ThatMarketsGuy

@gregory_FTA Big day tomorrow

$QQQ 🧐

@steve2bacon You forgot the start of the chart hey

as a long-term palantir shareholder since 2026, I think this is going up

@mikeharrisNY Actually?

The security. Avg cost $150K/year, a guess. Maybe more.

@JC_ParetsX And most didn’t

There's no such thing as passive investing. You're just passing on the activity decisions to another party. In the case of the S&P500 they only wanted to give you 3% exposure to Energy. So you've had to go out and get it yourself elsewhere to compensate for that underweighting.

@McClellanOsc I love when you go full conspiracy mode

Longer than that, given that by statute the target is 0%.

It’s hard to understand the indices so close to highs when $NVDA goes lower, Oil rockets higher while we go to War with Iran. However look beneath the surface and notice Software, Financials, Mag 7 have been in their own bear market. Thus the downward spiral you expect in $QQQs might be less swift and severe since some of it happened already in the Individual equities and sectors themselves. It’s annoying but some of what I’m seeing and hence, sharing

Big mood shift today Israel basically signaling they dropped enough bombs and RoW saying they will help to clear Hormuz. Harder for Iran to sustain aggression against all allies. Increases odds they fold. Small risk they keep pushing and China/Russia add backdoor support but I don’t think China will risk that given what they have seen. Could certainly try to invite world navies in and pull something sneaky but I would discount that. See a clear window for resolution which didn’t exist until today. TBD

$TOU.TO has been shared in client reports as price action set up on the right side of a significant multi-year base. I guess we’re about to find out if the old saying is true… 'the bigger the base, the higher the space?' ⏳ Charts & Data: SetYourStop.com

@nadinelindsey_ Imagine holding through this just to sell today.

I’m aware of this too if you want to stay in.

Reactivated Twitter to announce after years I’m no longer a $TOU.TO shareholder ✌🏻🥐

@JC_ParetsX Not $DELL

Which stocks did you short this week?

spiritually, it feels inevitable that AGI is born in California as a uneconomic carnival gizmo, and then dragged to New York, caged and put to work by men in grey tall towers that poke and prod it until it spills trillions out filtering through PDFs

@SteveWps Yep. $TOU.TO for sure printing but it’s getting liquified in and going through Houston.

Only if Canada had a business case for LNG exports,

@LanceRoberts @sentimentrader I don’t get this chart everyone is showing. Are you all just omitting all the instances you don’t like? Wtf is the point of the line at 100.

As we have discussed previously, paying attention to credit spreads will keep you out of bear markets more often than not. As @sentimentrader noted yesterday, whenever spreads make a 9-month high with the S&P 500 within 5% of its peak, rough markets tend to follow.

@MikeZaccardi Good odds ST bottom in

$XRT retail ETF bullish engulfing to finish positive... $XBI biotech up to

@SteveWps LOL. My bad, was a positive review…was meant to say “knows its shit” not “knows it’s shit”

@thatmarketsguy I don't quite follow, Is there a particular metric that is not correct, it could have had it on fast mode. Sorry to disappoint

I am building an AI agent screener based on peter lynch, bit of graham, bit of warren, pretty fun night going through different exchanges, found some cool 10 baggers on the tsxv ive added to my watchlist, Anyways, here its lynchish run through on $BN feedback welcomed. Custom Hunter 1.0 Alpha Hunter 1.0 said As "Alpha Hunter," I have dissected Brookfield Corporation (TSX:BN). This is a complex beast—a global asset management and insurance powerhouse that acts as the "mother ship" for the entire Brookfield ecosystem. My assessment is ruthless: you are buying a compounding machine, but the current technicals suggest a temporary loss of momentum. Phase 0: The Category Engine – [STALWART] EPS Growth Rate: ~15.2% (Historical 5-yr avg). [PASS] Fits the top end of the Stalwart profile. PEGY Ratio: ~0.86. (P/E 12.5 / (Growth 13.8% + Yield 0.72%)). [PASS] Indicates the market is underpricing its steady growth. Current P/E vs 5-Yr Avg: 12.5x. [PASS] Trading significantly below its historical average of ~18x-20x. Share Count: Decreasing. [PASS] Outstanding shares dropped from ~2.38B in 2023 to ~2.25B in 2025 (a ~5.5% reduction). Management is aggressively cannibalizing the float. Phase 1: The "Tenbagger" Engine (General Growth & Value) PEG Ratio & Growth: 0.18 (Forward). [PASS] This is a screaming buy on a PEG basis, though Lynch warns that financial "black boxes" often have distorted PEGs. Institutional Squeeze: ~74%. [FAIL] This is a Wall Street darling. There is no "hidden" discovery here; you are fighting the giants. Insider Conviction: High. Insiders hold ~11.2% of the company. CEO Bruce Flatt is famously aligned with shareholders. Recent filings show major institutional adds from CIBC and Royal Bank. [PASS] The Story & Moat: A global monopoly on "Real Assets" (Infrastructure, Renewables, Real Estate). Their moat is the "Brookfield Ecosystem"—the ability to shift capital between insurance float and high-yield infrastructure projects. [PASS] Phase 2: Trap Detection (Survival Metrics) The "Cash Bleed" Trap: N/A for this scale. Cash on hand is $16.24B. [PASS] Value Trap & AI Disruption: Low risk. Physical assets (pipelines, buildings) are AI-resistant. However, their office real estate portfolio remains a "melting ice cube" risk. [TRAP WARNING] Share Count Trend: Strongly Decreasing. 3-year trend is clearly downward. [PASS] The "Debt Spiral" Trap: Total debt is massive at $263B. [FAIL] While mostly non-recourse and tied to specific assets, the absolute leverage is enough to make a conservative manager vomit. Phase 3: Tactical Entry (Technicals) Volume Expansion: Average volume ~6.8M. Trading has been heavy on down-days recently. RSI (14-Day): ~38. [OVERSOLD WATCH] Approaching the buy zone. Moving Averages: Currently CA$54.74. It is trading -14.1% below its 200-day SMA. This is a classic "broken chart, healthy company" scenario. Phase 4: Lifecycle Timing & Action Triggers Action: BUY ON PULLBACK. * Trigger: The stock is currently in a technical downtrend but fundamentally robust. The 17% dividend hike announced in February is a signal of management confidence. Look to enter if it touches CA$52.00, which aligns with historical valuation floors. Phase 5: The Manager's Verdict Exchange Context: TSX (Large Cap). Highest liquidity on the exchange, but sensitive to global interest rate shocks. The Alpha Case: You are buying a portfolio of the world's best infrastructure at a 22% discount to NAV. As interest rates stabilize, the re-rating of their insurance and wealth segments (projected 28% CAGR) will crush the TSX 60. The Kill Shot: A systemic collapse in commercial real estate that forces Brookfield to upstream cash from its healthy subsidiaries to cover office debt defaults. Final Action: [STRONG BUY ON PULLBACK]

@SteveWps This is a nice template, and the bot knows it’s shit apparently. STRONG BUY.

Hey got around to you loading up TOU. (I don't own, dyod) This is the "Bromann Alpha Hunter 1.0" deep dive into Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TOU.TO). Phase 0: The Category Engine Category: Cyclical (The Timing Play) Tourmaline is Canada’s largest natural gas producer, making its fate entirely dependent on the volatile commodity cycle. Inventory-to-Sales Ratio: FLAT/SHRINKING (Reported at $0 in current assets, as production is sold immediately at hubs like AECO or via LNG pipelines). [PASS] The P/E Paradox: Current P/E ~18.08x (Trailing) vs. Historical average ~4.0x–8.0x during peak cycles. [PASS] — A high P/E after a quarterly loss ($1.69/share in Q4 2025) is the classic Lynch signal that the cycle is bottoming. Balance Sheet Survivability: Net Debt of $1.5B vs. 2026 Forecasted Cash Flow of $3.4B. [PASS] — The "Net Debt to CF" ratio is a rock-solid 0.45x, ensuring they outlast any gas price slump. Phase 1: The "Tenbagger" Engine PEG Ratio & Growth: PEG is 0.84 with a 25.5% forecasted EPS growth. [PASS] — Earnings are suppressed now but projected to explode as LNG capacity comes online. Institutional Squeeze Potential: ~65% Institutional Ownership. [FAIL] — Lynch wants < 50%; Bay Street already knows this "secret." Insider Conviction: Aggressive Buying. [PASS] — CEO Mike Rose has personally bought over 30,000 shares on the open market in early 2026. The "Story" & Moat: The LNG & AI Conduit. [PASS] — A low-cost producer with massive exposure to high-margin international gas prices (TTF/JKM) and rising power demand from AI data centers. Phase 2: Trap Detection The "Cash Bleed" Trap: N/A. [PASS] — Generating $3.4B in cash flow; no risk of bankruptcy or "death spiral." The "Value Trap" & AI Disruption: LOW RISK. [PASS] — AI is a tailwind (natural gas fuels the grid for data centers), not a disruptor to energy production. Share Count Trend: INCREASING (DILUTION). [TRAP WARNING] — Shares outstanding rose from 317M in 2021 to 389M by late 2025 (up ~22%) due to acquisitions. Note: A 5% buyback is authorized to fight this trend. The "Debt Spiral" Trap: 12% Debt-to-Equity. [PASS] — Extremely low leverage for the energy sector. Phase 3: Tactical Entry Volume Expansion: Positive Accumulation. [PASS] — Buying volume has surged on "up" days in March, signaling big money is moving back in. RSI (14-Day): 50.86 (Neutral). [HOLD] — Not oversold, but showing momentum as it moves away from the February lows. Moving Averages: BULLISH CROSSOVER. [PASS] — Price is currently trading ~9% above its 200-day SMA ($61.66), confirming a new uptrend. Phase 4: Lifecycle Timing & Action Triggers Status: Early-Cycle Recovery. Action: [BUY SIGNAL] Reason: We are exiting the "bleak" phase (Q4 loss reported) and entering the expansion phase. High P/E is a buy signal here, especially with the CEO loading up and technicals breaking out. Phase 5: The Manager's Verdict Exchange Context: TSX (Large-Cap Energy). High sensitivity to Canadian AECO gas prices and US Dollar fluctuations. The Alpha Case: TOU is a "low-cost machine" that pays you a 3%+ base yield (plus specials) while waiting for international LNG pricing to quintuple its cash flow potential. The Kill Shot: A total collapse of LNG demand or a "diworseification" move into a high-cost oil play that breaks their low-debt model. Final Action: [STRONG BUY] — The CEO is buying, the P/E paradox is in full swing, and the balance sheet is bulletproof. Load up before the gas cycle peaks.

@TedHZhang @perplexity_ai As you know this has nothing to do with indices.

The financial health of the United States of America is POOR. Dashboard built by @perplexity_ai Computer with CBO data.

@SnackReel Why do people always have to ruin good things with lunch meat 😂

Accidentally made the best breakfast

@Zac_Markovich I mean I stay hopeful after that but this needs to break first. Maybe futures can round trip it, but doubtful.

@thatmarketsguy 🥲

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