Sinatra

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Sinatra

Sinatra

@sinatra_sol

Swing & Long-Term Crypto Trader | Technical Analyst | Data Scientist ✉️ DM for inquiries

Katılım Aralık 2020
392 Takip Edilen453 Takipçiler
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
🚨THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS ALIVE AND WELL ‼️ Many people in crypto twitter are calling for the death of the 4-year cycle, but I believe this is a baseless claim with little to no evidence according to the charts. Ignore the noise. Follow the structure. Let’s break it down: 🧵(1/7)
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@itzjoshuajake I wonder when you will tell ur followers that the ONDO token has 0 token utility
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Joshua Jake
Joshua Jake@itzjoshuajake·
WOAH $ONDO TVL IS SKYROCKETING If only the price would too😭
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Ethprofit.eth 🦇🔊
🔥 JUST IN: JPMorgan says tokenized real-world assets market could grow to $13 trillion by 2030 on Ethereum!
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@Ethprofit The impressive part is that this is during a bear market
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Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
Bitcoin has won. Global consensus is that $BTC is digital capital. The four-year cycle is dead. Price is now driven by capital flows. Bank and digital credit will determine Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. The biggest risk is bad ideas driving iatrogenic protocol changes.
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Token Terminal 📊
Token Terminal 📊@tokenterminal·
Ethereum processes ~$8 trillion in stablecoin transfer volume per quarter. What will this figure look like in an agent-first era?
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
I agree with you, I’m not saying buying ondo here is a bad idea, I’m just saying it corrected harder because there is no token demand which is true (not to mention horrible tokenomics) During a bear market, there is pretty low demand. So when you have a coin that is not actually needed along with bad tokenomics it tends to correct harder. That does not mean it’s bad to buy, I think you misunderstood be there. Like DOGE coin is useless but it may be an excellent buy BECAUSE it performs hard during a bull market. The trap is that people think the reason why it crashed is still going to be a reason it crashes harder (if that makes sense). I fell for that trap many times and I’ve learned from my mistake.
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ChainShinobi
ChainShinobi@chainshinobi·
It’s not about the token being useless….It’s about Ondo Finance as a company You’re betting at the lows of $ONDO on one thing: that Ondo Finance performs. Yes right now the token has no clear utility and Yes Ondo hasn’t fully defined its role yet. But that’s exactly the point. The token exists for a reason It’s the proxy. The simplest way for retail to get exposure to the company. Retail doesn’t wait for perfection. They buy the narrative first and utility later. And the narrative is pretty simple brother If Ondo wins then the token wins in their mind. That alone is enough. We have a -90% discounted entry between $0.18–$0.24 on a legit company in a growing sector and you’re waiting for perfect clarity ? That’s how you miss asymmetric bets my friend Because if/when Ondo gives the token real meaning you’re not buying $0.20 anymore. You’re chasing multiples higher. So the real question isn’t Is the token useless today ? But more like are you positioned before it isn’t ?
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Nazoku
Nazoku@Nazo_ku·
Ondo Finance delivered an extremely high dose of dopamine to this Gen Z guy 3mo ago: - DCA’d into $ONDO for 3 consecutive months - 7.8M tokens were bought - Total value: $3.03M, average price: $0.3879 14h ago, Ondo stopped supplying dopamine and instead injected him with a massive dose of cortisol—so high it exceeded his tolerance, leading to an impulsive decision: - Sold 3.453M tokens at $0.2578 - Execution value: $890K - Realized loss: -$450K - Unrealized loss: -$1.14M Ondo might be the only protocol whose price action moves against every fundamental growth principle of the platform. “I'd rather be optimistic and wrong than pessimistic and right.” — Elon Musk Maybe he should stay pessimistic for the rest of the year to become more optimistic about $ONDO later! Wallet: intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre…
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Nazoku@Nazo_ku

Demand for $ONDO may be increasing, as Revolut has withdrawn $3.62M worth of ONDO from Coinbase to serve users on its platform: - 13.33M $ONDO withdrawn from Coinbase 7h ago - Over 11M tokens transferred to 0x15Da to provide liquidity Ondo Finance’s TVL has reached $3.2 billion, marking a ATH, and it is still in an uptrend, although the price is moving in the opposite direction. Revolut is a multinational fintech company headquartered in London, United Kingdom. It began listing and supporting ONDO token trading in early April 2024. intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre… intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre…

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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@RealJackPoor Hopefully 1.6-1.8k, would love to buy more there
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Jack.poor 🇦🇲
Jack.poor 🇦🇲@RealJackPoor·
What's your $ETH prediction for the end of April?
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@sunnydecree In 13 years, stablecoins on ethereum went from 0 to 165billion$, but ya nobody actually uses it.
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sunnydecree
sunnydecree@sunnydecree·
Quick reminder: there are still people buying ETH. Seriously, how stupid can someone be? Ethereum has been making promises for 13 years and none of them have been kept. In the real world, nobody is using Ethereum. Nobody. And yet people keep buying it. $250 billion market cap. The same as Nestlé or Intel...
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
I still think its more probable that we go lower here cause of what usdt.d is telling me. I do think ultimately in the coming 1/2 years, we should see 10k+. But I also feel that this could play out, the way silver swept its previous ATH from 1980 in 2011, then rallied to 120$ years later, seems like eth is doing the same thing (so far) after it swept its ATHs from 2021 in 2025 judging by the fractal. Ik there is a major time difference, but the structure is there.
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Sykodelic 🔪
Sykodelic 🔪@Sykodelic_·
$ETH is going to $10k. Minimum. It has been trading in a HTF range for close to 5 years now. Building a very strong base from which it will eventually expand from. And when it does expand, it will not look back. "The bigger the base the higher in space". $ETH, right now, has one of the largest bases of any asset globally. In addition, its 1M RSI has reached low levels that have marked evert major HTF reversal, at the same time as its at the bottom of its channel. As far as positioning goes, it doesn't get much better R/R. And its next attempt to break this range will likely be the one that does it. The potential upside for $ETH here outweighs the downside by several orders of magnitude.
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@WWBitcoin I feel like this is what u think x.com/sinatra_sol/st…
Sinatra@sinatra_sol

What if $ETH is just following what silver did but in a shorter time frame? I feel this is plausible. This is NOT my base case, but definitly something I will have my eyes on. First off, I chose silver because of its similar tops to eth, NOT because "ETH is the silver of crypto". Silver had its major top in Jan of 1980 at 47.6$, then after a long wait, in April 2011, it FINALLY broke its ATH, but only swept the high. Ik there is a major timeframe difference, but this is similar to eth in many ways. Sentiment was overly impatient that eth could not break its ATH while BTC and SOL did, then finally after 4 years later, it made a new ATH, but never entered price discovery, JUST LIKE silver. You can ALSO see in the fractal that silver had 3 chop periods after it swept the high. $ETH has had 2 chop periods since it swept the old ATHs and is now in its 3rd chop period. Playbook: 1.7k was potential bottom, possibly see a sweep and go to 1.5-1.6k. We chop in this area between 1.7k to 2.5k for months and thats it, then enter a raging bull market in 2027 for eth. I was not sure of this before, I was always worried that when the $SPX corrects, it will drag eth down with it (even after the feb crash). so far it hasnt, eth rallying when spx is flat, then dumping when it corrects, it creates this choppy price action that this silver fractal suggests. Fractal trading to be quite frank is unwise and shouldn't be relied on, but this tradeoff rallies we are seeing for crypto against the SPX could suggest that we don't have to go much lower. I thought this was not a real possibility given that I expected the SPX to correct, but after it started its correction and observing price movements, i give this a 30% chance of actually happening. i still think btc and eth have not bottomed AND should see lower very soon, but I do have a scenario where I can accept that we have bottomed and entered chop mode, a scenario that imo is worth speculating on. The reasons why this isnt my base case is because of USDT.D chart, it is asking for another push higher.

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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@CoinGuideWW This quantum BS is a perfect narrative for this leg down I feel
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Coin Guide (William Watson)
Coin Guide (William Watson)@CoinGuideWW·
The bear flag channel keeps rejecting bitcoin, it's only a matter of time before we start capitulating again imo
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
A friend told me that NMR may not be halal to hold, and looking into it, it makes sense unfortunately 😔 Unless someone could correct me, but because these machine learning models are contributing to numerai’s hedge fund, many assets that deal with alcohol, interest etc could be involved which is a big no no. Also trading assets based of ML models helps predict both upside and downside price movement, which means the hedge fund may short an asset which also is haram. I really liked the idea, but not worth compromising your religion over in any case.
Sinatra@sinatra_sol

I bought $NMR yesterday at 7.67$ Honestly do not care where it goes, I’m holding this more long term. It could go to 3-4$, I’d just buy more. As an up and coming data scientist myself, I can say that after spending hours researching this, I was truly fascinated on how @numerai’s business model works.

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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@Nebraskangooner Also at resistance against the rest of the market in a bear market usually ain’t a buy signal
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
@Nazo_ku This is why people shouldn’t buy based off whale purchases. In the April crash, many eth whales sold eth at 1.4k. A lot of them are emotional when it comes to crypto
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Nazoku
Nazoku@Nazo_ku·
🚨A tragic ending for a $LINK HODL! → 1y ago (Dec 7, 2024), a large $LINK whale (0x924) appeared with nearly $10,000,000 in capital. → Bought 390.23k $LINK ($9.63M) at $24.6778 from Binance and supplied it all into AAVE. → 5mon ago, withdrew 245k tokens ($3.53M) and sold them on Binance. → 33min ago, withdrew the remaining 145.34k LINK ($1.27M) from AAVE and sold it on Binance. In the end, accepted a 50% loss: ~$5,000,000 "If you can't hold, you won't be rich" — CZ, Binance founder intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre…
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Nazoku@Nazo_ku

🚨 Just in: Whale 0x96e withdrew 96.442k $LINK worth $820k from Binance. This could be a dip-buying move, as $LINK is very cheap compared to 2025. intel.arkm.com/explorer/addre…

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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
$USDT.D Why I dont think we bottomed, i do think this breakout should put us very close to the bottom if not the actual bottom.
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
What if $ETH is just following what silver did but in a shorter time frame? I feel this is plausible. This is NOT my base case, but definitly something I will have my eyes on. First off, I chose silver because of its similar tops to eth, NOT because "ETH is the silver of crypto". Silver had its major top in Jan of 1980 at 47.6$, then after a long wait, in April 2011, it FINALLY broke its ATH, but only swept the high. Ik there is a major timeframe difference, but this is similar to eth in many ways. Sentiment was overly impatient that eth could not break its ATH while BTC and SOL did, then finally after 4 years later, it made a new ATH, but never entered price discovery, JUST LIKE silver. You can ALSO see in the fractal that silver had 3 chop periods after it swept the high. $ETH has had 2 chop periods since it swept the old ATHs and is now in its 3rd chop period. Playbook: 1.7k was potential bottom, possibly see a sweep and go to 1.5-1.6k. We chop in this area between 1.7k to 2.5k for months and thats it, then enter a raging bull market in 2027 for eth. I was not sure of this before, I was always worried that when the $SPX corrects, it will drag eth down with it (even after the feb crash). so far it hasnt, eth rallying when spx is flat, then dumping when it corrects, it creates this choppy price action that this silver fractal suggests. Fractal trading to be quite frank is unwise and shouldn't be relied on, but this tradeoff rallies we are seeing for crypto against the SPX could suggest that we don't have to go much lower. I thought this was not a real possibility given that I expected the SPX to correct, but after it started its correction and observing price movements, i give this a 30% chance of actually happening. i still think btc and eth have not bottomed AND should see lower very soon, but I do have a scenario where I can accept that we have bottomed and entered chop mode, a scenario that imo is worth speculating on. The reasons why this isnt my base case is because of USDT.D chart, it is asking for another push higher.
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
FYI i didnt buy during the dip to 140, this is my tao i had since april crash, hence why i didnt show the tao/usd chart
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Sinatra
Sinatra@sinatra_sol·
$TAO Sold 20% of my TAO spot bag @ 325, I doubt this breaks to the upside during a bear market (I have several reasons to believe we are in a bear market). We can see that TAO against the altcoin market likes to reject around this area an is used to have these random spikes. Worst case it breaks and goes nuts, I still have the rest of my bag. I do plan to rotate these funds to eth, but as of right now, I am waiting for more confirmation on the USDT.D chart. I also can't forget that TAO always LOVES to rally during choppy periods, and you can see that with TAO/TOTAL2.
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