@CyclesFan Basically, one last rally into late-Apr early May for the Xi-Trump submit and then one final drop and then back to ATH.
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Roland Leung
17K posts
$QQQ - I've scanned past price patterns to compare it with the price action since the late October top and the year that has the highest correlation is 2006. If current action continues to follow the 2006 script QQQ will bottom only in May. The arrow points to where we are now.
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@Canine_World @DarioCpx @KingKong9888 x.com/SimonDixonTwit… Also as Simon rightly pointed out, petrodollar ceased to exist for a while. Those GCC folks very smart to bet on US stocks and not US treasuries.
Simon Dixon@SimonDixonTwitt
The petrodollar already broke when US became energy independent and the GCC sovereign wealth funds started buying US equities rather than US treasuries. Oil is priced in dollars but you can settle in any currency. The important part was the purchase of US treasuries by oil exporting countries. That is already broken. Next the Eurodollar & Japan carry trade. That is Trump’s gift to the financial industrial complex at the expense of Americans who pay the bills and take on the debt. This is operation Warpspeed 2.0, a gift for the same FIC that loved the global financial crisis and COVID.
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It’s not the end of the petrodollar, and it won’t be the rise of the petroyuan… rather it will be the rise of the ELECTROYUAN. China offers energy independence and can mass manufacture the new non-volatile infrastructure. It’s not just electric cars, it’s solar panels, generators, batteries, infrastructure, etc… ELECTROYUAN
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JustDarioCigarTime - Episode 71
⚠️ THE BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE PETRODOLLAR HEGEMONY 🎙️
- The Petroyuan Joins the Petrodollar
- The Structure of the Global Economy Is Being Reshaped
- China and the US Will Still Remain Economic Partners (For Now)
youtu.be/_Q5nXYrd_G8?si…
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@idkwimbiktimi @johnRhe73070176 I’ll swing some puts for the long weekend.
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@michele_geraci Lega (low tax) + M5S (foreign policy) + FdI (to counter Pd) ?
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Quello che emerge è la ovvia incompatibilità politica tra #Meloni #Salvini e #Tajani i quali molto astutamente per tenere salda la coalizione hanno adottato la strategia del “Non fare nulla per quattro anni” quando si ognuno di loro il diritto poi invece fare dichiarazioni alla stampa anche contrari all’operato del governo stesso come se fossero all’opposizione
Adesso che le elezioni si avvicinano ri emergono le incompatibilità sempre esistite
Italiano
$Silver - Blow off moves in the past ended with a return to the origin of the blow off. In 1980 it was to the April 1978 low at 4.90. In 2011 it was to the February 2010 low at 14.65. This time the origin of the blow off was the April 2025 low at 28.31. That's the target by 2030.
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@DarioCpx @ChadNedohin How? Alberta crude sold at a 20% discount and the US the only mkt.
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Perfect explanation here of the reason why the US isn’t truly “energy independent” as many got convinced to believe. 👇🏻
As I warned multiple times for weeks, the US won’t be able to dodge oil shortages. They will simply be last to experience them.
Chris Martenson@chrismartenson
There's a lot of confusion out there, including with Trump, that the US has lots of oil to sell to the world. We do not. We're a net importer of crude (~+3 Mb/d). The EIA reports that fact in great detail every week. The confusion stems from using the term "petroleum exports" which includes the bodacious amounts of natural gas liquids (NGL) that come from our wet gas plays. That stuff isn't "oil" and it is exported because it's wildly overproduced compared to our needs. Yes, the US is a net exporter of "petroleum," but it's also a net IMPORTER of crude oil. In other words, the US has none to sell. There's more complexity to why we export 3M b/d of crude (it's the wrong kind for our refineries) and also import 6.4 M b/d of crude (which is the right kind).
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@DarioCpx They will now argue that JP has the biggest oil reserve / capita that can last 9 months as supposed to that of the PRC which can only last 3 months. Lol...
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This is how $USOIL and $JPY are reacting. Watch Japan's economic crisis intensifying as the higher crude oil prices climb. Surely expect Japan to intervene in the FX market if its 160 $JPY is being crossed, but the headwinds Japan is now facing are harder and harder to fight
JustDario 🏊♂️@DarioCpx
#JustDarioDaily - Podcast Version ⚠️ SAVE PRIVATE TAKAICHI: HOW JAPAN’S YEN CRISIS IS BEING IGNORED 🎙️ $JPY #Japan youtu.be/LyICsfh1G8A?si…
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Why the Market Underestimates The Iran War
@SimonDixonTwitt explains all.
This will shock you.
youtu.be/GQTX3kg-caU?si…
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In about a hour we will discover the fate of this big bunch of 1DTE $QQQ someone loaded up ahead of Trump’s prime time speech
Cheddar Flow@CheddarFlow
You don't see this every day Someone just loaded up on MILLIONS worth of 1DTE $QQQ puts
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@_TheWhiteLion__ @KobeissiLetter Stupid? His crypto circles like David Sachs are all benefiting from this stablecoin adoption. His world liberty fund isn't that far behind. Plandemic to usher in SaaS, Work-remote and this to usher in CDBC and wider crypto adoption.
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@KobeissiLetter Imagine what a stupid fuck Trump is
He needlessly attacked Iran, closed the strait of Hormuz and now the Iranians are collecting a tax to transit through the strait
The situation is WORSE than what existed before.
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BREAKING: The IRGC is now charging tolls, with rates starting at $1 per barrel of oil, on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, paid in Chinese Yuan or stablecoins, per Bloomberg.
The process includes:
1. To pass, ship operators must first contact an intermediary company linked to the IRGC
2. They then provide their vessel’s ownership, flag, the cargo manifest, destination, crew list, and transponder information
3. The intermediary then passes the file onto the IRGC Navy’s Hormozgan Provincial Command for background checks to ensure no link to the US or Israel
4. Iran has a ranking system of 1 to 5 for nations, with ships from countries that are seen as friendly more likely to get better terms
Once the toll is paid, the IRGC issues a permit code and route instructions for the ship to pass.
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@sarcastic_hedgi @KobeissiLetter USDC man. USDT is not the only stablecoin
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@DarioCpx Better watch some stuff from your home regione than this shitshow youtu.be/SWpQ6svxvxY?si…
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“The power of the jawbone vs physical market reality” - he says mid April is when jawboning will stop working, I believe it might stop working as early as next week when the oil supply shock hits Europe hard
HFI Research@HFI_Research
The power of the jawbone vs physical market reality If you jawbone long enough to the resolution of the conflict, great, you survived. If you don’t, that inflection point will be very violent and nasty. Cushion runs out by mid-April for the oil market. Jawbone will work until then.
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@AndrewIlijic @DarioCpx As if the squids won't see ppl and all cats and dogs shorting this rally. What would they do folks are loading all up on puts on this rally? Let them profit from it?
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BREAKING: we now have confirmation we are living in a simulation
JustDario 🏊♂️@DarioCpx
Shall I say it again? 🙂
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@WallStreetMav @RedGuitautist Germany is finally waking up. They almost destroyed their once very productive country and economy, Britain and France are not as smart
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🚨🚨🚨Breaking:
The German government to build 15 new nuclear power plants and lift sanctions immediately on all Russian oil and natural gas.
German Chancellor Merz has also agreed to pay to rebuild the Nord Stream pipeline to Russia.
All wind and solar projects have been cancelled.
"It's time for Germany to open our energy economy. The best way to do this is via free markets, lowering taxes and regulations".
For Immediate Release.
Berlin, April 1 2026.
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@TradingLogica @MasterPandaWu Every cat and dog can see that the mkt lost the 50-week SMA and would be shorting the heck out of it at that point. You really think the mkt god would reward every one of those folks?
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EWT on a 5-min chart is a high-noise read. The zigzag to 6455 is plausible, but the same structure can be labeled differently by tomorrow open - that's the fragility of intraday wave counts.
The weekly context is harder to argue with: SPY lost the 50-week SMA and is bouncing into it. Whether this is 5 waves or 3 doesn't change that overhead.
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Beauty of EWT: (1) While fintwit is filled with comments of the "biggest bull trap" and "dead-cat bounce," I saw the beauty of a classic 5-wave up with an extended 1st wave. (2) it is a pure beauty--if true--then tmrw, a zigzag retrace would take SPX to at least 6455 mid-day.
Master WU@MasterPandaWu
Quarter-ending Window Dressing Goes Extreme: (1) this huge rebound has nothing to do with reality; but has everything to do with bond-re-adjustment; (2) so far, only 3-wave off the low at 6316; also, THE BLACK TRENDLINE should be respected, at least short-term. SHORT at 6540
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@SmartReversals The best scenario is actually to lose it in Apr, lures in all the bears and make the bulls puke and then launch a powerful rally into July.
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$SPX: Bulls face a monumental task in April: neutralizing this bearish MACD crossover, a major structural signal that has preceded every bear market, including the Dot-com bubble and the Great Financial Crisis. Crashes in 2020 and 2025 have been rapid solutions.
#StockMarket
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@xenu_ex @RebeccaYChan Nine dash line came from the ROC and the PROC just inherited it.
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@RebeccaYChan LOL maybe China shouldn't have slapped their nine dash line off the shores of the Philippines. What did they think was going to happen?
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The Philippines is basically a string of US military bases and not much more. And the Americans don’t give a damn about Filipinos living without oil and electricity.
Only China stepped in to help. None of the American squatters offered a helping hand. And the US controlled government privatised the country’s petroleum reserves to profit off the poor people in the Philippines.
Ileana's Watch | PHILIPPINES IN CRISIS: The Consequences of US Imperial ... youtu.be/znFNCy0l5Dk?si…
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@Constellar2112 @RebeccaYChan It's because it is controlled by the corporate interests. The paypal gang will control everything in North America. Welcome to the all-surveillance and tokenization CBDC society.
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That's because the United States is the greatest empire and global hegemon on earth. We are the Second Roman Empire. The world makes colossal, fundamental policy shifts at the slightest whim of the United States. Even the acronym: U S A, is an icon known the world over more than any other symbol, design, iconography, or logo.
May God continue to bless the U S of A.
🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲
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@desuforu @zerohedge Capitalism for the mass and socialism for the elites. That summarizes the current state of the economy. The PayPal gang getting filthy rich at the expense of the common ppl.
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In Revolutionary Statement, Fidel Castro's Grandson Embraces "Capitalism With Sovereignty" zerohedge.com/political/revo…
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@zerohedge Is there a dark pattern or just tragic coincidence
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'Something Dark Is Going On': Nine Top-Level Scientists Die Or Go Missing In Past Year zerohedge.com/political/some…
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