The Supercycle

503 posts

The Supercycle

@supercycleblog

The future of prediction market media. Created by @FlipPidot and @realTomBayes

Katılım Eylül 2024

180 Takip Edilen817 Takipçiler

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·17 Nis

The SuperModel and Bayesian Supercycle have joined forces as The Supercycle. Everyone welcome @realTomBayes!

Eli Goldfine@realTomBayes

Today, I'm excited to announce @supercycleblog — the future of prediction market media. This effort combines top writers across the industry, including @FlipPidot, @HarryDCrane, and myself. Welcome to the ultimate signal. Read more here: itsnotgambling.substack.com/cp/194505344

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·5d

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·5d

(Full recording out tomorrow morning.)

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·5d

Insane things are happening on The Supercycle podcast. Watch as a literal CAT joins Episode #3.

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·6d

Who wants to be on the Supercycle ecosystem panel? Reply if you're doing something interesting in the space 👇

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The Supercycle retweetledi

Aggie@BlondiePredicts·1 May

The raising star of prediction markets @realTomBayes

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Eli Goldfine@realTomBayes·29 Nis

He made almost every point we discredited on @supercycleblog last week, but nevertheless I was laughing the whole way through.

Dustin Gouker@DustinGouker

I don’t think it’s an exaggeration to call this the greatest piece of prediction market content created to date.

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·28 Nis

.@HarryDCrane on bet sizing and why people use fractional Kelly. Full episode on supercycle.blog.

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·27 Nis

Episode #2 of The Supercycle Podcast. With guest @HarryDCrane. Harry has some great insights on market mechanics! One of the most interesting podcasts we’ve done, as well as the first episode co-hosted by both Eli and Flip since the rebrand. supercycle.blog/p/harry-crane-…

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·27 Nis

@eightyhi Eventually...

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Adhi Rajaprabhakaran@eightyhi·27 Nis

who is brave enough to be the TBPN of prediction markets

Sky@SkyatPM

Would love to see Kalshi or Polymarket host a daily live show on their site discussing the most important current markets - basically turning the newsletter into a daily one-hour live show.@mansourtarek_ @luanalopeslara @shayne_coplan

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·25 Nis

@ChairmanSelig @StuDoesAmerica @PredictableShow @CFTC @Eagles Hey Mike! Want to come on our podcast with @FlipPidot and @realTomBayes?

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Mike Selig@ChairmanSelig·24 Nis

Great to join @StuDoesAmerica on @PredictableShow where we discussed all things prediction markets, the @CFTC's role in regulating event contracts, and even the Philadelphia @Eagles' upcoming football season! Watch now ⬇️ youtube.com/watch?v=roFLNa…

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·25 Nis

supercycle.blog/p/more-perfect…

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·25 Nis

Last week, @MorePerfectUS published an "investigation" into Polymarket. We dug into it and found that it was riddled with mountains of n=1 studies, propaganda, and misrepresented data. Link to full report below 👇

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Eli Goldfine@realTomBayes·25 Nis

NY, my home state, is entering a losing battle against the incredible CFTC led by @ChairmanSelig. If @NewYorkStateAG wants to debate prediction markets on @supercycleblog, we'd be happy to have her.

Mike Selig@ChairmanSelig

New York is the latest state to ignore federal law and decades of precedent by seeking to enforce state gambling laws against @CFTC-registered derivatives exchanges. Today’s lawsuit builds upon the @CFTC’s ongoing efforts in other states to protect its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets. Read more⬇️ cftc.gov/PressRoom/Pres…

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·24 Nis

.@Domahhhh has taken the stage at @predictionconlv.

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Aggie@BlondiePredicts·23 Nis

“Smart money is not doing insider trading, because you will get caught” great quote by John Phillips CEO of @PredictIt interviewed by @GerlacherC of @PredictionNews_ at Prediction markets conference in Las Vegas this morning @predictionconlv

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·23 Nis

Now on stage at @predictionconlv: John Phillips, CEO of @PredictIt.

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·23 Nis

At the Prediction Conference in Las Vegas @predictionconlv. Currently listening to Shay Patel from Delphi.

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Metaculus@metaculus·22 Nis

A fun conversation between @realTomBayes and three @Metaculus Pro Forecasters: @adonis_ds, @BenShindel, & @DrTournesol over at @supercycleblog. They discuss the forecasting process, data intake, how prediction markets differ from traditional forecasting, & a P(Doom) debate at the end. Check it out! substack.com/home/post/p-19…

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Flip Pidot@FlipPidot·22 Nis

En route to @predictionconlv. Will give this talk tomorrow. Hope to see you there!

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The Supercycle@supercycleblog·22 Nis

We're on our way to Las Vegas for @predictionconlv! We'll be sharing a couple interesting one-on-one conversations at supercycle.blog.

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Keşfet

@realTomBayes @HarryDCrane @eightyhi @ChairmanSelig @StuDoesAmerica @PredictableShow @CFTC @Eagles