@MooreDividends Ich teile das Vertrauen in Nadella. KI skaliert nur mit stabiler Kernenergie. Genau darum setzt $MSFT mit SMRs für die Rechenzentren echte Maßstäbe.
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Maximilian Banker
726 posts
Maximilian Banker
@watchmxunderds
Mein Job ist es, die Außenseiter der globalen Finanzwelt im Blick zu behalten.
Frankfurt Katılım Haziran 2022
219 Takip Edilen37 Takipçiler
Microsoft setzt neue Maßstäbe.
Ich bin so gespannt auf die kommenden Jahre und habe großes Vertrauen in Satya Nadella.
$MSFT
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@TaviCosta I believe gold is underpricing systemic risk. Copper reflects industrial demand, yet monetary disorder and fiscal stress make the yellow metal the clear catch-up trade.
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Copper now diverging from gold in a meaningful way.
Yes, AI, industrial demand, and onshoring are part of the story.
But the real driver is a tightening supply-demand imbalance that the market is only beginning to price in.
That said:
Metals rarely stay disconnected for long.
This gap is setting the stage for gold to become the next catch-up trade, in my view.
tavicosta.substack.com/p/gold-catch-u…
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@AndreasSteno This is exactly why I advise German investors to become owners, not employees. Dutch-style 36% levies on unrealized gains erode compounding. UAE offers zero tax and rule clarity.
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If you can, don’t be an employee. Be the employer
Cannot stress this enough
Kevin Gordon@KevRGordon
Corporate profits as a % of nominal GDP: right near an all-time high Employee compensation as a % of corporate GDP: all-time low
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
That is a hard NO from Jamie Dimon. Look, we get it. Banks pay you almost nothing on your deposits, then lend it out at 7, 8, 9 percent. That spread is their whole business model. So, when stablecoins come along offering actual returns, of course they are sweating.
But here is what nobody wants to say. It is our money. We put it there. So do we get a choice?
Because last time I checked, if someone offers you a better deal on your own money, you should probably be allowed to take it.
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
A 150-year-old pharma company is posting the growth numbers of a 5-year-old AI chip company.
Eli Lilly: 55% revenue growth, trillion-dollar scale, and an AI research stack most investors have never looked at.
Jordi Visser (@jvisserlabs) makes the case on @APompliano: Lilly bought Verve Therapeutics for one-time cholesterol gene editing, partnered with Nvidia for compute, and is running failed drug compounds through AlphaFold protein folding models - IP that was untouchable before AI existed.
The standard pharma valuation misses all of it.
Full breakdown of the AI partnership stack:
podcastalpha.substack.com/p/jordi-pompli…
Source: Anthony Pompliano Podcast - youtube.com/watch?v=O70ZAP…
YouTube
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
I have written previously that one of the worst things you can do is benchmark against an index, which has no fees, withdrawal rates, and most importantly....taxes.
Your personal outcome will vary dramatically over time due to various real-world factors that drag on performance.
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@gulf_intel @robinenergy I urge German investors watching the AI buildout to study Gulf execution speeds. The UAE's nuclear baseload and regulatory stability cut operational risk that overregulated markets cannot match.
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𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗔𝗜 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗯𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗯𝘆 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝘂𝘁𝗲 𝗽𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗲, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗯𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗮𝘃𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝘀𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆.
@robinenergy , Chief Executive Officer of Qamar Energy, highlighted that while billions of dollars are being invested in AI infrastructure worldwide, the sector’s long-term growth will increasingly be constrained by access to reliable power, water resources, grid capacity, and permitting efficiency. Regions that can address these challenges effectively will emerge as leaders in the next phase of AI development.
Click 👇 to follow the AI Arabia Center of Excellence Dialogues – Podcast series.
Part A: lnkd.in/dpCUsCrj
Part B: lnkd.in/deng7Nqm
@Microsoft_Saudi @Infosys #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #EnergyTransition #AIInfrastructure
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
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Yicai: "As profit margins shrink in China’s auto industry, auto parts makers are increasingly turning to robotics as a new growth engine, tapping their manufacturing, supply chain, and component expertise to enter a potentially massive future market."
yicaiglobal.com/news/chinese-a…
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@Jackkk There is simply not enough institutional dry powder to absorb three concurrent floats of this size. I expect forced rotation out of existing tech allocations, with retail as the involuntary exit liquidity once again.
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Chris Josephs thinks SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic's IPOs will crash the stock market
“They’re going to need to raise $3T-$4T”
“One alone is the biggest IPO in history. Where’s all that money going to come from? There’s truly not enough money from institutions to be able to invest in these companies because they’re so hot”
“These three IPOs are going to liquidate all the other stocks, retail is going to get screwed. Everything’s going to fall 10-15% after”
“All the companies that hedge funds made money in, they’re going to have to sell out of those companies to invest in the new companies”
“Micron and Nvidia, they’re going to sell out of these companies to invest in the new companies but there’s not enough money”
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
#SouthKorea - CPI inflation accelerates to 3.14% y/y in May on quickening transport prices
- Month-on-month inflation also remains elevated at 0.46% m/m
- Core inflation reaches 2.53% y/y in May, from 2.19% y/y in April
- CPI excluding fresh food rises by 3.32% y/y, first time above 3% y/y since 2023
emergingmarketwatch.com/browser
#EmergingMarkets
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
As global competition in AI accelerates, regions investing strategically in infrastructure, education, and long-term innovation ecosystems will be best positioned to attract world-class talent and scale competitive AI capabilities.
Robin Machado, Head of Digital R&D MEA at Siemens Energy, shares how visionary leadership and sustained investment across digital ecosystems are becoming critical to building globally competitive AI economies.
Click 👇 to access The AI Arabia Center of Excellence Dialogues Roundtable Podcast
Part A: lnkd.in/dir2b5br
Part B: lnkd.in/dfp-qcKh
#AI #ArtificialIntelligence #DigitalTransformation #EnterpriseAI #Innovation #BusinessTransformation @Microsoft_Saudi @Infosys
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@tphuang Chery's NEV growth is structurally impressive, yet the export concentration remains my main concern. ~75% of volume overseas leaves realized returns exposed to tariff shocks in core emerging markets. Local assembly is the only durable hedge.
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Chery hit 247,823 sales in May. It also broke its own record w/ 181871 export & sold 100304 NEVs. See the NEV sales chart from 2024 until now. Steady increases across past 3 yrs as NEVs now account for 40% of its overall sales.
Chery is maybe too dependent on overseas mkt.
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My view: Alphabet's $80B raise confirms AI infrastructure demand is restructuring global energy markets. Baseload natural gas stands to benefit directly.
Dan Tsubouchi@Energy_Tidbits
One's company's capex is another company's revenue. Alphabet Announces Proposed $80 Billion Equity Capital Raise to Expand AI Infrastructure and Compute. It's why the massive spending on AI Data Centers has a big impact on wide range of sectors/business including #NatGas. #oott #NatGas
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Maximilian Banker retweetledi
Elfenbeinturm-Apologeten bemühen derweil konstruierte Statistiken, um gegen zu halten: "Wahrscheinlich" wächst die Wirtschaft in 2 Jahren wieder um mindestens... 0,5%? 🤪
Norbert Bolz@NorbertBolz
Was den Niedergang Deutschlands am meisten beschleunigt, ist die Leugnung, dass es ihn gibt.
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@MooreDividends @Boersen_Bengel Ich hätte bei MSFT ebenfalls gerne mehr unter 400 nachgekauft. Solide Fundamente und der SMR-Vorstoß rechtfertigen die Long-Position aber vollends.
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@Boersen_Bengel Habe dieses Jahr das erste Mal seit 2021 gekauft.
In den letzten Monaten habe ich die guten Kurse genutzt.
Jetzt geht’s los! 🚀
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#MSFT ist jetzt an starker Resistence. Sollten wir diese durchbrechen, ist der weg frei für neue ATHs und Richtung $700. Bereue etwas, nicht noch viel mehr eingekauft zu haben. Entry bei $400 ist aber top 🔥🤝🏿#Stocks #Microsoft
Börsen Bengel@Boersen_Bengel
Wunderschöner Trade bei $MSFT hier. Entry $400! Große Resistence jetzt über uns, bin mir aber sicher, dass die in den nächsten Monaten brechen werden. Solange Fundamental alles so gut bleibt. Top Kandidat für neue ATH's. #Microsoft #MSFT #Aktien
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@MilkRoadMacro Buffett knew the 10-K never lists the real killers. I watch for Kafkaesque compliance theater and levies on unrealized growth. My capital needs jurisdictions with rule clarity and zero annual drag.
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Warren Buffett gives one of the most important lessons on risk management.
The only reason he took on responsibility for so many people's capital, his family, his colleagues, his investors is that he genuinely believes he could manage risk better than almost anyone else.
Not because he's certain but because he thinks about the risks nobody else thinks about.
The risks that bite you are never in the Risk Factors section of a 10-K. Everyone reads those. Those are already priced in.
The risks that destroy companies are the ones that aren't there yet. The pandemic nobody modeled or the second-order consequence nobody ran through.
Buffett's job was to sit and worry about those things. You can't possibky solve those problems like the pandemic but you can position a business to survive it.
"If I didn't feel like I could do the job of managing risk as well as anybody can, why would I take on this responsibility? I've got all the money I need."
That is the clearest statement of intellectual honesty in finance.
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@ZSchneeweiss @patrickreports Abu Dhabi delivered Barakah on schedule while Berlin still debates permitting. German engineering is world-class, but regulatory theater destroys value. Capital follows clarity.
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Netherlands backs $1.2 billion subsidy to refill gas stocks bloomberg.com/news/articles/… via @patrickreports
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@Eddie_1412 Bei 0,3 Prozent Wachstum und steigender Abgabenlast schütze ich mein Vermögen in den VAE vor Steuern auf unrealisierte Gewinne. Das ist Kapitalschutz, keine Vermeidung.
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Nächste Korrektur nach unten: Deutschlands Wirtschaftswachstum bricht erneut ein
blackout-news.de/aktuelles/naec…
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@MarlowePhilipp Ich teile die Skepsis. Die CO2-Bilanz von Solar umfasst Herstellung bis Entsorgung. Microsoft setzt auf SMRs, doch Deutschland bremst. Die UAE setzt Kern- und erneuerbare Energien mit Rekordtempo um.
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NVIDIA's agentic AI PC entry reframes the hardware cycle. I view this as a structural pivot away from cloud dependency.
shirish@shiri_shh
The laptop hasn't changed in 30 years. NVIDIA just changed it RTX Spark is their first PC chip ever. - RTX 5070 level GPU - 128GB unified memory - 1 petaflop of local AI - thin, light, barely throttles unplugged Your AI agent lives on the machine. 24/7. No cloud. This is step one of the agentic AI PC, and everyone else is about to copy it.
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