Value Drift
61.7K posts
Value Drift
@valuedrift
Predicting the vote of the market in advance. No AI slop (all AI use attributed).
Katılım Aralık 2014
3.4K Takip Edilen4.1K Takipçiler
Soxx moving on IBM miss. The new market neutral is 100% long Soxx + 100% long IGV
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The San Francisco Bicycle Coalition’s official advice if your bike is stolen is to “consider the potential impact of calling the police” on the criminal.
Grant Slatton@GrantSlatton
being a cyclist kinda sucks politically because your options are always Candidate A: loves bike infrastructure, but refuses to jail bike thieves Candidate B: wants to send bike thieves to the gulag, but hates cyclists anyway my bike was stolen last week, RIP
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Like the last scene of Godfather II...
Howard Mortman@HowardMortman
January 6, 2015: VP Joe Biden ceremonial swearing-in for Sen. Lindsey Graham. Darline Graham Nordone holds the Bible.
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The decision to buy or not buy $SPCX if it touches $135 may turn out to be extremely consequential for many retail investors...
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@valuedrift *take 10%
(Remember, INTC “purchase” was funded by what was supposed to be a grant)
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@sloth_cap @ReturnsJourney Tencent is basically the newspaper (in the old sense) of China.
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@ReturnsJourney Newspapers were a monopolistic business back then, emerging markets fintechs aren’t comparable at all.
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You don't need to go back to 1977. Hear me out: Tencent at 5 times earnings.
Em fintechs.
This is 1977 again in EMs.
Dirtcheapstocks@dirtcheapstocks
Warren Buffett invested $7.5 mm in Knight-Ridder Newspapers in 1977. Market cap: $539 million Enterprise Value: $480 million EV/EBIT: 4.3x 7 year revenue CAGR: 10.8% Return on Tangible Equity: 24%
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If that was the bottom, those who buy $KORU now will be so obnoxious when it doubles quickly.
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@SowingAlphaSeed Real talk though - you want to model a social life to kids.
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Everyone makes trade-offs. Mine is dedicating my 30s to building a family and building savings. I don't really have a social life (outside of family) or do any traveling (aside from what's driving distance with kids). But I don't view it as a sacrifice, just a trade.
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Ok, I'm not gonna lie.
Hide your wife and kids.
Look at these 20 day forward max draw downs.
Do you even care what this table is about?
I didn't think so, but I'll explain it in the next tweet down anyway because, while it looks nuts, if you think about it, it's not.
[1/3]
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@OddStats What do the stats say about whether rotation keeping index dips low even with the leading sector drawing down huge implies for both index and that leading sector?
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@OddStats The funny thing is AI is actually not great at doing this type of analysis you do...
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Ok, so dig this. And try to follow me, because like I said, this isn't as crazy as it may seem at first. And let's get this out of the way: no matter what you do here? You WILL lose money.
In the past 10 trading days, QQQ has alternated its Big Days (those that are 1% or more in either direction):
-1%
+1%
-1%
+1%
-1%
Keep in mind, there were days with smaller returns mixed in there; meaning those Big Days weren't five consecutive days in a row, but the days that WERE big alternated as above. Point is...even though some regular days were sprinkled in, the five most recent BIG MOVE DAYS on QQQ in the past two weeks alternated swings.
What's weird, is that this usually happens when QQQ is in a correction or a bear market, which as of this second, it is not.
While the one-month-forward-returns have been surprisingly good in 5 of the 8 previous events, check out those fucking max 20 day draw downs mid day. All 8 prior events saw massive fireworks, some in both directions, over the next month.
The 3 in the 0DTE era? Were three of the SCARIEST ones. Can you feel your nipples tingling and your portfolio value dropping?
FUCK.
YEAH.
[2/3]
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This says to me, buy the NEXT microdip...
OddStats@OddStats
Ok, I'm not gonna lie. Hide your wife and kids. Look at these 20 day forward max draw downs. Do you even care what this table is about? I didn't think so, but I'll explain it in the next tweet down anyway because, while it looks nuts, if you think about it, it's not. [1/3]
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Oh snap.
$GEO pricing in an end to democracy?
Washington Reporter@DC_Reporter
NEWS: President Trump is planning to announce that Georgia's two senators, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, are illegitimate because of fraud, a well-placed source in Georgia tells us. Announcement could come as soon as tonight.
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