thinkror

683 posts

thinkror

thinkror

@thinkror

https://t.co/DxN3MZg4Yx - life/philosophy https://t.co/pxqnYiDEiG - investing https://t.co/jD2CwIYpt3 - backup

Katılım Eylül 2021
130 Takip Edilen191 Takipçiler
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
Published my review of 2025 on Substack as well as Blogger since I need a backup platform in case things get blocked. Main portfolio up ~37% with ASX up around 15-20%. Mentioned most of my positions as well as what I think of the AI supply chain buildout.
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
@nevergr33dy IDK about unusually innovative. Most of their tech projects seems to have failed to gain traction such as e-clad and seem to be relying on the original innovations. Near term concerns about tunsten input costs.
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nevergreedy 🇪🇺
nevergreedy 🇪🇺@nevergr33dy·
Elevator Pitch - $LBL.AX LaserBond Napkin math EV: A$65m LTM EV/EBITDA: 6.5x Est. H2 FY26 growth: 8.5% LaserBond extends the life of high-wear machinery parts through surface engineering — reducing downtime, costs and waste. youtu.be/m29JnrJcofg?si…
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
@valuedrift @testinprodcap Undercapacity in novel/5a attractions. Overcapacity in fake old towns that everyone visited a million times. Feel it's the same story with China market in general. Oversupply of the mundane and undersupply of the novel. Then everyone copies the novel and it becomes new mundane
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奶奶 capital
奶奶 capital@testinprodcap·
was recently in china. felt a general under-capacity in domestic tourism destinations. most classic places are unvisitable. even tier 2-3 locations are insanely crowded.
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
Looking at the numbers of $951.HK Chaowei Power and it's quite funny. Market cap is 1.5B which is what they spend a year on R&D pretty much. Since 2021, Revenue has almost doubles but net profit has almost halved resulting in a net margin of 0.5%. At 4x P/E and 0.2 P/B, 4% div
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
@valuedrift But Taiwan's tea shops haven't changed much between the 2 times I've been there. Like the shanghai shops in 2018
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
@valuedrift Hard to make like a like for like comparison since I was in different cities in a different season but I had no milk tea this time compared to 2 years ago. The shops weren't really featuring it, much more fruit/matcha based now. Maybe mixue made everyone sick of it
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
Quick thread on my recent holiday to China: Have spent more than 1/3rd of my life there visiting biennially for last decade so not too much new, just some observations with some rants. Maybe each comment will be a theme.
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
@statarbed Highly doubt it imo. Can't think of a time and soe has been privatised on HK and crcc has hardly been at the forefront at increasing shareholder returns. Cousins at crrc have been doing a much better job. Hope would be having a kpi like ROE at SOEs where they reduce the e part.
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statarbed
statarbed@statarbed·
@thinkror Any possibility CRCC will privatise the firm?
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
With all the * Deep Value account spopping up, waiting for one called HK/China Deep Value pitching something like $1786.HK CRCC High Tech where Net Cash is 1.4x Market Cap, 0.15x Book, 7x Earnings and where revenue is likely now mostly recurring in a monopoly maintaining rail
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
9. For investing, there's really nothing too new. It's like opposite of investing in the West, consumer is shit, will bargain like hell and be extremely fickle. Unlike the west, better to be away from the consumer and just buy inputs to consumer companies.
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thinkror
thinkror@thinkror·
Xi apparently really likes Wang Yang Ming and we are again seeing the merging of Idiologies. I like the concept of the Right action is only valid at the right time, obviously not a unique chinese idea as it's also similar to Hegel I believe
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