Sharion

It’s kind of amazing that people who started trading barely a year ago can build followings of 50,000 to 100,000 on X, while people with decades of experience often have only a few hundred. Social media rewards confidence and storytelling, not necessarily expertise.

@BearBullDebate @SemiAnalysis_

so we're just going to ignore that @SemiAnalysis_ Sunday said $NVDA had to shelve an entire product line for a year or more... and, like, nothing came of that, no one cares, and we're still taking them as the top analyst on tech? They're either way way way wrong, or $NVDA lied.

@HitHawk_ @StyxCapital @JCap_Research @jcapresearch care to comment?

@sharion73 @StyxCapital This is the dumbest disclaimer I've ever seen.

Over the past few months, I've noticed a trend in activist short selling. Seeing J Capital's short report earlier today - which consisted of little more than an executive summary while the full report remained behind a paywall-brought me back to a question I'd been thinking about: where is activist short selling heading? The traditional activist short-selling model has been straightforward: publish a research report as widely as possible, ideally triggering an avalanche that the target company can no longer contain—or, at the very least, a market reaction that can be monetized. Yet an increasing number of established activist researchers now release only a brief public summary while reserving the full forensic analysis for paying subscribers. If market impact is the primary objective, why deliberately limit distribution? I can think of several possible explanations: • Research becomes a monetizable asset. A forensic report creates value not only through proprietary trading, but also through subscription revenue, institutional distribution, and licensing. • The target audience has changed. In an era of direct digital distribution, reaching a relatively small network of hedge funds, family offices, and professional investors may be more valuable than maximizing retail readership. • Scarcity increases perceived value.Restricting access reinforces the notion that the research contains proprietary intelligence worth paying for, strengthening both pricing power and brand positioning. • Controlled distribution reduces friction.Publishing only an executive summary while reserving detailed allegations for subscribers may reduce unnecessary public controversy and media noise. If this trend continues, we may need to rethink how we classify activist short sellers. Perhaps the distinction is no longer simply between different investment styles, but between firms that publish to maximize market impact and firms that monetize proprietary forensic intelligence through multiple channels. Do you see this as a structural shift in the industry, or are these simply isolated business model outliers?

@StyxCapital I have nothing to do with jcap. Just wanted to point out it isn't a short report at all. They don't have a position in those ideas that are published.

@sharion73 So, interestingly enough, you don’t see yourself as activist, but original researcher? This confirms our argument above, doesn’t it?

@trader_53 @PMCapital100 "das Schiff verlassen." 🤣

@PMCapital100 hab schon gehört, dass ihr long seid 😁 aktie jetzt mit deutlichem credibility discount, sieht so aus als ob heute auch die LOs das Schiff verlassen. D/gs mit Blick auf die Sellside morgen nicht unwahrscheinlich, aber ich denke, da seid ihr wieder raus 😉

... and here the EU Defense sector's GOAT with his comment on the stock

$SNBR

$SNBR 👀

@pennycheck Hit the wires two hours ago?

@OracleNYSE Why do you only pick the position you have a position in yourself? He wrote he added to $ADBE $BABA $VEEV and $PYPL

$BABA Burry buy Burry adds to $BABA position Substack

The Company expects that holders of shares of the Company's common shares will experience a complete or significant loss on their investment, depending on the outcome of the Chapter 11 Cases. $SNBR

$SNBR chapter 11

@peterkto Nice cameo. Just saw it in the book. Always enjoy reading your blog posts!

IMO it's even cooler to be a Market Wizards blurb than to have a full chapter. Adds to my mystique.

@TheShortBear How did you find likeminded people to discuss your trades with. Been struggling with this myself. Been very consistent with my trading for almost 10 years now. But it's a lonely job most of the time. Been active in some chats but signal to noise ratio is pretty low.

ASK ME ANYTHING! Unanswered questions, unclear statements, charts, trading rules, psychology, risk, sizing, strategy, the Market Wizards chapter, the 2020 run, the run since, anything. I’m thinking of writing again on Substack, a few deeper posts per month, similar to how Burry started writing again. I want the first essays to answer the questions people actually care about the most. So reply with the one question you would want me to go deepest on. The best ones, perhaps with most likes to show interest will become the first ones answered. theshortbear.substack.com

@Gubloinvestor @aleabitoreddit x.com/aleabitoreddit…

@aleabitoreddit You fans need to know that if you are male or female 😀 i know but i wont say a word 😂

Given my recent popularity, might be a good time to put out a PSA. Early followers have known this from the start: 1. I don't do any paid promotions, paid marketing, or accept outside gifts. But I appreciate all the recent outreach from companies! If you see or engage with something online related to any type of payment, it's fabricated for engagement or a scammer. The reason I don't want to is because I'm just posting on X for fun, and when money is involved it turns into a job (which I don't want it to feel like). Also, well off personally so I've never felt influenced by anyone outside. 2. The only "paid" thing I have is $1 subscriptions. That's all. From the very start, I've never taken a single penny outside of X subscriptions/creator sharing. Which is why I say in my bio: "I only use X, beware of imposters." Anyone approaching you to share an external community or app is a scammer or imposter. It's just very frustrating that people still fall for these impersonators. 3. I'm just one person posting my thoughts online. -> Not some institution or Illuminati team. Quality of research is "high" because I have a technical background. And I genuinely do this as a hobby researching supply chain ideas. There's not some "hidden" motive like a paid research group from Asia, it's just fun lol. 4. I will always disclose positions if I have them or if I don't. Very open and transparent about it. With Chinese equities I'm just posting research in hope it benefits people find conviction in critical companies in global supply chains. I don't have any positions / any financial incentives (so I can be impartial), and haven't privately discussed with anyone about ideas I post beforehand. Maybe it happens in Asia, but in the US it's highly illegal to be running groups or getting paid to post about companies. I'm just posting my ideas for free without outside influence, in case others like the idea. It probably seems odd, but I'm doing this as a hobby and for fulfillment of helping others. 5. I'm staying anonymous so I can just freely post my ideas online. Reason being is after I first posted negative things about $IREN, I would have a lot of personal IRL threats and harassment from dozens of accounts for me to stop. Don't want any personal safety or people around me to be at risk for just publishing free research online. Anyway, goal is to help out retail investors with free information synthesis; rather than just selling that directly to institutions. I'm sure this positive sum model might anger people along the way (who have expensive paywalls, or financial incentives) that might feel threatened by information democratization. But genuinely just sharing day-to-day thoughts for free. Very surprised by recent popularity but it helps me distribute compelling ideas to more people. And grateful Elon / X gave me an opportunity through X.

@Gubloinvestor x.com/sharion73/stat…

source: restructuring.ra.kroll.com/Inotiv/Home-Do…

$NOTV first-lien lenders get 93% of the new equity, while PIK noteholders and unsecured convertible noteholders share the remaining Notes Recovery, defined as 7% of new equity plus new warrants.

$NOTV files for chapter 11