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🌊Mathematical GeoEnergy 🌎 Our new book on crude oil depletion, renewable energy, and climate science wiley.com/en-us/Mathemat…

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether We know you use something like that just so you can hide your tracks -- too lazy or fearful that you will be found out to be a charlatan poseur if you actually maintained a blog or github site where you can maintain derivations. And heaven forbid you actually publish anything!

If it accesses the latest climate data like the WoodForTrees site, you can make the plots yourself. The bottom line is that the rate of change of atmospheric CO2 concentration is proportional to temperature anomaly. It fits both the short term and the long term. If you try to shoehorn anthro emissions into that dynamic, you’ll have to first get rid of that pesky long term trend that matches in the rate of change of CO2 and the temperature anomaly. That’s a problem because: A) why take out something that already matches? B) to take it out, you’ll have to assume some high pass process which removes it and leaves the variational parts, but that process will take out the long term anthro signal, too, so you’ll have to assume nature has some magical means of distinguishing between the two. It doesn’t work. The necessary conclusions are: 1) our emissions are puny compared to the natural flows and have insignificant impact 2) the impact of atmospheric CO2 concentration on global temperatures in the present climate state is essentially nil. Otherwise, we would have unstabilizable positive feedback and we would have spiraled into a saturation condition eons ago.

@hairymarx1 @BStarr96522 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @TWTThisIsNow @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @WHUT @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @Redoubtably10 @patfrank830 @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether @thomasdenmark FYI❗️😘👇 The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature G. S. Callendar First published: 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟭𝟵𝟯𝟴 rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…

@nghoihin @BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether One of the issues is trying to find specific bits in a knowledgebase. You can either use random keyword search, or apply directed graphs to aid the indexing, which a wiki does well. The advantage here is that it then gives links to other ideas. A custom encyclopedia.

@nghoihin @BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether That's cool. Andrej Karpathy is recommending that people with wikis use LLMs to maintain knowledge and links. I started to do that with a GitHub wiki github.com/pukpr/GEM-LTE/…

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether That's not a site, this is a site pukpr.github.io/gem/models/

I don’t know how I could have made it more clear. I included links to a site where you could recreate the plots yourself, with all the options I used clearly printed in the plots. This goes beyond standard laboratory thermodynamics into the realm of transport phenomena over a massive and extensive volume.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Prompted an LLM to provide a critical view of the findings presented. There is enough here to carry forward into the coming energy transformation. pukpr.github.io/mathematical-g…

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether My geoenergy site is pukite.com. Spin-off project of my book Mathematical Geoenergy (Wiley/AGU, 2019). Endless number of problems to solve and understanding to be gained in the Earth sciences.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether That's the problem. We aren't mind readers. When you present something that is wrong from the accepted chemical thermodynamics, we try to deconstruct your scribblings. Or realize this may be your intent to mathematically equivocate and conflate. Infinite ways to get it wrong.

This is your third flail to try to insist that what the equation very clearly models isn’t really what the equation is modeling. First, you claimed it was really an equation of proportionality between CO2 and temperatures. When that didn’t fly, you tried to redefine the terms so that subtracting a rebaselined temperature anomaly became a differential quantity. It was gibberish. Now, you’re just throwing another forcing into the equation hoping to pack all the discrepancies in your pov into this undefined new entry. Stop. The rate of change of atmospheric CO2 concentration is proportional to appropriately baselined temperature anomaly. It accounts for the whole ball of wax. That’s it. Game over.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether 2nd time you said that. My credentials are available. It's you that can't provide credentials. .... Put it simply, you are disguising a forced response with that formulation.

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Nope. You’re a poseur. You have no idea what you’re talking about.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Brandolini's law applies. Need to constantly stoop to your level of conflation, which is draining. I would suggest squaring off with an LLM because they don't get weary and exhausted.

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether No, no, no, no, no!!!!!!!!!

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Mathematical equivocation and conflation. There's a recipe for this, and if you do a good job with it, Brandolini's law applies.

@TWTThisIsNow @FredHikes @WHUT @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Yeah, you “liked” this gibberish. Dumber than paste. x.com/WHUT/status/20…

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether The fakery is that BS uses dCO2/dt = k*(T-T0) to obscure k*dT + external, without acknowledging that the external is being intentionally hidden by the notation.

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether And, T is an ANOMALY, not absolute temperature. JFC what a stupid conversation.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether You had written dCO2/dt = k*(T - T0) Well, T-T0 is dT, as a differential, so equating 2 differential quantities. Otherwise, T is sitting at around 300 Kelvin and is essentially a constant. But you have no facility for math, so there's that.

It doesn't go as exp(at), dum-dum. Where do you see dT/dt ~ T anywhere in this plot? The phase of the variations is displaced 90 deg. Long term T is essentially affine and dT/dt is constant. You can't just make up a system like you want it to be. It has to relate at least tangentially (pun intended) to reality.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether If T goes as exp(a*t), then dT/dt goes as a*exp(a*t), which is ~T by substitution It's called calculus ... maybe go back to HS?

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether dT/dt is most emphatically NOT ~ T.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Have to spend time explaining to a dolt certain math identities

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether You fucking moron. This is dp/dt ~ dT/dt. The observations show dp/dt ~ T.

@BStarr96522 @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Why am I arguing with a dolt?

@WHUT @TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether No, you goof. This is a proportional relationship, not a rate of change relationship.

@peakaustria We just had that superposition combination in 2023/2024 where IOD=DMI

"Something strange is happening in the Pacific—and it doesn’t make sense at first glance." "Right now, the ocean is technically neutral. Nothing dramatic." "Nothing extreme." "And yet, two of the world’s most advanced climate models are quietly converging on the same outcome: a Super El Niño forming in 2026, with a magnitude not seen in a generation." Five months out from the Arctic Sea Ice minimum the data points to, not 'just' an El Niño but a Super El Niño! youtu.be/4UPj9RanA_Y

@HowToAI_ Many cases where just randomly testing excursions works better than computing a gradient descent direction. Put in a simulated annealing excursion and it can also escape local minima.

@TWTThisIsNow @BStarr96522 @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Comes right out of classical chemical thermodynamics, specifically through the van 't Hoff equation. Learned in undergrad courses

@BStarr96522 @WHUT @patfrank830 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Again take your "proof" to Exxon, Bart - if you're right wealth, fame, and a Nobel Prize await you!

@rushtropicalwx @JackRevnew The answer will come either from fresh thinking from the next generation or from AI.

@JackRevnew Its an interesting setup.

Serious question....What happens when the ocean and the atmosphere are both warm? Im thinking lapse rates and instability....Just spit balling....

@TWTThisIsNow @patfrank830 @BStarr96522 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Pfrank only approves of "models" that get married to rich orange apes.

@patfrank830 @WHUT @BStarr96522 @QI_181 @hairymarx1 @Konrad_Chapman @Frnc_prep @BrknMan @GlonvecHQ @PoyetPatrice @ICcrapdaily @ejwwest @priscian @CymaticWave @LxxResearcher @HeidlerNeal @Wim_Ondewhybak_ @AtomsksSanakan @ericonthetrail @dangerousbeenz @bobathon @Dooderoo @FredHikes @JoernWiedemann @OceanadeSilva @USAMRIID_CA @agentsinaction @FriedrichFiles @BatcaveSlimer @BywatersRobert @tezisold @_InThisTogether Did your “physicist friend” have tears in his eyes and thank you and call you “Sir” when he said that too, Patrick? 🤪