Shivnath Thukral

15.6K posts

Shivnath Thukral banner
Shivnath Thukral

Shivnath Thukral

@shivithukral

Self inflicting disruption every few years, TV journalism, corporate, set up a Think Tank, never a dull moment, strong views, big dreams. All tweets personal

New Delhi, India Katılım Mayıs 2009
3K Takip Edilen13.1K Takipçiler
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
You should get hold of books authored by a IIM A professor Dwijendra Nath Tripathi who is considered as the father of Indian business history! First ever documented research on businesses and families behind it Remembering Prof. Dwijendra Tripathi: The Doyen of Indian Business history indianexpress.com/article/cities…
English
0
1
8
669
Nithin Kamath
Nithin Kamath@Nithin0dha·
India has a rich business history. Almost none of it has been documented. This apathy applies broadly, but especially to business, finance, and markets, and it's something I've found genuinely frustrating for a long time. So I'm really happy that the team at @TheKenWeb decided to take this on. I've been bugging them about it for years. The way I consume content has changed a lot since AI. The internet is flooded with generated slop, and it's made me much more deliberate. I actively seek out things where the effort and craft are obvious. Their new podcast, Intermission, belongs in that category. The care, intention, and craft of the people behind it are immediately apparent. Real curiosity, real effort, real craftsmanship. That matters more now than ever; the internet is drowning in AI-generated slop, and it's making high-quality, effortful work stand out more, not less. The first episode is on Asian Paints, and it's absolutely brilliant. Rohin, Seetha, and the rest of the Ken team have clearly poured a lot into it. One thing that stood out: Asian Paints had a deliberate strategy of hiring people at below-market salaries, and how genuinely they took care of those people once there was a real cultural fit and alignment with the company's long-term vision. The episode is free and live on YouTube and Spotify. Worth your time. Link in the comments. (Disclosure: Zerodha had a small role in making this happen, which I'm glad about, because I think it's important for the history of Indian business to be documented and freely available.)
English
28
54
729
71.5K
Shivnath Thukral retweetledi
Hamidreza Azizi
Hamidreza Azizi@HamidRezaAz·
#Iran War Update No. 11 (focus on Iranian strategic narrative): 🔹There are mounting signs that the war may be moving toward a more dangerous maritime phase. Reports that Iran may have begun mining the Strait of Hormuz have fueled growing concern that Tehran is preparing to impose longer-term costs on global energy flows and maritime trade. 🔹At the same time, some Iranian analysts are speculating that the next phase could involve the Houthis more directly in order to increase pressure on a second strategic chokepoint, Bab el-Mandab. The logic is that simultaneous disruption in both Hormuz and the Red Sea corridor would have a much greater impact on global trade and energy markets than pressure on either route alone. 🔹Political signaling from Tehran appears consistent with that possibility. Ali Larijani said the Strait of Hormuz will either remain a route of peace and prosperity for all or become a place of defeat and suffering for those who wage war in the region, reinforcing the sense that Iran is prepared to escalate further at sea. 🔹Donald Trump warned that any Iranian move to fully stop oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz would trigger a decisive American response. Yet later reports suggested that Iran had begun at least limited mining activity, indicating that Tehran may now believe the costs imposed so far have not been sufficient to alter Washington’s calculations. 🔹Iranian calculations appear to be shaped by several factors at once. One is the belief that the United States is unlikely to end the war soon. Another is concern that continued strikes on Iranian missile and naval assets could eventually make Tehran’s strategy of selective disruption of the strait unsustainable, pushing it toward a more direct closure option. 🔹The maritime front is becoming more serious in military terms as well. According to CENTCOM video footage, the United States targeted a Shahid Soleimani class vessel along with several IRGC Navy missile and torpedo boats. The Fateh submarine, Iran’s only operational domestically built semi-heavy submarine, was also reportedly hit. 🔹This comes as Iranian attacks on Gulf neighbors continued, particularly against Qatar and the UAE, while diplomatic channels with some Gulf states remain open. Qatar said communication with Iran is continuing and emphasized that Doha is still focused on de-escalation and diplomacy. 🔹The economic effects of the maritime escalation are becoming more visible. Reports indicate that major oil producers in the region, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, and Bahrain, have already begun reducing production because of the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, with an estimated 6.2 to 6.9 million barrels per day effectively offline. 🔹Iranian officials continue to signal that they do not want a ceasefire under current conditions. Kazem Gharibabadi said a halt in hostilities now would make little sense if Iran could simply be attacked again a few months later, while the government spokesperson said any mediation would only be meaningful after a complete halt to the war and firm guarantees against renewed attacks. 🔹Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf made Tehran’s position even clearer. He said Iran is certainly not pursuing a ceasefire and instead believes it must deliver a decisive blow that becomes a lasting lesson to the aggressor. In this view, Iran is trying to break what it sees as Israel’s preferred cycle of war, negotiation, ceasefire, and then renewed war. 🔹At the operational level, Iranian officials continue to emphasize the effects of earlier strikes on enemy radar and early warning systems. The Army spokesperson said that after degrading a significant portion of those capabilities, Iranian forces have been able to strike with greater accuracy and effectiveness in recent operations. 🔹Iranian missile strikes on Israel continued during the day, with growing use of cluster-type warheads. According to Iranian analysts, the goal at this stage is not only to hit strategic targets but also to keep Israeli civilians under continuous pressure by forcing them into shelters and sustaining a climate of disruption and anxiety. 🔹Ghalibaf also warned that Iran is now operating under the logic of “an eye for an eye,” saying that if Iranian infrastructure is targeted, Iran will certainly respond by striking enemy infrastructure in return. That suggests the infrastructure war may deepen further in the coming phase. 🔹Israeli and American strikes inside Iran continued to hit infrastructure as well. One of the latest strikes reportedly hit an area along a major highway in Tehran, halting traffic as smoke rose from the strike site. Some Iranian analysts interpret the increasing intensity of such attacks as a sign of impatience in Washington and Tel Aviv over the difficulty of achieving their strategic objectives. 🔹At the same time, the regime is tightening its internal security posture. Additional checkpoints have reportedly been established across Tehran, and the police chief warned that if people take to the streets they will be treated as enemies and security forces will not hesitate to open fire. This suggests that fear of domestic unrest remains high. 🔹The Lebanon front remains highly consequential. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun sharply criticized Hezbollah and called for direct talks with Israel as part of a plan to end the conflict, citing the massive displacement and casualties caused by the war. 🔹The Iraq front may also be heating up again. There were reports of airstrikes targeting several PMF positions in Iraq. 🔹Diplomatically, maneuvering is intensifying on several levels. Gulf countries are reportedly preparing a UN Security Council draft resolution condemning Iranian attacks and calling for an end to Iranian retaliatory strikes, while Russia has circulated its own draft calling on all parties to halt military activities and condemning attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure. 🔹Russia and China are both continuing de-escalation efforts, though in different ways. Moscow says Putin has put forward several mediation options, while China’s special envoy is traveling to the Middle East and Chinese officials continue to stress the importance of preserving the security and stability of the Strait of Hormuz. 🔹European concern is also becoming more explicit. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Germany and Europe have no interest in an endless war or in the dissolution of Iran’s territorial integrity, warning that collapse of the Iranian state could create serious economic and migration consequences for Europe. 🔹Overall, Day 11 suggests that the war is moving toward a sharper confrontation over chokepoints, infrastructure, and endurance. Tehran appears increasingly determined to reject a quick ceasefire, widen the costs of the conflict, and force a new strategic equation.
English
2
450
1.8K
629.8K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
This is a big move by @RIL_Updates ! Way beyond his regular foreign policy and diplomacy !
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

JUST IN: The United States has not built a new oil refinery in fifty years. Fifty. The last one broke ground when Nixon was president and oil cost $3 a barrel. Trump just announced a $300 billion deal to build one. The largest energy investment in American history. Port of Brownsville, Texas. Groundbreaking Q2 2026. Binding 20-year offtake agreement. Processing American shale crude. Thousands of jobs in South Texas. “The cleanest refinery in the world.” The lead investor is Indian. Reliance Industries, controlled by the Ambani family with a 50.39% promoter stake, operators of the Jamnagar complex in Gujarat, the largest single-site refinery on Earth, are the confirmed major foreign partner. Trump thanked them on Truth Social as “our partners in India, and their largest privately held Energy Company” for their “tremendous investment.” Now hold two facts simultaneously. India’s Reliance Industries is investing billions in an American refinery to process American shale oil for American energy dominance. India’s government, led by Modi, is simultaneously importing over 40% of its crude from Russia at war-discounted prices, rejected the US “permission” framing for a 30-day Russian oil waiver on 7th March (“India has never depended on permission from any country”), and continues buying Iranian crude via Chabahar port logistics. The same country. The same week. Building American energy independence with one hand. Buying Russian crude with the other. This is not hypocrisy. This is the Modi Doctrine operating at its highest expression. Multi-alignment means India does not choose sides. It chooses deals. QUAD membership for security. Russian crude for energy. Chabahar for Iranian access. Reliance capital for American refining. Israeli defence technology for military modernisation. Gulf remittances for 10 million workers. No formal alliance with any power. Maximum leverage with all of them. Every relationship is transactional. Every commitment is calibrated. Every contradiction serves a constituency. Trump needs the refinery because the Iran war just proved that 50 years without building one left America dependent on foreign refining capacity for products its own shale produces. The Strait of Hormuz did not just close oil transit. It closed the refined product supply chain that feeds American gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemicals. Building domestic refining capacity is the structural response to Actuarial Warfare: if chokepoints can be closed by insurance spreadsheets, the only defence is not needing the chokepoint. Ambani needs the deal because Reliance’s Jamnagar complex processes Gulf crude that transits Hormuz. The same Strait that is mined, uninsured, and defended by 31 autonomous IRGC commands. Diversifying into American shale refining hedges against the exact crisis currently paralysing Reliance’s primary feedstock route. This is not philanthropy. It is the world’s largest refiner buying insurance that no P&I club can provide. The war created the crisis. The crisis created the deal. The deal was signed by the country whose Prime Minister was just given “permission” to buy Russian oil and told America it never asked. Fifty years. One war. One phone call. And the billionaire who builds it is from the country Washington cannot decide whether to sanction or celebrate. Full analysis here. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

English
0
0
6
1.2K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
Reading this and wondering about the question asked ! Are we focused and fighting the wrong war ?
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

While the United States spends billions bombing Iran and the world watches oil prices crash, China just published the most consequential economic document of the decade. Nobody is paying attention. That is the point. The 15th Five-Year Plan, unveiled at the National People’s Congress on 5th March, is 141 pages. It mentions artificial intelligence over 50 times. It targets 70% AI penetration across the Chinese economy by 2027 and 90% by 2030. It designates humanoid robotics as a core pillar industry with output doubling over five years. It commits to space-Earth quantum communication networks, nuclear fusion timelines, and brain-computer interfaces. It sets AI-related industries at a target value exceeding 10 trillion yuan, approximately $1.38 trillion. And it declares “extraordinary measures” for rare earths and semiconductor self-reliance. This is not an economic plan. It is a war plan for a war the United States is not fighting because it is too busy fighting the wrong one. The US response to Chinese technological competition is the CHIPS and Science Act, signed in 2022. It appropriated $52.7 billion for semiconductor manufacturing, including $39 billion in direct grants and a 25% investment tax credit that expires this year. It has spurred over $640 billion in private investment across 140 projects in 30 states. It created half a million jobs. By any measure, it is the most significant US industrial policy in a generation. And it covers exactly one sector of an economy-wide technological competition. China’s plan covers every sector. AI across the entire economy. Robotics as industrial backbone. Space infrastructure. Quantum computing. Rare earth processing dominance maintained and strengthened. The CHIPS Act is a rifle. The 15th Five-Year Plan is an arsenal. The rare earth dimension is where the plans intersect with the war. China controls 90% of global rare earth processing. Every F-35 joint strike fighter requires 920 pounds of rare earth materials. Every Patriot missile battery, every THAAD interceptor, every guided munition being expended over Iran at a rate of thousands per week depends on materials that China processes. The “extraordinary measures” in the Five-Year Plan are not defensive. They are the tightening of a supply chain that the US military cannot function without. In April 2025, China imposed export controls on all 17 rare earth elements. The January 2027 DFARS deadline requires the Pentagon to eliminate Chinese rare earth dependency from defence procurement. That leaves a 10-to-15-year vulnerability window during which the United States is simultaneously waging a war that consumes rare-earth-dependent munitions at historic rates and attempting to build alternative supply chains that do not yet exist. The Iran war is consuming the interceptors. China is tightening the supply chain that builds the interceptors. The Five-Year Plan is the document that formalises the tightening into national strategy. Trump posted “Death, Fire, and Fury” on Truth Social. Xi Jinping published a 141-page plan to ensure that the materials required to deliver that fire and fury remain under Chinese control for the next fifteen years. One leader is fighting a war. The other is winning the peace. And the 141 pages that will determine which strategy prevails were published the same week the bombs started falling. Full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

English
0
0
0
268
Shivnath Thukral retweetledi
Financial Times
Financial Times@FT·
Mira Murati’s Thinking Machines strikes multibillion chip deal with Nvidia ft.trib.al/stsIdYU
English
8
32
201
35K
Shivnath Thukral retweetledi
Kerala Box Office
Kerala Box Office@KeralaBxOffce·
The Very First Interview of #SanjuSamson Took By Asianet News Years Back 🔥🔥🔥
English
50
1.9K
19.7K
617.1K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
@IPL2025Auction Interesting that no spotted LN Mittal in this picture , seems one of the worlds richest Indians was also there !
English
0
0
0
87
Indian Cricket
Indian Cricket@IPL2025Auction·
9. Minister Piyush Goyal with his family
Indian Cricket tweet media
Filipino
15
5
301
176.1K
Indian Cricket
Indian Cricket@IPL2025Auction·
Celebrities' presence at Wankhede last night #INDvsENG A threads 🧵 1. Aditi Hundia
Indian Cricket tweet media
English
104
134
4.2K
1.2M
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
@anandmahindra Good counter thought but pls all see this 👇
jack@jack

we're making @blocks smaller today. here's my note to the company. #### today we're making one of the hardest decisions in the history of our company: we're reducing our organization by nearly half, from over 10,000 people to just under 6,000. that means over 4,000 of you are being asked to leave or entering into consultation. i'll be straight about what's happening, why, and what it means for everyone. first off, if you're one of the people affected, you'll receive your salary for 20 weeks + 1 week per year of tenure, equity vested through the end of may, 6 months of health care, your corporate devices, and $5,000 to put toward whatever you need to help you in this transition (if you’re outside the U.S. you’ll receive similar support but exact details are going to vary based on local requirements). i want you to know that before anything else. everyone will be notified today, whether you're being asked to leave, entering consultation, or asked to stay. we're not making this decision because we're in trouble. our business is strong. gross profit continues to grow, we continue to serve more and more customers, and profitability is improving. but something has changed. we're already seeing that the intelligence tools we’re creating and using, paired with smaller and flatter teams, are enabling a new way of working which fundamentally changes what it means to build and run a company. and that's accelerating rapidly. i had two options: cut gradually over months or years as this shift plays out, or be honest about where we are and act on it now. i chose the latter. repeated rounds of cuts are destructive to morale, to focus, and to the trust that customers and shareholders place in our ability to lead. i'd rather take a hard, clear action now and build from a position we believe in than manage a slow reduction of people toward the same outcome. a smaller company also gives us the space to grow our business the right way, on our own terms, instead of constantly reacting to market pressures. a decision at this scale carries risk. but so does standing still. we've done a full review to determine the roles and people we require to reliably grow the business from here, and we've pressure-tested those decisions from multiple angles. i accept that we may have gotten some of them wrong, and we've built in flexibility to account for that, and do the right thing for our customers. we're not going to just disappear people from slack and email and pretend they were never here. communication channels will stay open through thursday evening (pacific) so everyone can say goodbye properly, and share whatever you wish. i'll also be hosting a live video session to thank everyone at 3:35pm pacific. i know doing it this way might feel awkward. i'd rather it feel awkward and human than efficient and cold. to those of you leaving…i’m grateful for you, and i’m sorry to put you through this. you built what this company is today. that's a fact that i'll honor forever. this decision is not a reflection of what you contributed. you will be a great contributor to any organization going forward. to those staying…i made this decision, and i'll own it. what i'm asking of you is to build with me. we're going to build this company with intelligence at the core of everything we do. how we work, how we create, how we serve our customers. our customers will feel this shift too, and we're going to help them navigate it: towards a future where they can build their own features directly, composed of our capabilities and served through our interfaces. that's what i'm focused on now. expect a note from me tomorrow. jack

English
0
0
0
65
anand mahindra
anand mahindra@anandmahindra·
In the past few days, markets have been whipsawing in response to various AI scenarios, most recently the Citrini thought experiment. The report sketches a fictional 2028 in which agentic coding tools drive the cost of software production close to the cost of electricity. In that scenario, corporations sharply reduce or cancel outsourcing contracts, revenues at major Indian IT firms decline, IT exports shrink, India’s balance of payments comes under strain & in its most dramatic passage, even the IMF is imagined to be in preliminary discussions with New Delhi. It’s a great thought exercise. But I can’t resist quoting Mark Twain who once said, “Reports of my death are greatly exaggerated.” Let me add another possible scenario to the debate. I do not claim to have a foolproof counter-scenario. The future remains magically uncertain. Markets are swinging because they are trying to price that uncertainty & in that sense, perhaps they are behaving rationally. AI will undoubtedly put pressure on IT services companies. Yes, they will need to become more efficient, reduce cost structures, rethink headcount models and move away from pure effort-based pricing toward outcomes & value delivery. But what if AI does not eliminate service providers & instead makes the best ones even more central? As AI systems scale across enterprises, someone still has to ensure secure data foundations; integration across legacy and cloud systems; governance, compliance and auditability; mission-critical reliability. Especially for medium and large enterprises, integration is messy, regulation is heavy, and failure costs are high. The differentiator may not be who supplies effort but who can deliver outcomes, manage risk and help deliver ‘Scale at Speed’ as we like to say at @tech_mahindra That role doesn’t disappear. It evolves. So an alternate scenario, offered with humility and not certainty, is that services firms that pivot decisively toward AI orchestration and outcome-based delivery will remain extremely relevant.
Citrini@citrini

I spent 100 hours over the past week researching, writing and editing the piece we just put out. It’s a scenario, not a prediction like most of our work. But it was rigorously constructed, dismissing it outright requires the kind of intellectual laziness that tends to get expensive. And we’ve released it for free. Hopefully you enjoy it. citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic

English
324
128
1.1K
235.2K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
Major sahab as we would call him when he first walked into NDTV and sat next to us; his baritone voice & tall presence impressed us all but what really inspired was his eagerness to roll up his sleeves and get on the ground to report and run back to edit rooms! RIP #MaroofRaza
Rajdeep Sardesai@sardesairajdeep

Very sad news: Major Maroof Raza has passed away.. many TV viewers will remember Maroof and his distinctive style and knowledge on defence issues. . RIP

English
2
10
60
4.6K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
Rare story where the driver who caused the accident takes the victim to hospital, given the rarity of such acts one should shine more light on his good deed! yes he may have caused the accident but seems hasn’t forgotten his human values ? @timesofindia @gurgaonpolice
Shivnath Thukral tweet media
English
0
1
3
360
Shivnath Thukral retweetledi
Rahul Chari
Rahul Chari@rahulchari9·
I’m excited to share that we’ve launched an AI-powered natural language search on @PhonePe, built using Microsoft Foundry. We are moving from traditional menus to intent-based routing—allowing users to navigate the app, make payments, and track insights using simple voice or text commands. What I’m most excited about is the architecture behind this which uses a hybrid model that combines local on-device and cloud inferencing, while keeping all processing secure and ensuring privacy with no personal or transactional data leaving the PhonePe environment. At PhonePe, we believe Payments should be built for people, not just for transactions. Proud of the team for shipping this. phonepe.com/press/phonepe-…
English
3
2
90
4.9K
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
Kudos to @rahulchari9 and @_sameernigam as well as the entire @PhonePe team for leading a quiet but impactful tech revolution from within! This is a unique example of how the DNA of the founders and company believes in leading change & drive India’s march into the future !
Rahul Chari@rahulchari9

I’m excited to share that we’ve launched an AI-powered natural language search on @PhonePe, built using Microsoft Foundry. We are moving from traditional menus to intent-based routing—allowing users to navigate the app, make payments, and track insights using simple voice or text commands. What I’m most excited about is the architecture behind this which uses a hybrid model that combines local on-device and cloud inferencing, while keeping all processing secure and ensuring privacy with no personal or transactional data leaving the PhonePe environment. At PhonePe, we believe Payments should be built for people, not just for transactions. Proud of the team for shipping this. phonepe.com/press/phonepe-…

English
0
0
3
597
Shivnath Thukral
Shivnath Thukral@shivithukral·
Well said @Rudra_81
ANI@ANI

#WATCH | India AI Impact Summit | Delhi: Rudra Chaudhuri, Vice President at Observer Research Foundation, says, "Yesterday I went and spent 90 minutes walking around the summit, and I think for me the biggest part of the summit was to see busloads of schoolchildren and college kids swarm the area, the expos, and ask all the relevant questions... That's what this Impact Summit is beginning to capture - a connection between the technology, which at the moment has totally outstripped the deployment, and people and if that bridge can be built through this summit, one way or the other, it's a great success..." He adds, "...We need a balance for innovation. If you look at the messaging and the actual templates coming out of the Indian government at the moment, it's very pro-innovation. But at some point, governments and regulation will catch up with this stuff. But that's a balance that has to be struck. We can't be over-regulating a sector that we don't understand."

English
1
2
2
851