JD

1.4K posts

JD

JD

@st0nsk

Investor. No recommendations. Own opinions.

Stockholm, Sverige Katılım Ekim 2017
723 Takip Edilen577 Takipçiler
JD retweetledi
Jason's Chips
Jason's Chips@jasonschips·
I think the most blatantly undervalued name in this article is Aixtron $AIXA. Aixtron has a complete monopoly on indium phosphide epitaxy. They claim "well north of 90% share," but in reality it is a polite way of saying effective monopoly. They are the holders of the Planetary Reactor IP, which is the only way that you can batch InP epitaxy for economically viable throughput. In their last earnings call they confirmed that they are shipping. The industry needs 80-100 InP MOCVD tools per year (each tool costs €4M). This is without any CPO contribution. High power CW lasers for CPO require much higher epitaxial intensity (time inside these machines) than traditional EML or SiPho CWs. The absolute unit shipments of these widgets will also probably exceed the traditional laser market after all three phases of the exponential ramp: phase 0 scale-out CPO, which connects switches in the scale-out network, phase 1 scale-up CPO, which connects adjacent racks, and phase 2 scale-up CPO, which connects chips inside of a single rack replacing copper. Each phase is half an order of magnitude larger than the last. I am modeling their optoelectronics revenue to exceed €1 billion somewhere between 2029 and 2030. My first ever article was about them. I wrote it and also invested back in Q4 2025 when they were at €14. Now they're at €54. I still think they are massively undervalued given that every single earnings call they somehow manage to revise up their optoelectronics revenue by like another 50%. Oh by the way did I also tell you that they have a monopoly on MOCVD tools for power semis GaN?
Jason's Chips@jasonschips

x.com/i/article/2057…

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JD@st0nsk·
@ValueGARP Semis handlas extremt framåt.. Nokia ev/ebit ~22x 2027e. Klart allt börjar se stretchat ut, men finns utrymme för upgrades. Nokia har redan guidat 20% tillväxt för (network/optics) som är 40% av sales med högre BM%. Tror EPS kan växa 25% CAGR 3YF.. vs. Consensus 15% CAGR
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ValueGARP
ValueGARP@ValueGARP·
@st0nsk Vad handlas Nokia till nu på detta nyckeltal 2026F?
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JD@st0nsk·
$ERIC $NOKIA kan väll handlas till ev/ebit 20x när alla fattar att det är nästa hype? 🇺🇸
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Cyberpunk Sense 👑
Cyberpunk Sense 👑@napoleon21st·
I'm up 400% on $SIVE but I am keeping it all long term, here is why: First Sivers has an index inclusion and earnings next week. They will likely announce Nasdaq listing is on track. Then Nasdaq listing happens this summer. Then CPO photonics starts ramping up right as Sivers receives capital from American institutions. Through 2027 as investment in CPO photonics multiples 10x like Goldman Sachs said Sivers will be rerated closer to its American peers who have 10s of billions of valuations. This means that you can just sit on your $SIVE position for years and it becomes your piggy bank. It is easy to see Sivers at 10-20b valuation. Well for me 20b would mean over 3 million and I never have to work again. But it won't stop there because guess what? The AI revolution has only just begun.
Cyberpunk Sense 👑 tweet media
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Longterms
Longterms@Longterms1·
@napoleon21st You mean that the listing will be done within a few weeks/months? Do you have any examples of listing that was made that fast? What kind of revenue is need for the stock go to 10-20busd?
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Utdelningsjägaren
Utdelningsjägaren@Utdelningsjgar2·
Sedan toppen 2021 har TIN Ny Teknik en avkastning på minus 62 procent. Under förra året var värdeutvecklingen minus 24 procent samtidigt som fondens jämförelseindex, VINX Small Cap, steg 5,6 procent. Ägarna har däremot plockat ut totalt 256 miljoner i utdelning.
Utdelningsjägaren tweet media
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JD@st0nsk·
@AbbeMatti Beklagar. Viss value trap med bolag som trotsar kinesisk diktatur..
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JD@st0nsk·
@aleabitoreddit Mate how are you going to tackle this when the tide goes out and the biggest chunk of retail is swimming naked.. your thesis are only dreams. It’s over soon
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$SIVE is literally the kingmaker for CPO: From ~ Lightmatter, Celestial, Ayar, Lightelligence early on. Now the leaders with massive $5-10B+ valuations. To the ASIC ecosystems like Marvell, Alchip, GUC. With O-Net mass producing ELS with Sivers for CPO. And Jabil mass producing pluggables with Sivers for pluggable optical transceivers. All likely surround and are designed around Sivers lasers. Markets are only starting to see the precipice of how important this laser company is.
Serenity tweet media
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

x.com/i/article/2056…

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JD@st0nsk·
@financeamir @spadnN Tycker $HACK med 30-40% CAGR till extremt låg multipel, som blivit ett av det hetaste studios i branschen och kör över marknaden med nya operatörer som vill ha deras spel på hyllan.. har extremt bra utfallsmöjlighet.
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JD@st0nsk·
@financeamir @spadnN Ett bolag som tappar kunder och sett sin EPS slaktas över 4år. Vad är sannolikheten att det nu vänder? Hur stor är risken att rushstreet eller fler större kunder också lämnar. Med AI är det inte lägre tröskel att bygga odds in-house. Alt snabbare scrape. Varför pröjsa 15% TR?
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financeamir
financeamir@financeamir·
$kambi (sportboksleverantör) har länge varit en pendel fram och tillbaka med tvära kast. Sedan notering 2014 har Anders Ström bolag inte lyckats skapa aktieägarvärde, aktien har på 12 år gått ungefär som index. >>
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JD@st0nsk·
@Snaljapen @LaBulll Railroads/dotcom slutade illa. Idag är det 5 bolag som investerar hela sitt CF och bränner nettokassan, inte flera hundra bolag som fick låna för att investera. Fundera på supercykel 7-15år and don’t miss out 😂
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Olle Qvarnström
Olle Qvarnström@Snaljapen·
@LaBulll Det är ju annorlunda den här gången, frågan är bara HUR annorlunda :p.
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JD@st0nsk·
@Longterms1 Fan vad du kör! Haha legend
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JD@st0nsk·
@EkonomiGabriel Trist att han tar vinst i kanske världens bästa bolag på innovation och köper istället bolaget som haft som strategi att kopiera konkurrenterna, bara för multipelsvängningar
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JD@st0nsk·
@LaBulll Jobbigast är om man sitter med högbeta small cap i Norden och hoppas på någon relativ play sen när det är risk off där borta i US och vi här hemma har samma nedsida 😂
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JD@st0nsk·
@LaBulll Man lär hinna agera. Om man kan gissa på vyn framåt. Bromsar hypers smittar det till ett USGov debt problem, everybody’s problem etc. Allt går ned i slutändan :(
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JD@st0nsk·
@cmuggla Låter som du tkr hittat ett smartare sätt att chasea Silex. Köp silex istället. Dör drömmen där hur stor rabatt ska Bure få då?
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Carl-Magnus Uggla
Carl-Magnus Uggla@cmuggla·
Rusningen i Silex gör att bolaget nu utgör 17,5% av substansen i Bure. Kursen i Bure har dock inte hängt med upp, så rabatten har växt till rekordhöga 19,5%. Är lång Bure och kan nog tänka mig att öka då även deras portfölj i stort ser rätt intressant ut på dessa nivåer.
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JD@st0nsk·
@optionscjp Also I guess that $NVDA will soon partner with $ERC because they have AT&T and Verizon. Largest player on the US RAN Market
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Options selling with Christian
Ok... It might be a little far fetched.. but hear me out.. I think the Trump Admin could take a stake in $NOK Nokia, Here's why: - Trump is already on his high horse about his $INTC investment doing great, and I'm sure he's on the hunt for another stock to invest in. $NOK checks every box - Nokia just committed $4 BILLION to US R&D and manufacturing — Bell Labs in NJ, plants in Wisconsin, Texas, and Pennsylvania — made in DIRECT collaboration with the Trump administration They are already embedded with the DOD. - Nokia Federal Solutions is working with Anduril on battlefield 5G towers and just launched a defense 5G solution with Lockheed Martin THIS WEEK. - $NVDA just dropped a $1 billion equity stake into Nokia to build out AI-native 6G infrastructure - Nokia and Ericsson are basically the only two non-Chinese options for 6G equipment at scale globally. Huawei is banned. The list is SHORT. This is the telecom version of the $INTC thesis — secure a critical Western supplier before you NEED to secure it... Thoughts?! It would explain all the crazy call flow.
Options selling with Christian tweet media
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