
Mark Walters
502 posts






I'm very bullish on Taiwan. Following on from my Browave thesis: > @FT report that "the US tech industry will remain critically dependent on Taiwan for the immediate future." > " $AAPL, $NVDA, $AMD, $QCOM and $AVGO have no viable alternative manufacturer of advanced chips at the scale they need." Taiwan's GDP growth will be crazy high for the next ~5 years given the AI supercycle and near monopolies e.g. mass production of 2nm from $TSM. Also CoWoS - where $NVDA Blackwell & Rubin and $GOOGL TPUs require this specific packaging to function. Taiwan has raised CoWoS capacity targets for 2026–2027 to meet "urgent orders" from $GOOGL and $NVDA. No other country has the scaled infrastructure to perform CoWoS. Also, geopolotics aren't really a concern to me: There's huge global reliance on Taiwan's technology. All major powers (including China) benefit more from Taiwan’s continued operation than its destruction.



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