD 3 and Europe to East Asia. Now, I am seeing fixtures from South Korea to PADD 5, and Singapore to NW Europe. = The tightness is spreading from East to West.
GIF
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KB
KB@k_a_y_b_e_e_·
@aleabitoreddit While your picks are an infinite money glitch, one super underrated feature is the peace of mind that comes along with it. I have never been this non-panicky of pullbacks, because Serenity Stocks™ are elite level Not saying I don't get anxious at all, but not worried much
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
This has gotta be the dumbest selloff reason… someone could have provided? I am 99% sure names like $AAOI or $TSEM couldn’t care less about one internal leak of OpenAI’s high flying goals. But algorithms go reeee when they see mainstream media narratives like this. Perfect example on why nobody trusts them anymore for fully accurate reporting. That being said, corrections are always healthy to make higher highs.
Serenity tweet media
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Serban Balamaci
Serban Balamaci@sbalamaci·
@battleforeurope I do. Then Europe can leave NATO and we stay out of any regional wars Israel wants to start through US.
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Thomas Fazi
Thomas Fazi@battleforeurope·
There’s literally not a single sane person on the planet who welcomes that.
Thomas Fazi tweet media
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Lobo Tiggre
Lobo Tiggre@duediligenceguy·
EPITHERMAL! Thank you, Autocorrect. Grrrr.....
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Lobo Tiggre
Lobo Tiggre@duediligenceguy·
Boiling textures… a key marker in epithelial systems.
Lobo Tiggre tweet media
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Common Sense Investor (CSI)
Common Sense Investor (CSI)@commonsenseplay·
Just because YOU buy or short a stock, does not mean it will magically turn in your direction right away. If you have done your research and believe in your thesis, let it run. HAVE CONVICTION!
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
PRESIDENT TRUMP TO IRAN: “The clock is ticking.”
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Wisdom & Boats
Wisdom & Boats@wisdomandboats·
VLCC rates are still continuing to fall. West Africa VLCC loading are down to ws 135 and Brazil loading to ws 130 and USG/carib loading are now at $15-$15.5 million. This is largely driven by the abundance of vessel supply in the Atlantic. This is a momentary unbalance in the market as vessels that would normally load in the AG now are suddenly available in Atlantic market, but this also means vessel availability for next program of cargoes will likely be a lot tighter. To also add to the current vessel supply, more ships than expected have ballasted west from outside the Strait and the Arabian Sea. Looking at the graph below vessel supply has increased more than expected for April by about a dozen vessel, contributing to some of this recent weakness, but there still is a fundamental strength in demand for VLCCs. Rates will likely find their bottom in the short term especially as more ships are fixed and the short term cyclical vessel supply starts to decline. This leaves less vessel available for the next round of cargoes, creating tighter tonnage available for charterers. As a result rates could see a bit of a rebound towards early May. However, most Aframax and Suezmaxes rates have found the bottom holding mostly flat so far this week with both vessel classes keeping earnings around $90,000-140,000/day depending on voyages. Rates are still very strong and I don’t think anyone (except charterers) should be complaining about rates if they’re still near or above $100,000/day. This market is still unbalanced and volatile. Vessel supply is initially going to be lopsided in the short term as the initial bulk of vessels come back from the East. But it’s important to understand there’s still a huge demand increase for crude tankers due to expanded voyage distances, that will keep rates very strong on an average basis. #tankers #oott
Wisdom & Boats tweet media
Wisdom & Boats@wisdomandboats

This is starting to come into fruition VLCC rates in West africa and Brazil have now dropped below pre-war rates on the week of 2/23 That week West Africa loading hovered around ws 150-195 with rates now at ws 140. Same story for Brazil as rates hovered around ws 155-185 the week before the war with now a recent fixture going for ws 144 USG/Carib VLCC rates are holding stronger at $16-17 million, but rates the week before the war hovered around $15-16 million, so the initial rates spike has largely subsidized. This decrease has also been prevalent in other segments as Suezmax rates in West Africa while black sea rates hold stronger than expected. Aframax earnings, especially in the Caribs, probably had one of the most dramatic spikes in rates due to extremely limited vessel supply. Over the past 1-2 weeks a substantial amount of tonnage has started to ballast west massively pushing down rates from their peaks, but rates still hold high above pre-war levels. The markets will continue to stay volatile and hard to predict, but the fundamental drivers will hold if the situation persists. The USG will hold as a very active loading zone with stronger rates as VLCC and aframaxes both benefit from their symbiotic-like dynamic for lightening. Med rates will likely remain stronger for Aframaxes and Suezmaxes while loading zones like West Africa and Brazil continue to face softer rates looking ahead. Expect the market to stay very volatile and with more vessel supply freeing up and migrating, we’ll likely see an ongoing wave-like dynamic in rates fluctuating stronger and weaker as vessel supply decreases and increases. #tankers #oott #iran

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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
JAPAN TO IMPORT 1M BARRELS CRUDE OIL FROM MEXICO: NIKKEI
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Serban Balamaci
Serban Balamaci@sbalamaci·
@DryBulkETF Prolonged closure means words like ‘force majeure’, ‘at all costs’ start popping up so not tail risk
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BreakWave
BreakWave@DryBulkETF·
Arctic: “We believe a reopening of the Strait will be positive. The system will again take time to rebalance flows. The 63 laden VLCCs that are stuck inside the Gulf will now be shipped to Asia, while there will be bottlenecks at export terminals. This will work in the owners' favour. Keep in mind that before all this happened, we had a very strong tanker market with VLCCs averaging USD 148k/d in February. The tail risk is a prolonged closure. Utilization falls, rates soften, and equities follow.” #economy #shipping #markets
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