
no one uknow
33.9K posts

no one uknow
@thinkwere2late
RN in working life. Herbivore. Atheist. Free Palestine.
Australia Qld Katılım Aralık 2018
1.9K Takip Edilen391 Takipçiler


@matt____rice WHILE TRUMP & KEGSBREATH CONTINUALLY LIE ABOUT THE SUPPOSED DEGRADATION OF THE IRANIAN REGIME, WAITING FOR THEM TO SOMEHOW COWER INTO SOME SORT OF SUBMISSION...
THE REGIME IN THE MEANTIME ARE PLAYING TRUMP FOR A FOOL, TAKING THE TIME TO REBUILD THEIR ARSENAL OF MISSILES & DRONES!

English

This post from an hour ago makes a lot more sense now

Jonathan Swan@jonathanvswan
New: Classified military intelligence assessments from early this month show Iran has regained access to most of its missile sites, launchers and underground facilities. Including: U.S. intel assesses Iran has restored operational access to 30 of the 33 missile sites it maintains along the Strait of Hormuz, and ~90% of Iran's underground missile sites are "partially or fully operational." w @Adamentous @maggieNYT nytimes.com/2026/05/12/us/…
English

@Charles07788205 @MOSSADil The police and those doing autopsies found no evidence of sexual
assault.
English

@thinkwere2late @MOSSADil In and on the woman's dead body.
English

🚨 TAPED CONFESSION—A Hamas terrorist confesses what him and his father did to an Israeli woman on October 7th:
“My father raped her, then I did and then my cousin did and then we left but my father killed the woman after we finished raping her”
The barbarity of October 7th can never be forgotten or denied.
It’s time for all victims of r*ape and Islamic terror to get the justice they deserve.
English

@canadianbubba @MOSSADil Gee, now who should I believe, a tortured prisoner threatened with
god knows what by people who are known for lying, or the word of
the many Palestinians who say they were sexually abused by their
occupiers of 75 years? I'll go with the latter.
English

@thinkwere2late @MOSSADil FU. This sordid confession was publicized in late 2023. It didn’t just surface smartass.
English
no one uknow retweetledi

Israeli gunboats fire at the shoreline of Khan Younis in south Gaza, and Gaza City’s coast, while military vehicles shell Al-Bureij refugee camp gazaherald.com/2026/05/12/isr…
English
no one uknow retweetledi

@lisakeb007 @DailyMail No it won't because you can't be believed.
English

"Women were stripped, bound, stabbed, shot, and burned. They were executed both during and after rape amid an orgy of violence where 1,200 people were killed and 250 taken hostage."
I wonder if this will make certain flag waving, scarf wearing lefties question if they're on the right side of history 🤔
English

Full depravity of Hamas during October 7 revealed for the first time: New report details how terrorists performed almost unimaginable horrors upon Israeli families trib.al/olj7tnv
English
no one uknow retweetledi

There’s no overstating how extraordinary this Atlantic article is, given the author and the outlet.
As a reminder Bob Kagan is:
- The co-founder of Project for the New American Century, probably the single most imperialist Think Tank in Washington (which is quite a feat)
- A man who spent his entire life advocating for American military interventions, especially in the Middle East, and a vocal advocate of the Iraq war. He started advocating for intervention in Iraq before 9/11, which speaks for itself...
- The husband of Victoria Nuland, an extremely hawkish former senior U.S. official (a key architect of U.S. policy in Ukraine, with the consequences we all witness today)
- The brother of Frederick Kagan, one of the key architects of the Iraq surge
In other words, we ain’t exactly looking at some sort of anti-imperialist peacenik. This is quite literally the guy Dick Cheney called when he needed a pep talk.
And the man is writing in The Atlantic, the most reliably pro-war mainstream media outlet in the U.S. (also quite a feat).
So when HE writes that the U.S. “suffered a total defeat” in Iran that has no precedent in U.S. history and can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” it’s the functional equivalent of Ronald McDonald telling you the burgers aren’t great: it means the burgers really, really aren't great.
Extraordinarily (and somewhat worryingly, for me), his arguments for why this is such a defeat are virtually the same as those I laid out in my article “The First Multipolar War” last month (open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…).
Here they are 👇
1) Vietnam/Afghanistan were survivable, this isn't
He agrees that this war - and the U.S. defeat - is fundamentally different in nature from previous U.S. interventions.
Where I wrote that the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan didn’t change the equation much in terms of power dynamics (“in the grand scheme of things, the giant walked away with little more than a bruised ego”), Kagan writes that “the defeats in Vietnam and Afghanistan were costly but did not do lasting damage to America's overall position in the world.”
And when I wrote that “it’s painfully obvious that the Iran war is of a qualitatively different nature” from these, he writes that “defeat in the present confrontation with Iran will be of an entirely different character.”
Same point.
2) Iran will never relinquish Hormuz and uses it as selective leverage
When I wrote that Iran has turned “freedom of navigation” on its head by establishing “a permission-based regime” through the Strait of Hormuz, Kagan arrives at the same conclusion: “Iran will be able not only to demand tolls for passage, but to limit transit to those nations with which it has good relations.”
He also agrees that “Iran has no interest in returning to the status quo ante,” when I myself cited Iran’s parliament speaker Ghalibaf in my article, saying: “The Strait of Hormuz situation won’t return to its pre-war status.” Same point and virtually the same words.
3) Gulf states will have to accommodate Iran
He agrees that most Gulf states will have no choice but to accommodate Iran, effectively making Iran into a, if not THE, dominant regional power.
Kagan writes “the United States will have proved itself a paper tiger, forcing the Gulf and other Arab states to accommodate Iran.”
On my end, I wrote that “the Gulf monarchies will eventually have to choose between two security propositions. One where they stay aligned with a distant superpower that [can’t protect them]. The other proposition being: make peace with the regional power that just proved it can hit [them] whenever it wants.” Which is not much of a choice…
4) Military impossibility to reopen Hormuz
Kagan writes that “if the United States with its mighty Navy can't or won't open the strait, no coalition of forces with just a fraction of the Americans' capability will be able to, either.”
On my end, in my article I cited Germany’s defense minister Boris Pistorius: “What does Trump expect a handful of European frigates to do that the powerful US Navy cannot?”
The exact same argument.
5) Global chain reaction
Kagan agrees that this is a global strategic failure that fundamentally changes the U.S.’s position in the world. As he puts it: “America's once-dominant position in the Gulf is just the first of many casualties… America's allies in East Asia and Europe must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.”
You’ll have guessed it, I wrote essentially the same thing: “Think about what it says if you’re Saudi Arabia, quietly watching your American-built defenses fail to protect your own refineries. Or any European country now facing the worst energy shock since 1973, caused not by your enemy but by your ally, and realizing that said ‘ally,’ supposedly in charge of ‘protecting’ you, couldn’t even protect Israel’s most strategic sites - when it’s the country with which it’s joined at the hip. I’m not even speaking about China or Russia who are seeing their worldview being validated on almost every axis simultaneously.”
6) Weapons stocks depleted, credibility shattered
Kagan: “just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power have reduced American weapons stocks to perilously low levels, with no quick remedy in sight.”
Me: “America’s most advanced weapons systems are much more vulnerable than previously thought - not theoretically, but in actual combat.”
Kagan: “America's allies… must wonder about American staying power in the event of future conflicts.”
Me: “The U.S. security guarantee has been empirically falsified in real time.”
-----------
So, yup, Bob Kagan and I agree on nearly everything. I need a shower 🤢
Reassuringly though, we still differ on a few fundamental aspects.
First of all, arguably the most important one, the moral aspect. In typical neocon fashion, his article contains not a word about the human cost of this war - not the 165 schoolgirls, not the devastation inflicted on Iranians during 37 days of bombing, not the toll this war is taking on the entire world through its devastating economic consequences (the economic devastation on ordinary people worldwide is referenced only as a political problem for Trump). For him, this is purely a strategic chess problem, morality and people don’t figure in his mental map.
For me, the moral bankruptcy of this war isn't separate from the strategic failure - it is the strategic failure. Much like Gaza can only be a failure because of its sheer abjectness.
Secondly, there is not an instant of reflection in the article on how we got there. Which is unsurprising because he personally, alongside his wife, his brother, and every co-signatory of every PNAC letter, spent a generation pushing for exactly this kind of confrontation. The man spend 30 years advocating for military dominance in the Middle East and hostility towards Iran, thereby forging them as an adversary and facilitating this very war that he now says has “checkmated” America.
I know introspection has never been the neocon forte but at some point you have to stop setting houses on fire and then writing op-eds about how surprising the smoke is.
Last but not least, we differ on what should be done. This is the funniest part of Kagan’s article - showing that the man is decidedly beyond salvation. On one hand he calls this a “checkmate” by Iran, and a U.S. defeat that can “neither be repaired nor ignored,” yet an the other hand his solution for it is… surprise, surprise… a bigger war still!
He writes that what’s to be done is “engage in a full-scale ground and naval war to remove the current Iranian regime, and then to occupy Iran until a new government can take hold.”
The arsonist's solution to the fire is a bigger fire ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
For my end, this was the conclusion of my previous article:
"There is almost a Greek tragedy quality to U.S. actions lately where every move taken to escape one’s fate becomes the mechanism that delivers it. The U.S. went to war to reassert dominance - and proved it could no longer dominate. It demanded allies send warships - and revealed it had no real allies. It waged forty years of maximum pressure to break Iran before this moment came - and instead forged the very adversary now capable of meeting it. It started the war in part to have additional leverage over China - and handed the world the spectacle of begging China for help. The prophecy was multipolarity. Every American action to prevent it reveals it instead."
I wouldn’t change a word. The only thing that's changed since I wrote it is that even the arsonists now smell the smoke.
Src for the Atlantic article: theatlantic.com/international/…

English
no one uknow retweetledi

Have you heard of the 'Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD)'?
Here's what Adam Johnson (@adamjohnsonCHI) has to tell us about the organization's Zionist ties and the regime-change ideologues who run it.
In Ep4 of Media/Wars, we address US media double standards and its cover for reckless, tax-payer funded wars in Iran, Lebanon, and Palestine, and the systematic speech control for what can and cannot be said about them.
Hosted by Bassam Haddad (@4Bassam) and @MouinRabbani
youtube.com/watch?v=97v6nv…

YouTube
English
no one uknow retweetledi
no one uknow retweetledi

Here is my BAFTA speech in full, with the important bit that hasn't been shown.
Also, a heartfelt thank you to everyone who supported us, and to our colleagues who rallied around us. And thank you to @BAFTA and the judges for a great evening and a great honour.
English

I simply cannot believe I live in a timeline where journalists helped force the last president out of his reelection campaign for being too old, so the country put an unstable 79 year old who falls asleep constantly in office and none of the same journalists care at all.
Headquarters@HQNewsNow
Trump appears to be completely asleep at his desk during his mid-morning event
English
no one uknow retweetledi

Calmmongering 101
I expected nothing less ☠️
Worst Health Minister in decades
Mark Butler MP@Mark_Butler_MP
An update on Hantavirus quarantine.
English

@thinkwere2late @CArpiainen @PrezLives2022 I’ve also had 3 resections and it sure the fuck does make me an expert on what I am allowed to eat afterwards.
Not to mention the many other times I’ve been forced on a liquid diet to rest my bowel. Tell me your suggestion for a healthier replacement.
English

RFK Jr has a snitch line for hospitals serving jello against his wishes and is threatening to cut their funding if caught.
His order to ban jello is most likely unlawful. I mean it’s freaking jello. I’m not sure if anyone has died from jello outside of an allergy, but Kennedy is a very disturbed man, and no hospital should be following his directives. He has no medical degree to speak of.
English

@LittlePurr76 @PrezLives2022 Do you ever wonder why?
The US has the poorest health outcomes of the OECD countries but
spends more on health. The SAD diet is killing the West.
English

@PrezLives2022 @thinkwere2late Colonoscopies are part of every American's life at some point. It's standard.
English

@TraceyA56869375 @PrezLives2022 Don't you think that a veggie broth would be healthier then jello?
English

@thinkwere2late @PrezLives2022 They do that too, as well as chicken or beef. Honestly, the calorie intake on a clear liquid diet is so low, why worry about the 70 calories or so in a bowl of jello?
English

@TraceyA56869375 @PrezLives2022 Yes, jfk jr. doesn't know wtf he's talking about, unless of course
his point is jello is not nutritious. In which case he's right for once.
Wouldn't you think that after all these years hospitals could have
figured out that vegetable broth is a better?
English

@thinkwere2late @PrezLives2022 RFKjr still doesn’t know what the fuck he is talking about. What do you want for a clear liquid diet then? I’m curious
English

@TraceyA56869375 @CArpiainen @PrezLives2022 Aware of that. The reasons for giving jello don't make it healthy.
It just isn't.
English

@thinkwere2late @CArpiainen @PrezLives2022 I’m not a dietician, but have been a nurse for a while. A clear liquid diet, which is usually when jello is given, is so low in calories in general, the sugar content isn’t that big of a deal. Our goal is to get the pt back to a normal diet, as their body can tolerate it.
English

As the Chinese government spouts propaganda about its supposed perfection and the exaggerated problems elsewhere, there is a risk that Beijing will believe its own disinformation and start acting dangerously. trib.al/PTzuVjT
English

