

B D U
202.7K posts






EPA is expected to raise its mandate for crop-based biofuels tomorrow. But just because they're “natural” or "plant-based" doesn't make them better: these fuels are often more expensive and carbon-intensive than fossil fuels.

Iran will lose war, U.S. will declare victory. Oil will drop to around $60/barrel. The Dow will surpass 50,000. The S&P 500 will surpass 7,500. Interest rates will be cut 3-4 times. The 10 year interest rate will fall. Unemployment will drop below 4%. Republicans will win mid terms.

The financial architecture of the post WW2 world rested on three assumptions: - US is a benevolent hegemon with an embedded interest in maintaining global trading order - US controls the world’s sea lanes - US treasuries could always be transformed into commodities at a moment’s notice These assumptions are melting away faster than morals at a bachelor party. So how do we now position portfolios? I wrote the following last weekend and a number of clients asked me to unlock it, so here is the paper research.gavekal.com/article/shatte…


By publishing this explicitly false story, the @FT has officially become tabloid trash for market participants. Despite my direct, on-the-record denial of ever having advocated, explored, or espoused the idea that Chancellor-Bank of England statute serving as a prototype for a Treasury-Federal Reserve relationship, FT journalists manufactured a story with the headline, “Scott Bessent praised Bank of England as model for tighter oversight of the Federal Reserve.” These pathetic journalists have clearly fabricated a story to give the impression that both I and the Trump Administration are setting “about restructuring the relationship… at a time when President Donald Trump has launched an unprecedented assault on the world’s most important central bank.” Their mendacious assertion is based on vague statements from unnamed “financial industry executives familiar with the matter.” In short, FT has literally manufactured an entirely fake policy position for me and the Administration. Other than furthering a maliciously false narrative of dysfunction and divisiveness, it baffles the mind as to why they would shred their already diminished journalistic credibility. Over the past 10 years, I have written more than 20,000 words opining on the Federal Reserve decisions, personnel, structure, and modifications. Nowhere have I ever mentioned this ridiculous notion. The Governor’s letters to the Chancellor have proven to be a useless and perfunctory device. There is much to be said about the storied Bank of England, but any recreation of its operating framework on this side of the Atlantic has never been contemplated. The shameful journalists and editors at the FT are shocking in their meretriciousness, lack of standards, and general intellectual libertinism. It is the worst tradition of Fleet Street to manufacture news rather than report on it. They have brought irredeemable shame to their parent organization, Nikkei Inc., with whom I had previously held excellent relations. In 2025, I laid out a comprehensive 6,000+ word review of each and every policy reform that I believe should be adopted by the Federal Reserve. Read my actual, real thoughts on and proposals for Federal Reserve reform at the International Economy: international-economy.com/TIE_Sp25_Besse…

Steven Cash, a former CIA officer, discussed the origins of the Steady (deep) State. He said it was created the day Trump 1.0 won; it went dormant during the Biden regime and is now back in action (working against the will of the American people) as they view Trump as an existential threat. The part I find most interesting is that he returned to work in intelligence during the Biden regime to focus on domestic issues within the United States.

The Steady State is a who’s who of the deep state.


BREAKING: David @friedberg says "California is functionally bankrupt" "People don't realize how screwed California is, & I worry that if California falls, so does the union. "$250 billion to $1 trillion short." "This is because for California to get rescued would be a big cost to red states, & I think it creates in the years ahead a lot of tension." "California's functional bankruptcy is a major risk to the country. & I think we need to figure out what we can change to fix it." How we got here: "California has a public pension system, & that public pension system retirees have paid into it & they get some benefits out, & the amount that they're owed back out is somewhere between $250 billion - $1 trillion dollars more than has been paid in. $250 billion to $1 trillion short. If it was the federal government, it would be like, okay, we'll just print more money. California doesn't have the ability to print money, so California has to pay this out, and you can't restructure retirement benefits. There is a Supreme Court case in California that said that once an employee has been offered retirement benefits, even if they're currently an employee, you can never restructure their retirement benefits. It has to stay forever, and the state cannot declare bankruptcy. There's no way for the state to functionally declare bankruptcy. There's no law to allow it. No state has ever declared bankruptcy, and the retirement benefits sit senior to the bonds in California. So you have to pay out the retirement benefits before you pay out all the bond holders that have loaned California the money that they use to run all their programs and services." Hill & Valley Forum 2026 (@HillValleyForum)

83-year-old veteran randomly shoved onto NYC subway tracks dies from injuries, illegal migrant charged with murder trib.al/jSRje4o

Voter ID is common sense, and the majority of Americans support it. This afternoon, Democrats will have the chance to show the American people which side they are on.

Bernegger nailed it. He and @immutablechrist have been digging on this for years. @AsheinAmerica have had them on Why We Vote on @BadlandsMedia_ several times to discuss these webs. My favorite part from the article: 'Ask USAID if USAID has been helping overthrow the US govt with illegal funding robbed from the US taxpayer'. @ColonelTowner