
Tf
597 posts





Bitcoin (update) My optimal reversal level has now been taken. I will manage this wide and see where BTC takes me. Maybe we see new ATHs, or maybe I take stop loss and we bleed through 50k. My risk is managed accordingly. I'll give a more in depth HTF analysis on Bitcoin in the near future, but in this post I want to focus on the positioning and specific levels I talked about. In the previous post, I expressed my uncertainty with the 72k level. There was many reasons not to like it as it was front-ran in 25' but still filled imbalances, structurally obvious to the herd eye & Saylor's liq area. But, it's also important to adapt and understand when new context arrives live as the market takes the level. There was no confluence from other majors, Tether hit 7.4% too early and other majors were sitting in no mans land waiting for Demand. With the setup looking less logical, but the level still having strong liquidity, it's best to shift your sizing plan. I de-risked heavily, and took a small loss instead of a 1.5% loss. "If it's a slower bleed, giving you more time to over-think about longing 72k than I think probabilities shift towards 72k being ignored and price heading towards 62k" As for 62k, I loved this level since the beginning as stated in the previous post and loved it even more when the level finally hit. It was taken during peak doomsday sentiment with ultra bearish news dropping left and right. Most importantly, it was hit alongside other key levels simultaneously. As a result, I bought with size with the Telegram members happily.







Professor Jiang Xueqin claims bitcoin was created by the CIA. "Why would you spend years, possibly decades, in your basement creating a new technology and then just give it for free to the world? That makes no sense." "When you do game theory analysis, you look at all possibilities, you end up with the deep state. You end up with the CIA."



One of my best trades taken in TradFi. If you followed me closely, especially in my Telegram channel you know I pre-planned this position for months. Built a convictional thesis on a Q1 stock market crash since Q3 of 2025, then pulled the trigger once my TA finally aligned and something logical I liked appeared. First attempt and only attempt, with size and managed accordingly. Did not trail or TP until recently. Very happy here. Now it's time to: "run up the score board on offense to potentially make history on the point spread".
















