shotsOfThoughts

@OVcrypto leaning towards that - ABC of some sort for Wave B, most likely a triangle to test everyone's patience !

#Bitcoin let see if we are doing the famous Dalai Lama meme pattern

@DamiDefi $DOGE

Now that every coin seems dead, what’s the one coin you think will make the biggest comeback? 1. $SOL 2. $ZEC 3. $TAO 4. $ONDO 5. ________ Let me know in the comments, I'm curious🧐

@camelfinance @RogerMa95197435 that is a very old chart, done and dusted and rekted ! If relief rally fills CME gap at $81k and turns it into a support, would that invalidate your count @camelfinance ?

@RogerMa95197435 It’s not too early.

Too early to be calling this.

@jungleincxrp let's not forget this one ! x.com/KingKaranCrypt…

How it started vs How it’s going 💥 XRP is going to zero XRP is going higher than $20 😆

@finsends think we're good, expecting a selective alts pump based on this chart, notice now others barely moved during this downturn.

$DOGE filled the 10/10 wick. It sits at support of the 88,7. If it goes up, that's it's chance right here. We don't have bullish🐮 divergence, accelerating downward momentum and a not too clean structure. I think this pattern is shaky. What do you think?🤔 #Dogecoin

@pinkpunks_ @AskCryptoWealth nope - this.

@AskCryptoWealth Short it then

The unwind will be spectacular..

FVG filled, took about 3 wks.

#BTC - we're coming for you bears, mess with the bulls, you'll get horns !

@Osemka8 💯

Without me scrolling through CT, this is probably what the bears are comparing atm. Am I right?

#BTC - weekly looks prime

#BTC bull case - take out the greens lines and retest to ATH at $137k before rolling over.

@matthughes13 Brutal

The $XRP shorts havent lost this much money in such a short amount of time in a long long time

@blackwidowbtc pretty sure you're positioned for both :-)

I’m hyped and ready for 2026 🥳 If dominance crashes and I get to play with more ALTS that would be killer If I get to buy discounted #Bitcoin that would be even better! If I get both this year I might cry 🥲😂🥂

@tradetravelchil looks like that bogan dance didn't do down too well when the market was bleeding.

125 people are mad that I took a holiday from my job. Tough crowd 🤣

@korinek_trades can't wait !

@WoSSCrypto @karthikponna19 love Perl, regex champ.

@karthikponna19 Java and (showing my age) COBOL. Possibly the worst 4 months of my techy life was a job involving the conversion of a legacy COBOL codebase, printed on green and white dot matrix paper no less, into Java. Yuck. Gimme Perl, PHP or Python any day. 🤣

programming language you learned once but never touched again ?

#BTC - bullish if this pattern plays out, let's take out $94k first.

@X can you please make it so that finance accounts cannot delete posts? Why should people be allowed to hide their actions or bad calls? Retweet or like if you agree. Let’s bring change to the space for 2026.

@RebellioMarket YES

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@guyontheearth @CredibleCrypto we got hammered by Jason all through out, bet ya he's got a big bag now.. x.com/jasonpizzino/s…

Great post Cred. One aspect that seems to be totally overlooked in the scenario you discuss is the REAL WORLD implications for everyday investors like me and you that spent the bear DCA into crypto. When the bull market began- between 2023 to Nov 2024 - Bitcoin only bulls were paying an increasing amount for their Bitcoin. Each $1000 DCA was giving them less and less Bitcoin each time they bought - as the majority bought weekly or monthly as they were paid from their jobs. Every time we bought XRP it was around 50c-60c. We spent nearly 2 years longer buying our asset at the lows because it didn't slowly move up. This was the period we were called idiots. So not only did we outperform on a % basis by the end using bottom to top measurements - but we also has almost 2 years longer to stack our asset at lows. For the every day person the implications of that were huge. Most people buy when they get paid - meaning they had minimal buys with Bitcoins $15k lows vs the XRP lads who spend 2 extra years buying literally at the lows. And here we are again - finding ourselves at the lows being called idiots. I certainly know what I am doing. Most just don't understand all of this on a deep enough level.

As one of the biggest Bitcoin bulls from 3k $BTC in 2017 till now, it is super important to take the time to really UNDERSTAND the implications of the chart below. Top half is XRP/BTC and the bottom half is BTC. Before we jump into the chart- let's set the stage with a bit of background: As I've said since 2018, Bitcoin is always the first to lead out of bear markets into a new bull run and alts always lag initially and then pick up steam towards the end of the cycle with their biggest moves post BTC cycle top (this is when we see the greatest amount of profit taking on $BTC, and hundreds of billions of dollars of outflow into alts combined with new inflow from a euphoric and greedy retail cohort). At 3k, Bitcoin was a great buy, at 15k Bitcoin was a great buy, at 30k Bitcoin was still a solid buy, and I was staunchly bullish every single time we had reached any of those regions. However, after finally cracking 100k+, and despite my belief that we still have higher to go for Bitcoin in this cycle, the reality is that R/R and expected ROI from current levels does not favor buying $BTC over alts at these levels if you plan to take profits by the end of the current cycle (assumption here is the cycle will end somewhere between now and 300k BTC AND that you are buying alts with real utility, that are down 90+% from their highs, and that have favorable HTF chart structures). There is one caveat- if you are a professional trader and the best trader on earth, then you may be able to perfectly time a rotation from Bitcoin to alts at the exact moment that ALT/BTC pairings are at their pico bottom- for 99% of you (including myself) this is not realistically achievable most of the time- and so- the only other option is to begin to DCA into select, high conviction alts, when you deem them to be at a relatively good R/R zone. Now that we have got that out of the way, let's take a look at the chart. I will again emphasize it is VITAL to understand the point being made here, and it may seem a bit complex to grasp initially- so stay with me and re-read this as many times as you need to until it clicks... The upper portion of the chart is XRP/BTC and the lower portion is $BTC. What I want you to focus on here is the current XRP/BTC ratio of .0000212 that we are now trading at. In simple terms, if you bought $XRP at any time in the past when the XRP/BTC ratio was BELOW this point, then you have outperformed against $BTC from that point until now. To make this easier to visualize, I've highlighted this portion of time in BLUE on the XRP/BTC chart. You'll notice that during this entire time, XRP was underperforming against $BTC (signaled by XRP/BTC bleeding lower for most of this period). For over 460 days, $XRP underperformed, and sentiment here on socials mirrored that- with anyone choosing to buy $XRP over $BTC being mocked, called "crazy", "stupid", "delusional" and the like. And then, in a matter of literally 23 DAYS, XRP shot up over 7x, and in 23 days, the 460+ days of underperformance were made IRRELEVANT as the ROI on $XRP was now GREATER than the ROI on $BTC for anyone who purchased $XRP in that 460 day window of relative underperformance we mentioned earlier. To put this in perspective- if you bought $XRP at ANY point in time during that 460 day window, then today, at current prices of XRP and BTC, you will have outperformed ANYONE who bought $BTC ANYWHERE above 25k. Let that sink in. If you bought $XRP as far back as August of '23- over two years ago- and simply held it until expansion, then you outperformed every Bitcoin buyer that bought BTC at 30k, 35k, 40k, 50k, 60k, etc. DESPITE over 450 days of relative underperformance prior to that 23 day expansion. And THIS is why I have been railing on about the same 4-5 alts for years at their HTF, macro lows, because despite their current underperformance (which is expected), unless you are the best trader on earth, you will likely STRUGGLE to position yourself without a DCA approach in these markets- where an alt can be dormant for years and then erase all that bearish PA in 1/20th of the time. Now consider all of the above, but consider that $BTC now sits at 90k, not 3k, not 15k, and not 30k, but 90k, 30x above the cycle bottom at 3k, and 6x above the more recent 5th wave origin at 15k. We are now at a place where the R/R on BTC vs (sound) alts is far worse than it was in the example above, especially on coins like $CRV that sit at macro range lows. Let's put prior ATH highs aside for a second and consider that even a 3x on $CRV from current levels- from .35 to $1- is the equivalent of $BTC moving up from current levels to $240,000 in terms of ROI. So, bottom line, people can continue to whine about alts not moving and talking about how it's silly to invest in them, but I will continue to beat the drum on this as long as I need to because in the end its clear to me what's coming, as it was for $XRP and as it will be for many others. We already KNOW $BTC leads out of major corrections- it is not a profound statement to say that "BTC will outperform right now". However, for those that are patient and able to look 10 steps ahead instead of 2, the real opportunity at this point in time is in high quality, fundamentally sound, and structurally solid alts- even if you have to wait for $BTC to top before we see the largest moves on them.

@XForceGlobal this could potentially get very nasty if the bears show up in full force on the retest of $74k to the downside, lights out I think.

$BTC [Bearish Thesis Update] For the bearish thesis, we are looking for one more established low, to either complete as a Running or Expanded Flat variation. The bearish thesis is not really even that bearish, as it's really just one last flush before further upside to ATH.