YG
1.3K posts

YG
@techdriven12r
Pro Elon || Pro Conservative || Pro Technology












If @tether went public TODAY, Tether would be the 19th largest company in the world at $515B. That's ahead of Costco and Coca Cola. Here's why: - Circle is now public at $30B marketcap - Our financial model has Circle at $410B EBITDA in 2025 or 69.3x EBITDA - Tether claims $13B of net profits in 2024. $7B came from Treasuries and Repos -- the other $5B came from unrealized gains from Bitcoin and gold holdings which we don't include in EBITDA. - We assume Tether grows USDT supply by adding another $50-$60B of USDT and avg USDT supply in 2025 is $170B with avg Fed Funds Rate of 4.2% implies ~$7.4B 2025 EBITDA. - $7.4B of EBITDA * 69.3x EBITDA = $515B. Of course our core assumption is using the 69.3x EBITDA $CRCL multiple which is insane and unlikely to hold up. Sheesh.
















