Patrick Trigg

My ex gym bro training partner showed up today. Said “Just cardio bro” So I carry on training… than he says “Miss our session bro… mind if I join in for a few sets” No issues for me… My training rules stand… - my training time - my program - my rest periods - don’t touch the fucking weight unless I tell you to. He’s flaked on me before so I just roll on with my program.

@john_macgowan What about prediction markets on stocks? Could that be a legitimate option?

I don't know as much about growing wealth through shares as Matt (or anyone else for that matter) but I do know a lot about losing it through gambling. Compared to 9% to -13% pa on the ASX, -40 to -45% Powerball EV still isn't viable with the tax changes versus same stake on the ASX. Poker is -5% to 20% EV, but remember poker winnings aren't always tax free. An irregular game, even at a high stake is fine, but you're never going to consistently make 20%+ on that. Good players trigger a lot of the thresholds for the ATO, not all of them, but enough to get audited - they use betting systems, they keep records, "volume, frequency, scale", it becomes difficult to prove the activity is not for profit at that point, and while rare, guys have been stung with this. It doesn't attract CGT - but it's a blow on income tax. Where gambling gets competitive recreationally is casino cards - in ascending order of probable net profit: Pai Gow Poker, Baccarat, Blackjack, and Pontoon. Roulette has the same probable profit as Pai Gow but a much higher expected loss and double the house edge. You can hedge your losses, but that's for pussies, so I don't think it's on the same level. Blackjack is right in the middle but you also have to put up with crowded tables, house rules (hole cards etc), plus, and I have no evidence for this - I just feel like the house cheats somehow. Pai Gow has a bank, but it doesn't quite get to the same edge reduction as even blackjack. Pontoon wins out for me simply because, you can't really play Baccarat one handed and I like to have a cocktail permanently grafted to my hand while I play. The table gets annoyed if you don't do the stupid card roll thing and I don't want to be feeling bad woo from the Chinese lady next to me because I'm disrespecting the ancestor ghosts or something. Pontoon, specifically Federal Pontoon - is the only game where Matt's ascertain could come close to being true. House edge is just 0.38%. Only game in a casino where you can reliably get expected net profit to 50% with the lowest loss. But importantly, the real house edge on pontoon isn't in the odds - it's in player behaviour. The casino can afford to run a game that's within a bee's dick of being fair because the majority of players do not know the rules, they think it's like blackjack - so very similar to the ASX in that regard.

@TherealMathew37 @OlgunUluc @ESPNAusNZ It's common when teams have 3 high level local players. With Magnay, Armstrong and Bannan - I can see it. Sydney, Melbourne and Tassie have all done it before. Tassie were lining up for it last year before the Macdonald injury.

@trigg44 @OlgunUluc @ESPNAusNZ Why? Each team can use 3. He is a local player.

Australian point guard Taran Armstrong has agreed to a one-year deal with the Tasmania JackJumpers, sources told ESPN. New @ESPNAusNZ story on one of the country’s rising stars joining his hometown NBL team. espn.com.au/nbl/story/_/id…

@ryanOrtiz_au I feel like this is what we will see. I was super against it last year, but do get it adds a lot of flexibility for the inevitable Magnay/other Aud serious injury.

Assuming Tassie will also go down the " two import + two marquee " salary cap strategy? #NBL27

@chrisroww @JackJumpers @OlgunUluc @abcsport Any word on whether we will likely see 2 or 3 imports?

A 1 year deal agreed to between Burnie boy Taran Armstrong and the @JackJumpers, per @OlgunUluc - however no formal signing yet. A coup for the JJs upon pen being put to paper. How much Taran can elevate his game under Scott Roth will be a fascinating watch @abcsport

@TherealMathew37 @OlgunUluc @ESPNAusNZ I feel like this could mean we only grab 2 imports.

@OlgunUluc @ESPNAusNZ We are going to be loaded once we get our 3 imports.

@JontyRalphsmith @Scobey__ @sirswampthing Liam Duggan also a chance!

@Scobey__ @sirswampthing Agree. Patrick Dangerfield’s also a watch for me…

Hey @sirswampthing when's the last time a team dropped their captain?

@JulianMarcus32 Do the Suns count? Doing big things for junior footy in the region, right?

Name me one sports franchise that has worked on the Gold Coast...

@aussiehoopla I think neither, but certainly not unwanted.

Is Sam Waardenburg an “unwanted player” or one of the best 3 local bigs in the league?

@aussiehoopla Is Kobe Williamson a DP? I always thought he was on the 'Main List'.

Free Agent Tracker 🚪 Dejan Vasiljevic exits 36ers ⛪️ Torrey Craig, Shaun Bruce & Bul Kuol in talks with 36ers 📞 Elijah Pepper linked to PER / BNE 👑 Makuach Maluach linked to SYD / MEL / SEM 🔔 Joe Ingles talking to SEM / MEL More in tracker 👇 aussiehoopla.com/nbl-free-agent…

@TomScibelli @SnuffinTorches Tommy! Are you watching Asutralian Survivor? Season just finished and it was an awesome one Think you'd love it.

We’re live now to recap an all-time and historic episode of #Survivor50 Join us @SnuffinTorches youtu.be/gB3MHVSSyEk?si…

@Tez_v26 How does sleeping work? Do you actually get any sleep?

@andrew_spartan @craighutchy Keli Leaupepe

@craighutchy Whose the pony tail guy in black pushing BC being a Steven Seagal wannabe

Can’t buy class. One king - on and off the floor

@pacersfan5 @Julian_OBrien @NBL It has lost momentum - my use of the word "anyone" isn't 100% correct but momentum has been lost. Even NBL twitter has dropped off and I'd say this is top 10% of people engaged with the league.

@trigg44 @Julian_OBrien @NBL This is factually incorrect, there are still loads of non-Finals teams fans that are interested in the finals. Not knowing when Game 1 was on, is purely a YOU issue.

Don't bore me with you "FIBA break" bullshit, but you could not schedule a season worse if you tried. The long, interrupted, drawn out finals season and play in rubbish has killed this Championship series. The @NBL goes too long into footy season. It HAS to change. #NBL26

@annabelcef I noticed this!

It’s hot how Cam consistently has good reads, but just crosses his fingers and hopes his dom top girly does something about it #SurvivorAU

@TrippinP3nguin @MitchellGarlan6 @WarnieDT @CalvinDT @RoyDT @MoreirasMagic We had a Corey Warner similar pick in our league a few years back.

Absolute tragedy for @MitchellGarlan6 in our keeper draft today. Please keep him in your thoughts and prayers @WarnieDT @CalvinDT @RoyDT @MoreirasMagic

@mikeoniron @WildcatsMark @RRome44 I'd say it would be a good idea if the existing teams made money before the pie is split further.

Expansion anywhere is a TERRIBLE idea at this time, not fiscally responsible at all.....by the way, out of curiosity, who would own the expansion team if there ever was one?🤔

@DavidCo99998489 @NBLPleb I was shocked to see it when I got home from the game! Felt like 5+

@NBLPleb Feel like I saw about 6 blocks from Magnay? Hahahaha

Will Magnay with one of, if not the best game of his career. 27 PTS | 13 REB | 2 STL | 3 BLK A new career-high in points. Has now surpassed his 19/20 season with the Bullets (218) for most points in a season, with 224. He is him. #NBL #NBL26

.@craighutchy - two spare spots in the SEN box at the Jackjumpers. Surely I've got your approval to sneak down?