TK

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TK

TK

@tt74kenn

Oil and Gas investor focused in Canada. Dabble in options with some success. Collector of dividends. Always searching for value. Conservative.

Ontario, Canada Katılım Ağustos 2013
204 Takip Edilen314 Takipçiler
TK
TK@tt74kenn·
@AssetTraveller 410 was 2026 forecast. I think the measure might be last full year. I may have it wrong.
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Adam⛰️
Adam⛰️@AssetTraveller·
I keep seeing 370,000 barrels everywhere. Arc is around 410,000 barrels right now $ARX.TO
Jack Prandelli@jackprandelli

🚨Shell just made its biggest upstream bet in years 🇨🇦 $16.4B, 2 million acres and 370,000 boe/d. Everyone is watching Hormuz. Shell just bought Canada : → Shell acquires ARC Resources Ltd. (TSX: $ARX) Canada's leading Montney producer → Price: $16.4B (C$22–23B) cash + Shell shares → Closes: late 2026, pending approvals → Production added: 370,000 boe/d gas-weighted, immediate 💡What Shell actually gets? → Production CAGR: 1% → 4% between 2025–2030 → Acreage: 2 million net acres in the Montney (1.5M ARC + 440k Shell) → Reserves added: 2 billion boe proved + probable → Returns: double digit from 2027 → LNG Canada feedstock: locked, scaled, company-operated Montney gas and condensate: Low breakeven, Low carbon intensity by shale standards. Directly feeds LNG Canada. ARC's Kakwa, Attachie and Sunrise assets sit next to Shell's existing Groundbirch hub in NE British Columbia. This is a contiguous platform upstream through LNG, all company operated. Shell is being sued in the Netherlands for not cutting fast enough Shell just spent $16.4B scaling Canadian hydrocarbons. Those 2 facts are a strategy. Shell is re weighting toward "acceptable" barrels OECD gas, lower carbon intensity, transition compatible narrative, LNG-linked. Repositioning toward hydrocarbons that survive tightening policy and rising geopolitical risk simultaneously. Canada is stable,Montney is cheap and LNG demand is structural. The Gulf is burning. The math is simple.

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TK
TK@tt74kenn·
$arx ev/flowing boe =59,000 $tou 685000x59000=40.4 billion 60% upside to EV. Considering the depth of inventory 3.9b 2P which arx got 11.00 puts reserves valuation at 42.9b Somewhere in that logic we should see 50% upside to Stock. Considering a takeout premium maybe 100-105 sp
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TK@tt74kenn·
@BubleQe Wait until more people apply the shell buyout numbers to $tou. Mind blowing upside
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LNG QE 🇨🇦
LNG QE 🇨🇦@BubleQe·
$22BN CAD has just been free'd up now that $ARX.TO the 2nd largest, Investment Grade (*marketable) #NaturalGas producer has been acquired ( Shell ). $TOU.TO up ~6% at the time of writing (high volumes) as the next logical move for these funds. ✔️Foreign investment in Canada.
LNG QE 🇨🇦 tweet media
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TK@tt74kenn·
Near 100 wti and stocks getting murdered. Classic.. me thinks there are dip buying opportunities here
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Money Signals
Money Signals@MoneySignalsHQ·
this is the death certificate of the zero interest rate green transition rather we call it an earning miss. honda taking a catastrophic $15.7 billion charge and cancelling three major north american ev platforms proves that you cannot legislate consumer demand. the unit economics eventually break when you force a low margin hardware manufacturer to abandon its core competency (internal combustion) to chase a highly subsidized mineral heavy fantasy. reversing a massive ¥550 billion profit forecast into a steep loss is the exact premium the industry just paid to learn that physical supply chains do not care about esg targets.
Money Signals tweet media
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Honda expects its first annual loss in nearly 70 years as a listed company.
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Michael Spyker
Michael Spyker@ShaleTier7·
Not sure if my oil and gas shitcos are selling off cause of the Citrini article or cause they're oil and gas shitcos.
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TK
TK@tt74kenn·
@garquake If you had a crystal ball and it told you every oil stock would be hitting all time highs with $60 oil going into earnings season reporting on $57 oil you would toss it in the garbage. I would have killed for this performance in 2023 with oil $15-20 higher. What changed?
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Burnsco
Burnsco@garquake·
Big trade Volume on some Canda Energy names recently on Canadian Exchange TSX - Interest been huge - $cnq was most traded yesterday followed by many Oil and Gas near top
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TK@tt74kenn·
@BubleQe @BeantownHQ X has turned into a bunch of pump and dump schemes and I told you so’s…
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TK
TK@tt74kenn·
@BubleQe @BeantownHQ They need to do it like this not Peter Linder style… too many pumping junk
TK tweet media
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LNG QE 🇨🇦
LNG QE 🇨🇦@BubleQe·
@BeantownHQ No you didn't.. ..or you would have posted it earlier. Classic "after the fact, I loaded up" after a stock has gone up 10%. 2026 is the year of accountability.. don't post what you buy, when you buy it & conviction.. "it didn't happen".
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TK@tt74kenn·
$arx pacman
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R_R@steve000_69·
@VanIsleInvestor ARX issues executive comp every February. They didn’t pay for these shares
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Vancouver Island Guy 🌊
Vancouver Island Guy 🌊@VanIsleInvestor·
$ARX ARC Resources - Terry and team adding some on the drop...10,680 shares for approx. $245,640
Vancouver Island Guy 🌊 tweet media
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TK@tt74kenn·
Someone is pacman $ARX
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TK@tt74kenn·
$arx sniped some shares. I think little over done with the punishment
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TK@tt74kenn·
$arx tomorrow morning.
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TK@tt74kenn·
$slv be liquidating.
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TK@tt74kenn·
Watching people getting excited about $aapl earnings is laughable. Sold lots of iPhone. Wow…. They will start burning money soon on AI. Low returns coming
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TK@tt74kenn·
I don’t think some changes to medicare cost amount to 60b of market cap reduction $UNH. That’s a buy the dip
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TK retweetledi
BOE Report
BOE Report@BOEReport·
Cenovus’ 172,000-bpd refinery in Lima, Ohio, suffers storm-related mechanical issues, IIR says dlvr.it/TQZfcP
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