@ohabryka @toasterlighting @NathanpmYoung @GiveWell „Enormous amounts of harm“= „funding political advocacy groups you disagree with“?
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Al
7 posts
@toasterlighting @NathanpmYoung @GiveWell She spent a huge amount of money on pretty crazy and radicalized advocacy groups. A few things I remembered was a bunch of pretty radical tenant-rights stuff, a bunch of labor rights advocacy, a huge pile of pretty radicalized social justice advocacy, etc.
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Comparing McKenzie Scott’s giving to if the money had gone to @GiveWell.
Her donations bought about 1500x less improvement per $ than the marginal GiveWell $
Max Ghenis@MaxGhenis
Her blended portfolio: $435k per QALY. @GiveWell's program averages ($4,000–5,500 per life saved) convert to ~$200 per discounted QALY. Handicapped like-for-like, the frontier still buys ~1,500× more health per marginal dollar — a few hundred× at portfolio scale.
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@loicmurumba @NathanpmYoung @GiveWell what the subculture is *trying* to do doesn’t change the truth of the situation either. What’s the theory of change around „attack people who spend their money on the wrong thing“?
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@trvlpursuits @NathanpmYoung @GiveWell It just is the case that many people die from things that can cheaply be addressed. There's a new subculture built around trying to attack those which does some name-and-shaming, which looks status game-y/suspicious. But that doesn't change the truth of the situation
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@peterwildeford Damn why even call them „risks“ anymore if we can all just consult the Epoch-oracle about the events yet to come
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Life is a bit boring when you're a top forecaster... You can predict the exact week a model comes out by looking at data center construction timelines and you can predict model capabilities by looking at the company's Epoch ECI curve.
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Al retweetledi
"The Trump Administration's Threat to Scientific Research" marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
"we are adopting the loser policies of authoritarian nations but those policies are the norm elsewhere for a reason"
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