Vega

$BTC back to $93,000.

GM to those who say GM! ☀️

A #Bitcoin Christmas in El Salvador last year 🇸🇻

JUST IN: S&P 500 hits all-time high

In 1945, Friedrich Hayek outlined the Knowledge Problem that any society faces: The central economic problem is not resource allocation - it is how to use knowledge that is dispersed among millions of individuals. He argues that information is fragmented, local, dynamic, and often hidden. He explains that no government or central planner can ever fully possess it, which makes them inefficient resource allocators. He proposes markets as the solution: knowledge is decentralized and prices are how society aggregates it. This idea is the intellectual foundation of modern prediction markets. Decades later, in 1988, the University of Iowa launched the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), which allowed small size trades on US elections and macro events. The results: even thin, low-capital markets outperformed polls. This was the first credible empirical proof that market prices are effective aggregators of public beliefs. A variety of corporate and policy experiments followed in the 2000s. Google, HP, and Microsoft all tried their own internal versions of prediction markets to forecast product launches and sales targets. DARPA built its own to forecast geopolitical events. The results were consistent: broad participation with monetary incentives led to accurate forecasts. Then, in 2015, Philip Tetlock published Superforecasting. The book, which is the culmination of decades of research into human judgment, shows that groups of curious and humble “forecasters” dramatically outperformed intelligence analysts and domain experts at forecasting. By showing that smart amateurs can outperform experts, Tetlock put into question authority figures and whether we should trust them for predictions about the future. Today, Kalshi is sitting on one of the largest repositories of high quality market data in the world. For the first time, public beliefs across a variety of domains - from economics, to politics and culture - are aggregated at scale through market prices and updated in real-time as new information arrives. Our data contains answers to open questions held about prediction markets - why they outperform traditional belief aggregation methods, how to detect shifts in collective sentiment, and which players drive market accuracy. This proprietary data has been closed to the public. We are launching @KalshiResearch to change that. We invite academics, researchers, economists, philosophers, and interested parties to work with us to study and uncover the fundamentals underpinning belief formation and prediction markets. Like Hayek proposed 80 years ago, prediction markets have the potential to improve society's collective decision making and resource allocation. The goal for Kalshi Research is to fulfill his vision.

Stablecoins settle instantly, 24/7, across borders. For treasury teams, that means less trapped cash and faster access to working capital. We wrote a practical guide for teams looking to integrate stablecoins in their global treasury operations: tempo.xyz/blog/corporate…

Perpetual DEXes are revolutionizing on-chain trading, offering self-custody, deep liquidity, and advanced order types without intermediaries. #PerpDEX #DeFi #DecentralizedTrading

MAKE CRYPTO PAYMENTS ON SOLANA

Something is cooking. 🐱💜 Retweet and drop your Monad wallet 👇

JUST IN: BlackRock buys 150,584.76 $ETH worth $639 million.

BIG BREAKING 🇺🇸 TRUMP ADVISOR DAVID BAILEY SAYS HIS COMPANY WILL BUY OVER $1 BILLION IN #BITCOIN TODAY GET READY 🔥

Modern DeFi on Ethereum has evolved into: Institutional-grade protocols Compliant RWAs Advanced derivatives The speculative yield farming era is over. #DeFi #Ethereum #InstitutionalDeFi

Persona by @RuptureNFT

JUST IN: $BTC reclaims $110K. Can it hold this level?

Hyperliquid is setting new standards for on-chain derivatives trading. Their hybrid order book model combines the best of CEX efficiency with DEX self-custody - a game changer for serious traders. #Hyperliquid #DeFi #Perpetuals

🎯 Ramen Rumble: Founders Edition NFT Sale – Key Info 🗓️ Sale Date: July 6, 2025 🎟️ Supply: 500 Total NFTs: – 10 Unique Legendary Monsters – 10 Unique Legendary Weapons – All NFTs playable in-game 💰 Pricing: • Early Access (GTD): $25 • Whitelist (FCFS): $30 • Public: $50 ⛓️ Chain: Base 📖 Whitepaper for full NFT utility: docs.level29.games/docs/Ramen%20R… 🧩 NFTs include: • Lifetime utility and boosts inside Ramen Rumble • DAO/Governance participation rights • Premium Community Access • Early access to Ramen Rumble and future titles • Discord & In-game badge and much more with a 🎁 Surprise utility included Won a WL spot? Join our Discord to claim your WL chef role: discord.gg/f3mYV7xab8

The billion-dollar opportunity that's being overlooked. This is our way out. 📻@henryzEXE

$108,000 Bitcoin

What defines a BitcoinWhale? Often it's been perceived by the masses as big players on Bitcoin, some may see them as marketmakers. But in Ordinals, they construe freedom.