Ayush Verma

1.6K posts

Ayush Verma banner
Ayush Verma

Ayush Verma

@vayush21

Senior Analyst (Trust & Safety) @Resolver, Strategy Lead @Durand_Dispatch. YNWA, up the mighty reds!

Katılım Aralık 2012
858 Takip Edilen400 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Ayush Verma
Ayush Verma@vayush21·
I'm very pleased to share first publication with @CTCWP, which I co-authored with @Valle_Riccardo_ and @ImtiazBaluch In this piece, we explored the roots of the Baloch insurgency, its tactics and security implications.
CTC at West Point@CTCWP

April analysis: “The Baloch Insurgency in Pakistan: Evolution, Tactics, and Regional Security Implications” by Ayush Verma (@vayush21), Imtiaz Baloch (@ImtiazBaluch), and Riccardo Valle (@Valle_Riccardo_) ctc.westpoint.edu/the-baloch-ins…

English
3
6
11
2.1K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Global Peace Index
Global Peace Index@GlobPeaceIndex·
The Global Terrorism Index 2026 findings point to a shift in the underlying mechanics of terrorism. While overall levels of violence have declined, the processes through which individuals become radicalised are becoming faster, more decentralised, and more closely tied to online environments. Youth radicalisation sits at the centre of this transformation, reshaping both the profile of perpetrators and the pathways through which extremism spreads. Read more: ➡️visionofhumanity.org/how-youth-and-…
Global Peace Index tweet media
English
0
10
17
1.7K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Colin P. Clarke, Ph.D.
Colin P. Clarke, Ph.D.@ColinPClarke·
If the counterterrorism strategy were submitted as an academic journal article, it would have received a "rejection," not even a "revise & resubmit." It contains no data, no empirical evidence, there's no clear methodology, lacks rigor, it's highly partisan & mostly incoherent.
English
16
42
144
25.4K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Riccardo Valle
Riccardo Valle@Valle_Riccardo_·
A pro-IS Hindi/Bengali language media cell posted an undated video of supporters allegedly from Bangladesh pledging allegiance to current IS leader. Background noises suggest the video was shot in a urban centre.
Riccardo Valle tweet media
English
14
25
181
49.3K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
James E. Thorne
James E. Thorne@DrJStrategy·
Food for thought. The age of cartel scarcity is ending The United Arab Emirates’ decision to leave OPEC is not just another quarrel inside an oil cartel. It is a move in the New Great Game taking shape across energy, trade routes and strategic commodities. For years, Abu Dhabi accepted the logic of collective restraint. Saudi Arabia would lead, Russia would amplify, and other producers would sacrifice volume for price. That bargain worked while members shared the same goal: defend oil prices without destroying demand. The UAE no longer fits the model. It has invested heavily to expand capacity, while OPEC+ quotas have limited its ability to monetise those barrels. ADNOC has targeted crude production capacity of 5mn barrels a day by 2027, while UAE production has often been restrained by OPEC+ agreements (EIA). Abu Dhabi wants to convert oil in the ground into sovereign wealth while demand still has value. The cartel wants patience. The UAE wants velocity. That is the structural shift. The oil market is moving from price defence to market-share capture. The UAE is not leaving OPEC because it has lost faith in oil. It is leaving because it wants to sell more of it while the world still needs it. Investors should separate the shock from the regime. In the short term, the Iran conflict drives prices because it determines whether barrels can move through Hormuz. If tankers cannot sail, spare capacity is theoretical. War risk, insurance costs and inventories set the front-month price. But Iran does not define the long-term price structure. Wars create spikes; structures determine regimes. The structural story is bearish: OPEC is less cohesive, the UAE is more willing to chase volume, and the US is now the resource superpower OPEC once feared. The US became the world’s top crude producer in 2018 and produced a record 13.2mn barrels a day in 2024 (EIA). For Donald Trump, the rupture is useful. A weaker OPEC means Saudi Arabia and Russia have less ability to manage prices. Lower oil is a tax cut for US households and a weapon against inflation. But Hormuz limits the victory lap. Trump can pressure cartels; he cannot repeal geography. China sees the same map differently. It remains exposed to Gulf flows and needs reliable suppliers. Beijing has relied on discounted Iranian and Venezuelan barrels, but those supplies carry sanctions, shipping and insurance risk. A freer UAE can offer something more valuable than cheap crude: reliability. This is the New Great Game in energy form. The US wants lower cartel power. China wants secure supply. The UAE wants autonomy and relevance in both capitals. Saudi Arabia wants to preserve cartel authority. Russia wants disruption to keep energy geopolitics in play. The age of cartel scarcity is giving way to the age of market-share oil. The marginal barrel is no longer merely an economic unit. It is a geopolitical instrument.
Financial Times@FT

Breaking news: The United Arab Emirates has said it is leaving Opec, dealing a significant blow to the oil cartel and its de facto leader Saudi Arabia ft.trib.al/08BCZA3

English
54
271
1.1K
191.9K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Kabir Taneja
Kabir Taneja@KabirTaneja·
Iran says no toll levied on Indian ships sailing through Strait of Hormuz. Comes as a third shipment of aid is airlifted by Tehran from India today… news18.com/world/strait-o…
English
1
3
11
623
Ayush Verma retweetledi
IndiaToday
IndiaToday@IndiaToday·
𝐇𝐲𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐛𝐚𝐝 𝐰𝐨𝐦𝐚𝐧 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐮𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐫 𝐧𝐚𝐛𝐛𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐈𝐒 𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐤, 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐊𝐡𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫 𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐠 The police in #AndhraPradesh arrested a 38-year-old single mother, who allegedly recruited 42 women through IS-linked online groups. The police said Sayeeda Begum, who is also an Instagram influencer, was being groomed to head a women's #terror wing called "Khawateen". Read more: intdy.in/z8b5y9
IndiaToday tweet media
English
60
486
1.3K
64.9K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
sushant sareen
sushant sareen@sushantsareen·
I am thinking even Iran can’t believe how comprehensively it has won this war. And the US has still not realised it has found its Gorbachev and Yeltsin in one individual.
English
72
811
4.5K
95.2K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Aditya Raj Kaul
Aditya Raj Kaul@AdityaRajKaul·
#BREAKING: Major terror network busted by J&K Police. Srinagar Police in Kashmir arrests 5 terrorists of Lashkar e Tayyiba including two Pakistani terrorists. Raids in Haryana and Rajasthan as well. Terrorist Abu Hureira, captured after nearly 16-year manhunt.
English
148
3.2K
16.3K
218.8K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Vishnu Som
Vishnu Som@VishnuNDTV·
This is, hands-down, among the greatest rescue operations that I have heard about.
OSINTdefender@sentdefender

Tonight’s operation in Southern Iran which resulted in the successful rescue of a Weapons System Officer (WSO) onboard an American F-15E Strike Eagle downed Friday over Iran, involved hundreds of special forces troops and other military personnel, including members of the U.S. Navy’s SEAL Team Six, dozens of fighter and strike aircraft, helicopters, and cyber, space and other intelligence capabilities, officials tell The New York Times. Senior military officials described the mission to rescue the airman as “one of the most challenging and complex in the history of U.S. Special Operations” given the mountainous terrain, the airman’s injuries and Iranian forces rushing to the location in the mountains of Southern Iran. The WSO evaded Iranian forces for more than 24 hours, at one point hiking up a 7,000ft ridgeline, a senior U.S. military official said. U.S. attack aircraft dropped bombs and opened fire on Iranian convoys to keep them away from the area where the airman was hiding. As U.S. Special Forces converged on the downed airman, they fired their weapons to keep Iranian forces away from the rescue site, but did not engage in a firefight with the Iranians. In a final twist after the officer was rescued, two transport planes that would carry the commandos and the airmen to safety got stuck at a remote base in Iran. Commanders decided to fly in three new planes to extract all the U.S. military personnel and the airman, and they blew up the two disabled planes rather than have them fall into the hands of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

English
53
100
1.6K
294.4K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
NND Dubey
NND Dubey@NNDDubey·
“केंद्र सरकार सबसे बड़ी से बड़ी मुकदमेबाज़”- Supreme Court की फटकार. Hon’ble SC dismissed SLP of MHA in case of a CISF सिपाही & also passed this remarks. Let us mark ANOTHER FEAT BY GOVT in CAPFs सिपाही related case.
4
45
81
1.2K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Stanly Johny
Stanly Johny@johnstanly·
trump is at a dead end; he has no solution for the chokehold Iran has placed on markets; Israel's push for state collapse has failed; and the war would reshape the Gulf security architecture, Prof. @vali_nasr tells me in this interview. Do watch: youtube.com/watch?v=3r425c…
YouTube video
YouTube
English
5
42
139
10.2K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Kabir Taneja
Kabir Taneja@KabirTaneja·
Fact that a war to deter Iran instead brings back Iranian oil to India after a gap of 7 years following sanction waivers to help global oil prices shows the rudderless reality of the strategic goals this ongoing conflict is built on. indianexpress.com/article/busine…
English
1
10
37
2.2K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Stanly Johny
Stanly Johny@johnstanly·
What a strategic disaster this war is turning out to be for the superpower
Stanly Johny tweet media
English
14
59
440
8.4K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
ANI
ANI@ANI·
#WATCH | Jerusalem, Israel: On Pakistan’s role as mediator in the war in West Asia, Fleur Hassan-Nahoum, Special Envoy, Foreign Ministry of Israel, says, "I don't know what the Pakistanis think they're doing. I think they're trying to make themselves relevant. They are themselves a huge problem in the world of jihadi terrorism. But they can try. I'm not sure they'll be very successful. I think they just want to shove themselves in the middle of something relevant at the moment."
English
206
1K
4.3K
340.9K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Christopher  Furlong
Christopher Furlong@Chris_Furlong·
FAIRFORD, ENGLAND - MARCH 21: A USAF Rockwell B-1 Lancer bomber takes off on a sortie from RAF Fairford near the Cotswold village of Kempsford and the village church of St. Mary the Virgin on March 21, 2026 #IranWar #aviation #military #bombing #fairford #avgeeks
Christopher  Furlong tweet media
English
70
308
2.5K
167.5K
Ayush Verma retweetledi
Kabir Taneja
Kabir Taneja@KabirTaneja·
'The US has sent Iran a 15-point plan via Pakistan's mediation efforts to end the war in the Middle East.' Pulling US back to the negotiating table of any kind after 4 weeks of war and 'martyrdom' of top leaders will be a win for Tehran. nytimes.com/2026/03/24/wor…
English
1
5
17
2K