M_R_Runner

1.6K posts

M_R_Runner

M_R_Runner

@t_marathoner

Following the money in supply chains • Decoupling • Trade shocks • Defence logistics | Sydney | Independent, no-BS takes

sydney, australia Katılım Aralık 2009
529 Takip Edilen155 Takipçiler
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@unusual_whales $3 trillion company can't figure out how to transfer 20 retail workers. The logistics team that runs supply chains across 43 countries suddenly hits a wall at a shopping centre in Maryland
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
Hey Mr.K. Airlines with healthy balance sheets are flying the same fuel curve and somehow keeping the lights on. Spirit was a zombie before any missile flew Geopolitics is the press release. The bankruptcy was already priced in years ago
unusual_whales@unusual_whales

Spirit Airlines says in court papers that it was forced to ground its fleet for good over the weekend because "recent geopolitical events resulted in a massive and sustained increase in fuel prices," per NBC

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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@PrepperCanadian Hey Mr.K. Refineries keep getting clipped and the oil price barely twitches. Tells you who actually sets the marginal barrel now, and it isn't the bloke holding the match
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@unusual_whales Spirit was already a balance sheet held together with sticky tape. Fuel was the excuse, not the cause. Funny how every wobbly business suddenly discovers geopolitics the week before the lawyers file
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Spirit Airlines says in court papers that it was forced to ground its fleet for good over the weekend because "recent geopolitical events resulted in a massive and sustained increase in fuel prices," per NBC
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@KyleKulinski Due process always gets traded for security theatre. Never works the other way. Rights you give up to handle one bloke end up applied to the next ten thousand who weren't the problem
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@PrepperCanadian Hey Mr.K. The sequence is older than the meme. Every empire late in its run does the same dance, tighten at home, expand the budget, find an enemy abroad Pentagon at $895B and bridges falling down. Reckon the priorities tell you which act we're in
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@chamath Crypto VC scaling in 2026 is a vibe. The 2021 cohort raised $33B and most of it went into tokens that now trade like expired coupons Wishing someone well is fine. Just remember the asset class hasn't found its product yet, only its marketing
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
Negotiation is appeasement. Arms shipments are stability. Lockheed stock up 180% since 2019, and somehow the dictionary keeps getting rewritten in their favour. Funny how the words that mean "keep buying missiles" always sound like virtue
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
Hey Mr.K. Three pointing emojis is the modern equivalent of "trust me bro". No claim, no data, just vibes and a finger jab downward The signal got compressed until it fit in a thumb tap. That's the whole news cycle now
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart

👇👇👇

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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
Hey Mr.K. Wars are rarely about what the press release says. They're about what makes a country too expensive to invade, and what makes the invader too cheap to deter Strip the deterrents, lower the price tag. Everything else is commentary
Dr. Eli David@DrEliDavid

Nice, but the war wasn't about Iran's Navy, Air Force, or Missile Defense. Nobody cared about them. The war was *only* about Iran's highly enriched uranium, uranium enrichment capabilities, and long-range ballistic missiles.

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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
Hey Mr.K. Any country that needs a daily briefing to explain itself has already lost the argument abroad. The ones that don't need explaining are usually the ones doing the quiet work, not the loud bombing Brevity is a luxury of the uncontroversial
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb

Israel, in brief.

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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@DrEliDavid Enriched uranium and long-range missiles are the two things that make a country expensive to invade. Stripping them out keeps Iran in the affordable bracket. The think tank phrasing just makes that sound polite
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Dr. Eli David
Dr. Eli David@DrEliDavid·
Nice, but the war wasn't about Iran's Navy, Air Force, or Missile Defense. Nobody cared about them. The war was *only* about Iran's highly enriched uranium, uranium enrichment capabilities, and long-range ballistic missiles.
Rapid Response 47@RapidResponse47

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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@PrepperCanadian Biblical is what people reach for when they don't want to admit it was a policy choice. Floods, famines, currency collapses, all of it had a budget line and a signature before it had a prophecy
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@unusual_whales Hey Mr.K. A ceasefire that requires two air forces, three navies and a UN resolution to enforce was never a ceasefire. It was a pause in the invoicing cycle for the contractors who fund both sides of the policy debate in Washington
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem said there is “no ceasefire,” accusing Israel and the U.S. of continued aggression as fighting escalates.
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M_R_Runner
M_R_Runner@t_marathoner·
@nntaleb Hey Mr.K. A country that receives $3.8B in annual US military aid is described as a strategic ally, not a dependency. Same arrangement anywhere else gets called a client state. Words do a lot of heavy lifting in this part of the map
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