Flip Pidot

Don't forget SBC Summit in Ft Lauderdale, June 9-11.

Codex just became the first LLM to make me actually laugh out loud: "My recommendation: do UI cleanup next, then adaptive performance. The sim is getting powerful, but the controls are starting to feel like a cockpit designed by someone being chased."

Episode #2 of The Supercycle Podcast. With guest @HarryDCrane. Harry has some great insights on market mechanics! One of the most interesting podcasts we’ve done, as well as the first episode co-hosted by both Eli and Flip since the rebrand. supercycle.blog/p/harry-crane-…

@BlondiePredicts @predictionconlv @PredictIt @Domahhhh @scottonPoly @dschwarz26 @MickBransfield @edge_marketsio Thanks for a great conference, @BlondiePredicts!

Many highlights at @predictionconlv in Las Vegas this week. From great conversations with John Phillips and the @PredictIt team, to learning from @Domahhhh @scottonPoly @dschwarz26, @MickBransfield, @FlipPidot and seeing what everyone’s building across the space @edge_marketsio @river_markets @Opinioneskings @vyralmarket @musemarketsco New opportunities, new friends. Huge thanks to @ishmilly for organizing!

En route to @predictionconlv. Will give this talk tomorrow. Hope to see you there!

Episode #1 of The Supercycle Podcast. Metaculus Forecasters Panel with @benshindel, @DrTournesol & @adonis_ds. Excellent conversation on forecasting, data intake, prediction markets vs traditional forecasting, and some P(Doom) reveals at the end. open.substack.com/pub/supercycle…

.@BenShindel shares his forecasting methodology and explains how Metaculus forecasts differ from Polymarket prices. Episode 1 of The Supercycle Podcast by @realTomBayes and @FlipPidot. Full interview out tomorrow.

Big news!

See you in Las Vegas!

First attempt building from scratch with Claude Code. It's a fun little game. Give it a go.

A clip from my interview with @FlipPidot about calibration and market accuracy.

A clip from my fantastic interview with @FlipPidot about regulation.

Polyguess #2 6/6 correct in 3 guesses 🟩🟩🟥🟩🟥🟥 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟥🟥 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Play @polyguessxyz at polyguess.xyz

Wordle for @polymarket. Can you beat the crowd (without cheating)? polyguess.xyz

Polyoptions 🤝 Polygun Thrilled to announce our @Polymarket options contracts will be tradeable directly through @polygun_, the #1 Polymarket Trading Bot on Telegram (and a fellow @PolymarketBuild-er). Start trading on Polygun today! t.me/PolyGunSniperB…

TheSuper.Market also makes beautiful hero videos for your markets, even when lazily cloning them from other platforms, like this one imported from @polymarket. Part of our streamer-inspired UI, designed for fun and intuitive market discovery.

When you create a market, it costs ꞩ125 (Superbucks) if you want the Super Signal, the enhanced odds based on top traders. But you can then sell/lease access (for actual $) to other users. Buyers can compare the "Smart Score" of your market's elite traders vs the mkt overall.

Find a price discrepancy between @Polymarket & @Kalshi and wonder if it's a true abitrage opportunity or possible divergent settlement? Create auto-resolving conditional markets between 2 markets with TheSuper.Market (e.g. Will Poly settle Yes IF Kalshi settles Yes).

Earn real money on a play-money platform? Prediction markets look different in 2026. TheSuper.Market