Teddy

Anthropic dropped a 7 hour Claude Code masterclass I went through the entire course And compiled everything into a 27 min video, enjoy

@CryptoJelleNL I'd wait for a bullish divergence before entering

$BTC's weekly RSI is now lower than it ever went in the 2014 and 2018 bear markets. Oversold.

If $BTC does not bounce at $69,420 Then this industry is a failure And Satoshi's vision is a lie

There will be no rebound if we close the day below 75K; the magnet is much more powerful. $BTC

$ETH ETH Chart simplified.

"tOm LEe iS UnDErWatER, sO ETH CaN'T Go uP UnTIL he CapITULatEs" reality: he has no leverage, has the ETH staked and will earn the company money, and based on the way DATs work he can mostly only buy when price is in an uptrend let me repeat that: based on the way DATs work he can mostly only buy when price is in an uptrend you may think that model is dumb, but that is how DATs tend to work. so like Saylor, ETH DATs will just be top blasting all day and i think you're a bit redacted if you believe he's gonna "capitulate" there's no liabilities to force him to do that afaik. shareholder pressure could be a thing, but also, most shareholders who can vote probably knew what they were signing up for

$ETH Sorry what was that again? blue line? I'd like to think were close to significant enough low around here for a mean reversion into the daily bands. Cheers

if you think we have bottomed, then you think $BTC & $XRP are in a running flat if you think we are close to a low, you think they are in a regular flat if you think another leg down makes more sense, you think they’re in an expanded flat to me an expanded flat makes the most sense cause “Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level of wave A” both made higher highs on wave B if it was running flat the wave B would’ve been substantially higher, not just marginally and if it was a regular flat it would’ve been a double top, not a higher high not an expert, but i think in doing this EWT thing right 😆

$BTC has spent the past 8 years inside this rising channel. Price just fell into the bottom quarter of the channel, for the first time since December 2023. Current channel lows sit around $50-55k, but that floor keeps climbing higher.

I would not ignore this. There are rumblings that the ISM data being released tomorrow is going to come in above 50, with some estimates even over 51. If that happens, it is very significant. Here we have: - Bitcoin - Copper/Gold - ISM/PMI For those who are unaware, the ISM reading is essentially whether the economy is in contraction or expansion based on manufacturing. A reading of under 50 is contraction, and over 50 is expansion. You can see here very clearly, every single time since Bitcoins inception, when ISM has pushed back towards the 52 level after being in contraction(under 50), it has marked that: 1. The Bottom is in for COPPER/GOLD 2. Bitcoin has begun its true expansion phase You will notice that the PMI reading has been in by far its longest contraction ever, and this is a key piece of data that explains why this bull cycle has been so different. It is the first time ever that Bitcoin has made new highs whilst the PMI has been in contraction. It explains why this bull cycle has been so weak because the foundational state of the economy/liquidity has not been there to support it. Its not a coincidence, by any means. In addition, this is all happening as GOLD has very likely finished its mega run, meaning COPPER/GOLD is very likely bottomed, with COPPER pushing, in line with high manufacturing and development business happening... Contributing towards the increasing PMI. Just as Bitcoin is approaching its invalidation levels for HTF structure break, and almost everyone has now succumb to a year long bear market. All of this is linked together and telling us the same story. If PMI comes in close to 52 tomorrow, I expect this to be a market shock and begin the reversal phase throughout Feb. This is data that truly matters.

$BTC

@CryptoJelleNL What’s your plan?

$BTC is back below the weekly RSI level 37. Every cycle bottom in crypto has occurred below this level; but price can go a lot deeper before that bottom forms. Data since 2014: Drawdown from the first time RSI crossing 37: Max ≈55% Min ≈17% Current ≈14%. Time before bottom forms: Max ≈200d Min =0d Current 77d

$HBAR is actually a very simple one- anything in the green zone on the USD pairing is a buy on HTF imo- so: Option 1 would be to simply ladder bids between .04-.08. Option 2 would be to wait until the HBAR/BTC pairing (2nd chart) hits the range lows (we are ~18% above right now) and then buy at whatever USD price that equates to.

@CredibleCrypto Hey cred, what’s your laddering strategy? How do you ladder in if you break your order into 20 or even 50 orders? Do you have equations for that so that it buys exponentially as price falls?

As this flat pattern on Bitcoin continues to deepen in its final leg, it's important to note that in expanded flat patterns price can break high time frame structure, print a lower low, before then continuing higher. This goes against everything you are being told by the bears, surely a lower low would be a bear market confirmation, but you can see right here in the charts of Google and Nvidia that this is not always the case. In fact, it is everyone going short at the break of structure that fuels the reversal higher. Trends are not black and white, bull or bear, there are other way to look at things.

$ETH "Escape the chop zone and we fill big gaps"

EVERYONE PANICS AT THE BITCOIN SWEEP. Zoom out. Every major $BTC rally started the same way: – Brutal flush – Confidence shattered – Quiet accumulation That pain isn’t random. It’s the launchpad. Bitcoin isn’t breaking the script. It’s following it again.

$BTC bottomed against Gold at this trendline twice before During the Covid crash and at the bottom of the previous bear market

This is the bull case for Bitcoin by the way. If Bitcoin sweeps the low, the pattern would look a lot like prior patterns by GOOG and NVDA. I would assume that the rally would not result in a new all time high, but a macro lower high, before going to the 200W SMA.

No complexity. No accident. 10/10 was caused by irresponsible marketing campaigns by certain companies. On October 10, tens of billions of dollars were liquidated. As CEO of OKX, we observed clearly that the crypto market’s microstructure fundamentally changed after that day. Many industry participants believe the damage was more severe than the FTX collapse. Since then, there has been extensive discussion about why it happened and how to prevent a recurrence. The root causes are not difficult to identify. ⸻ What actually happened 1.Binance launched a temporary user-acquisition campaign offering 12% APY on USDe, while allowing USDe to be used as collateral with the same treatment as USDT and USDC, and without effective limits. 2.USDe is a tokenized hedge fund product. Ethena raises capital via a so-called “stablecoin,” deploys it into index arbitrage and algorithmic trading strategies, and tokenizes the resulting fund. The token can then be deposited on exchanges to earn yield. 3.USDe is fundamentally different from products such as BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI, which are tokenized money market funds with low-risk profiles. USDe, by contrast, embeds hedge-fund-level risk. This difference is structural, not cosmetic. 4.Binance users were encouraged to convert USDT and USDC into USDe to earn attractive yields, without sufficient emphasis on the underlying risks. From a user’s perspective, trading with USDe appeared no different from trading with traditional stablecoins—while the actual risk profile was materially higher. 5.Risk escalated further as users: •converted USDT/USDC into USDe, •used USDe as collateral to borrow USDT, •converted the borrowed USDT back into USDe, •and repeated the cycle. This leverage loop produced artificial APYs of 24%, 36%, and even 70%+, widely perceived as “low risk” simply because they were offered by a major platform. Systemic risk accumulated rapidly across the global crypto market. 6.At that point, even a small market shock was sufficient to trigger a collapse. When volatility hit, USDe depegged quickly. Cascading liquidations followed, and weaknesses in risk management around assets such as WETH and BNSOL further amplified the crash. Some tokens briefly traded near zero. The damage to global users and companies—including OKX customers—was severe, and recovery will take time. ⸻ Why this matters I am discussing the root cause, not assigning blame or launching an attack on Binance. Speaking openly about systemic risks is sometimes uncomfortable, but it is necessary if the industry is to mature responsibly. I expect there may be significant misinformation and coordinated FUD directed at OKX in the near future. Even so, speaking honestly about systemic risk is the right thing to do—and we will continue to do so. As the largest global platform, Binance has outsized influence—and corresponding responsibility—as an industry leader. Long-term trust in crypto cannot be built on short-term yield games, excessive leverage, or marketing practices that obscure risk. The industry needs leaders who prioritize market stability, transparency, and responsible innovation—not a winner-take-all mentality where criticism is treated as hostility. Crypto is still early. What we choose to normalize today will determine whether this industry earns lasting trust—or repeats the same mistakes again.