tga.eth

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🚨 Bitcoin - The Final Countdown 🚨 We hit my 120k+ target! 🎯 With precision, everything is going according to our plan. I'm going to be the contrarian you might not like, but I don't want to be biased or tell you what you want to hear. I aim to give you nothing but the truth, facts, and data without any guarantees and for free, since these are all probabilities. If you're a permabear or bull, this channel might not be the right one for you. We're here to make money, nothing else. If you're a long-term follower of mine, you know we've been quite accurate with our long-term $BTC plan since 2023, nearing my final blow-off top of the Fibonacci 1.618 price at 120-130k or extreme euphoria to 2.618 at 170k. However, invalidation is above 170k. The blow-off top, which I believe could happen this year, but timing is very difficult, and we do not try to predict the next move. We try to read the charts and give probabilities. If you have been following me for some time, we have been very accurate, and your probability has made tons of money. So, if you enjoy these long-term and short-term analyses, save this as a bookmark, like, and comment to keep my channel alive. It's free, and I appreciate it! Macro Overview Recap If you haven’t already, check out my macro analysis on the inevitable recession. It’s essential before diving into the charts: 📌 Recession: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… 📌 Warren Buffet's Cash Pile: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… 📌 Japan's inflation problem: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… 📌 Justin Sun Rug Pull USDD (Luna V2): x.com/DailyCryptoTra… 📌 Trump's Tariff War: x.com/DailyCryptoTra… Elliott Wave Theory Nothing has really changed here; it's following the EW, so I'm going to sound repetitive with a bit of change since the price action hasn't changed much. We are still on the path to a last impulsive wave 5. As mentioned in the last TA, “we could see an ‘extended wave 3’ (polywave).” This has been unfolding perfectly. We had our wave 3 done and moved down a corrective wave 4 with an ABC zigzag and now move towards our final blow-off top. However, timing is very difficult. As I wrote last time, “if we fail to reach the previous ATH, we get what’s called a truncated wave 5, so we MUST surpass 109.6k and find support,” which we did. From my June EW, we have surpassed 109k and held it as support, making a new ATH of 123k! We still have our last sub-wave of wave 5 with a price target of 130-137k Fib level 2.618 and 3.618, which I believe would be our last rally and final blow-off top. However, if we surpass and get extreme euphoria since BTC is so volatile, we could reach 170k, and above that, my TA will get invalidated with a blow-off top at these price levels. Have this in mind. I'm going to sound repetitive now and just write the same thing, but as mentioned many times, once traditional markets (especially Nasdaq and S&P 500 tech stocks) correct, Bitcoin is likely to follow, leading to a blow-off top as discussed in my long-term BTC TA. At that point, BTC could drop to between $17k (extreme) and $30-40k (more likely), forming a massive ABC corrective pattern with Fibonacci targets at $52k and $31k before finding a bottom. This only happens AFTER wave 5 is complete, not before; the structure needs to finish first. BTC correcting 70-90% is not something new; it has happened in every cycle, and this time is “not different.” Invalidation Points This scenario could be invalidated if: 1. Markets reset or correct after 1–2 years. 2. Geopolitical tensions or wars are avoided. 3. A recession is avoided (low probability). 4. No Black Swan/Rhino events occur (Rhino is already here). If even one of these factors kicks in, a market crash is highly probable. Remember, it’s YOUR job to protect your capital. We’re already seeing an ongoing tariff war and ongoing wars that will globally impact the economy and cause a severe slowdown. Technical Indicators Weekly Chart Analysis: • Volume: Showing a bearish divergence, a bearish signal. • RSI: At 64 (bullish). The 50 level must hold; otherwise, expect further downside. Once we break 70, we must go above 71. If we dip down while price action goes down, we have a big bearish divergence. • RSI Stochastic: 84, which is quite high and bearish • MACD: Losing bullish momentum, but both lines remain above 0. We’re seeing signals for a final blow-off top. Daily Chart Analysis: • RSI: Just slightly below 50, which is a weak bear. • RSI Stochastic: Getting oversold which is a bullish sign with bullish divergence • MACD: Showing bearish momentum, but both lines are above 0, so we need to see bearish momentum slow down for the continuation of a bullish movement. • Volume: Low, but following price action, which is good. Liquidity & Liquidation Heatmap Insights Our liquidity and liquidation heatmaps on TradingView reinforce this outlook, showing significant liquidity pools that align with our targets. Access these tools at Daily Crypto Trading – check my profile for details. Conclusion BTC is nearing a top, but timing is very difficult. I believe we top this year and could be wrong, so take it with a grain of salt. It's likely in the $120-130k range, especially if Nasdaq and S&P 500 also peak. This projection has held since late 2023, supported by both our Elliott Wave analysis and broader market trends. We formed an impulsive wave 5 with a sub-wave 3 done and corrective wave 4 moving towards sub-wave 5 for the final blow-off top. However, in extreme euphoria, BTC is quite volatile and could reach 170k. Anything above that, my TA gets invalidated. Have in mind BTC is used to correct 70-90% in every cycle, so do not think for a bit “it’s different this time.” Protect your capital; this is your job, no one else's. I'm going to repeat myself from last time, but if you're new here, this is mostly what I wrote last time, and most of it has not changed because the thesis is still firm. The ongoing tariff war could disrupt our anticipated blow-off top. I stand by my 2023 analysis, which remains valid until BTC surpasses $130k. The probability for a blow-off top at those price levels, as mentioned, is quite low. I’ve always believed in a blow-off top during the 49k to 100k+ phase (where I was bullish), and my thesis hasn’t changed – no data has disproven it. We’re in an AI bubble, and bubbles always pop. Not to mention, we're seeing huge bearish divergence everywhere in the weekly BTC charts. In my humble opinion and analysis, I believe we will top this year, but again, it’s very difficult to time a market. The risk-to-reward ratio for me is I do not like to go all-in on an asset that has done a 7x, but it's up to you what you want to do with your money. • Recession: An economic downturn could sync with a traditional market correction, hitting BTC hard. • Geopolitical changes: Major global shifts (like the ongoing tariff wars) could bring serious volatility. • Black Swan events: Always a risk – never rule them out. • Market shifts: Big moves in traditional markets, driven by geopolitics or policy, will hit BTC. If these are avoided, BTC could reach $170k, as our Elliott Wave projections suggest. The strong BTC–tech sector correlation indicates a likely blow-off top. However, ongoing trade wars or rate cuts could complicate this. However IF we break below 110k the likely hood of a blow-of top is high. Last time in my conclusion, I wrote, “If $BTC surpasses 109k and holds it as support, get ready for a new ATH in the 113k–130k range,” and we hit the jackpot with precision! 🎯 Remember, the market is full of probabilities, not certainties. Although our targets have been accurate so far, future outcomes are never guaranteed. This analysis is meant to guide your understanding – always verify and strategize based on your own judgment. #bitcoin #recession

PEEPanEIP-7939 - Count Leading Zeros (CLZ) Opcode with @optimizoor A deep dive into how this simple opcode can make Ethereum more efficient, expressive, and cheaper ZK proving costs. 🧵 🎥 youtube.com/watch?v=MuBxmq… The episode covers: - What is EIP-7939? - Why does CLZ matter for Ethereum? - Benefits of CLZ - Gas Considerations - Bytecode Size Reduction - ZK Proof Performance #PEEPanEIP #Ethereum #EIP7939 #CLZ #EVM #zk