sentisniper

@hosseeb I appreciate the reply man!

"Optimize for the upside" is not the same as optimizing for the future. Optimizing for the future is often a mistake; I don't in general recommend that. Another way to describe optimizing for the future is applying a very low time discount rate, which startups shouldn't be doing. Optimizing for the upside is more like, run a lot of little experiments, but design all of them as though they will succeed beyond your wildest expectations. Then if one of them does, you'll be able to capture a lot of value. The worst mistake a startup can make is to have a successful product / outcome, but your ability to capture its value gets kneecapped because you were too risk averse at the outset and were focused on insurance rather than upside.

The two mantras I repeat most often to founders: 1. The shortest distance between two points is a straight line. If you want to do X, just go straight to X. Don't waste your time with setup or pre-requisites or throat-clearing, just go do the thing you want to do. Launch the product. Sell to the enterprise. Make the big ask. Go do it and you'll learn by doing. 2. Optimize for the upside. Most of your expected value is in the universe where you succeed, so optimize for that universe. If you're going to fail, micro-optimizing your failures is a waste of energy. You might fail, fine--pick yourself up and do something else. But over the long run, optimizing for the upside is how you make good outcomes you will have defensible and self-compounding.

How many Americans genuinely think communism is a threat?

@PolymarketMoney this led to 0.75% increase in BTC today, idk how much this matters

JUST IN: BlackRock clients buy $33 million worth of Bitcoin

@Kalshi Surely this is illegal, right?

JUST IN: Trump Media considers charging traders and investors up to $100,000/month for faster access to Trump's posts

@Polymarket this doesn't even feel like news: [insert country] president says [country] is going to lead the world in [important field they devote resources to]

@BleacherReport luka + sga v. literally any other class

Which draft class has the best starting five?🤔 2018: Luka and Shai teamup 😳 2020: Ant and Hali front-court 👀 2021: Mobley and Scottie defense 😮‍💨 Full lineups here: bleacherreport.com/articles/25455…

@kethcode feel like you're using a different fable than the rest of us my man

the last few months from Anthropic has been a master class in how to destroy your company. GPT 5.6 for hard skills, Kimi K3 for soft skills, Deepseek as a no-nonsense middle manager, Fable/Opus if you want to be treated like a child.

@PolymarketMoney he lost half a trillion give or take a few dozen billion, absurd

JUST IN: Elon Musk has lost $500,000,000,000.00 in net worth over the past month.

@Polymarket doesn't he own trump media???

@Polymarket every company that used to be digging gold started selling shovels

BREAKING: Meta is reportedly in talks to lease AI computing power to Anthropic in a deal worth up to $10,000,000,000.00.

a phone poll of 1,000 people who answered an unknown number at 6pm, or 200 people with real money staked. one of these is better data. 🤷‍♂️

@Polymarket hmm... I wonder who is most responsible for "economic sabotage" 🤔🤔🤔 and if they all nicely met up on an island with flights that were logged...

JUST IN: Marco Rubio announces the U.S. will restrict visas for foreign nationals tied to far-left terrorism, political violence, & "economic sabotage."

@UnderdogNFL i wonder if the bettors will have any frame of reference for GREATEST DEFENDER of all time going into early retirement and then returning to SUPER BOWL FAVORITES

Rap: Aaron Donald has a “real possibility” to unretire and return to Rams. He's pushing workouts to see if he can return to playing shape before deciding.

@espn there's no way actual people thing that argentina are actually rigging the games lmao

Messi has a message for Argentina critics 👀 He said the the reigning World Cup champions' ability to overturn late-game deficits is the result of championship pedigree and nothing more 🏆 Read more: spr.ly/6018BEjES4

@Polymarket honestly not all bad or good, feel like there's always some technical component to art that can now be bypassed. that being said it kind of ruins the point of art if used for any creative function

JUST IN: Netflix reveals around 300 of its shows & films used generative AI during production this year.

@berniemoreno gee golly, i have no idea what this could be but i'd bet my firstborn that it is not the "most important Oval Office address" since the Cuban missile crisis

I was just briefed by the White House on what to expect this evening. I would encourage every American to tune in tonight to the President’s speech. This may be the most important Oval Office address since the Cuban Missile Crisis. The time for complacency with China is over.

@RapSheet that bo nix injury is honestly up there with the tyrese game 7 injury in the most heartbreaking for neutral fans list

This was great and fun to do.

@RichardAngwin according to the polls somewhere between 35-40% of americans apparently? idk doesn't feel right

who agrees ??

@Polymarket didn't we just get out of a war...?