Pavle Stijovic

296 posts

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Pavle Stijovic

Pavle Stijovic

@theailum

Self-taught global macro research | Currency & Futures trader | Market Outlooks |

Katılım Aralık 2020
370 Takip Edilen173 Takipçiler
Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
@Seb_TFX @MRKT_AI Nothing more than a gamble. Entering this kind of intraday trade ahead of such important news is the very definition of gambling. There is no real edge in exposing yourself to unpredictable volatility when the market can react violently in either direction within seconds.
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Seb
Seb@Seb_TFX·
BOOM! CPI drops and I never had to switch tabs. @MRKT_AI keeping me locked in with the Trading View extension. Well below the min expectations 🔥. Forex Factory isn't doing this for you.
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Brannigan Barrett
Brannigan Barrett@Trader_Bran·
Any idea of a FED hike is all but gone. Core CPI 2.6% print today is back to pre-war levels. This removes a final head wind for risk-markets and in particular GOLD.
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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
@sam_kb_ When u are trading DAX and using market profile do u use, xetra or frankfurt trading hours?
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Sam KB
Sam KB@sam_kb_·
Feels good to be done for the day by 9am!
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Brannigan Barrett
Brannigan Barrett@Trader_Bran·
Imagine being the ECB - hiking interest rates the day the war ends ! Policy Error !
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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
@Kuma_D_Trader That little green boat is technically mine. Registered under my friend’s name a couple of years ago in exchange, he gets to use it for fishing whenever he wants. So every time I visit, we take it out. Feel free to take it for a spin.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
What just happened? The S&P 500 just erased nearly -$2 TRILLION of market cap just hours after 3rd strongest US jobs report in 18 months. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is officially down over -50% from its record high in October 2025. What's happening? Let us explain. (a thread)
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨 Stocks. Gold. Silver. Bitcoin. Small caps. All down hard in the same session. $2.5 trillion wiped across asset classes simultaneously. A blowout jobs number, 172,000 vs 85,000 expected, repriced the entire rate cut narrative in one afternoon. When the Fed has no reason to cut, yields rise, and everything valued on cheap money gets hit at once. That's 6 charts moving in the same direction for the same reason. The all-time highs were 48 hours ago. @cryptorover
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨 Nasdaq 100 is down 4.5%, straight line, biggest daily loss of 2026. The driver: May jobs came in at 172,000, more than double expectations, which killed Fed rate cut hopes and sent yields spiking. Semiconductors and AI names are leading the drop. Classic good-news-is-bad-news reaction after a long, overbought rally running out of buyers. @KobeissiLetter

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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
I was looking for longs, but when I saw how the selloff continued after the open, I changed my view. I waited for price to come up to VAH, then entered my first short. A few minutes later the market gave me more confluence for additional short.
Pavle Stijovic tweet media
Pavle Stijovic@theailum

RTY1! Price initially pulled back to last week's IB, but value is clearly expanding higher. Yesterday, price continued to push higher with value following, creating a buying tail ,suggesting we could see a price going higher. ETH session We had a slight selloff, but price rejected nicely off the NY HB. As long as we can hold above yesterday's settle at 2936 and PDH/ONH at 2938, the path remains higher toward our targets. Value is expected to continue developing to the upside. Personally, I'm looking at long positions, but first I'll wait for the market to open and see how price reacts during the first hour or two.

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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
@AnantaSumantera Agree 100% with u on this one. Market conditions this year has been awful, but that is our jobs as traders to adapt fast and utiliza what we have learned.
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Ananta
Ananta@AnantaSumantera·
It’s already June, yet I still see people and influencers complaining about this year’s market conditions and wishing the 2025 market environment would come back. I mean, you’ve already had six months to adapt but your brain still refuses to evolve. Markets are dynamic. They evolve, shift, and reset constantly.... and so should we. If we can’t adapt when the regime changes, the market will eventually make that decision for us.
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Ilija
Ilija@Kuma_D_Trader·
Yesterday's trade on the S&P: Combined my own views with some key Market Profile levels provided by my friend @theailum It felt great catching that counter-trend move, but there's still a bitter taste from closing the first position at BE just before the final leg lower.
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Pavle Stijovic@theailum

ES1! We are in a pretty strong uptrend on ES value is constantly going higher, same as price. Yesterday we created a pretty weak high, failing to take out Monday's high, so I think we will revisit that level today. If we hold and maintain it, I think we can see 7644 as well.

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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
ES1! We are in a pretty strong uptrend on ES value is constantly going higher, same as price. Yesterday we created a pretty weak high, failing to take out Monday's high, so I think we will revisit that level today. If we hold and maintain it, I think we can see 7644 as well.
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Pavle Stijovic
Pavle Stijovic@theailum·
RTY1! Price initially pulled back to last week's IB, but value is clearly expanding higher. Yesterday, price continued to push higher with value following, creating a buying tail ,suggesting we could see a price going higher. ETH session We had a slight selloff, but price rejected nicely off the NY HB. As long as we can hold above yesterday's settle at 2936 and PDH/ONH at 2938, the path remains higher toward our targets. Value is expected to continue developing to the upside. Personally, I'm looking at long positions, but first I'll wait for the market to open and see how price reacts during the first hour or two.
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Capital Flows
Capital Flows@Globalflows·
Every economy in the world has a very clear choice right now: 1) hike and push their economy into a recession, in which case China hollows out more of that country's industrial base OR 2) Blow up this bubble even further Every country will choose #2. You would do the same if you were in their shoes
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Brannigan Barrett
Brannigan Barrett@Trader_Bran·
The Bond markets now only care about one thing - is oil flowing through the Straight or not. They don’t care about deals or potential deals or 15 point term sheets . It’s about days . Yields will continue to slide up until ships are flowing There is a TACO threshold which I believe we are fast approaching .
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Michael Brown
Michael Brown@MrMBrown·
*KEVIN WARSH CONFIRMED AS FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR IN SENATE VOTE
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Keşfet

@Seb_TFX @MRKT_AI @Trader_Bran @sam_kb_ @Kuma_D_Trader @cryptorover @AnantaSumantera @elonmusk