chrisea

"President Joe Biden on Thursday (26 September 2024) signed a temporary government spending bill that keeps agencies operating into December, after Congress punted key spending decisions until after the November election." That was the actual Deadline. This 20th deadline in December was voted by then from CR .. Means , there is no way ppl could've known the Deadline in the "additional context", which was added after. (Market was up 4th September) @hal2001 @shayne_coplan @Polymarket (last tag & post about this) apnews.com/article/biden-…

in 14 hours @Polymarket will officially claim that "there was a US government shutdown" - every other news outlet, prediction market and the white house itself claim that there was NO government shutdown - the only argument that UMA whales (oracle) are focussing on is that joe signed the bill to avert the shutdown 38 min after the "deadline" - every normal person just agrees with the global consensus that there was NO shutdown and that the deadline argument is a minute detail. after all, the white house is listed as a source for truth and the white house says NO SHUTDOWN - can someone look into UMA voters please? people in the comments say that over 50% of UMA votes on this market are controlled by 4 individuals who are all huge whales of YES --> conflict of interest - resolving bets is difficult. wording is very important. but in this case it feels like fraud that a small group of voters are going against GLOBAL CONSENSUS and claim that the us had a government shutdown when no one else thinks that

in 14 hours @Polymarket will officially claim that "there was a US government shutdown" - every other news outlet, prediction market and the white house itself claim that there was NO government shutdown - the only argument that UMA whales (oracle) are focussing on is that joe signed the bill to avert the shutdown 38 min after the "deadline" - every normal person just agrees with the global consensus that there was NO shutdown and that the deadline argument is a minute detail. after all, the white house is listed as a source for truth and the white house says NO SHUTDOWN - can someone look into UMA voters please? people in the comments say that over 50% of UMA votes on this market are controlled by 4 individuals who are all huge whales of YES --> conflict of interest - resolving bets is difficult. wording is very important. but in this case it feels like fraud that a small group of voters are going against GLOBAL CONSENSUS and claim that the us had a government shutdown when no one else thinks that

@Polymarket why is there is a difference? kalshi is right