holmes
2.4K posts



Open invitation to @BeardyBrandon to join me for a podcast interview. We’ll livestream the conversation and you’ll have the opportunity to fully share your side of the story without interruption or misrepresentation. The invitation is open anytime. Let me know!



Everyone needs to read this... The Crab Mentality (a visual thread)





Hey dude- thank you for the post. Wow, lots of comments. Yes, definitely some damage control in the post (as my investors and partners already knew all the information, so clearly this was for the public), but only because the Internet started going wild with a lot of misinformation about what was happening. So I definitely wanted to try and control some of that. The narrative was “Brandon Turner lost 100% of all his investors money in all his deals.” I’m mean I’ve been seeing fake rumors like that for years online, there’s not a lot a person can do. And I’ve already addressed a couple hundred comments over on Instagram, mostly the same stuff, but I’ll say a few things: 1.) yes it was adjustable rate, but we had a rate cap on it. For those unaware, that is basically like Insurance against the rate going up. So it can turn adjustable into fixed. And it worked. However, but I did not realize and I don’t think anyone realized… is that if rates did go up, you have to re-buy rate cap insurance and the cost went like 100x. Plus, there were limits. No one expected us to blow past those limits. So definitely I wish I would’ve known that before and I would not have likely done it. 2.) but this is the interesting thing about real estate. Or any investment, no matter what. If you underwrite everything, every line item, to the most insane unprecedented estimate, you would never invest in anything ever. You would live in total fear all the time. So for example, if the average cap rate was a four, I might underwrite to a five, but I would never underwrite to a seven. And I might assume rents aren’t going to do 5% per year, but I might say worst case is zero. But in Austin, for example, we’ve seen Rents drop 30%. Geeze. So on one hand, it’s easy to look back and say that we should not have bought the deal. And I agree. Maybe I got caught up in the frenzy of buying. But also- every line item went up to unprecedented levels. Our underwriting, even when I look at it now, wasn’t crazy. It was conservative. Just … wrong. Anyway, appreciate you. Thanks for sharing.



















