WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com

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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com

WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com

@wx_tiger

Daily tropical newsletter: https://t.co/kKfG1rZuB3; custom forecasts & modeling for ag commodity markets; met expert witness. Tweets by Ryan Truchelut.

Tallahassee, FL Katılım Ocak 2016
383 Takip Edilen4K Takipçiler
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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com
WeatherTiger’s first outlook for the 2026 hurricane season is here, and it's a refreshing break from the mostly active forecasts of the last decade. Our landfall risk model projects net Accumulated Cyclone Energy near CONUS of 2.5-3 units, about 40% less than the 1900-2025 mean.
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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com
WeatherTiger’s first outlook for the 2026 hurricane season is here, and it's a refreshing break from the mostly active forecasts of the last decade. Our landfall risk model projects net Accumulated Cyclone Energy near CONUS of 2.5-3 units, about 40% less than the 1900-2025 mean.
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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com
Serious numbercrunching going on at WeatherTiger World HQ today in preparation for the release of our initial outlook for the 2026 Hurricane Season! Look for WeatherTiger's forecast to be out this Wednesday. It may even contain some rare good news for the year ahead for once...
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The NHC post-analysis report for #HurricaneMelissa is out now. Estimated maximum sustained winds were nudged upwards to 190 mph at #Melissa's peak, tying Hurricane Allen (1980) for the highest ever recorded in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico.
National Hurricane Center@NHC_Atlantic

NHC has completed its post-analysis and Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane #Melissa. Melissa, one of the strongest hurricanes on record in the Atlantic basin, reached category 5 intensity (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) with a minimum central pressure of 892 mb and brought catastrophic wind and storm surge impacts to portions of western Jamaica. Melissa’s slow motion also produced heavy rainfall and catastrophic flood impacts across portions of the Greater Antilles. As of the release of the report, Melissa is responsible for 95 fatalities. The report is available at nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL132… All reports for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season can be found at nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index…

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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com
While #Florida will not see snow/ice from this weekend's massive Winter Storm Xenawarriorprincess (name unofficial), a historic cold pattern follows. #Tallahassee may see 8+ freezes in a row beginning Tuesday. That's only happened 12x since 1892, most recently in 2010. #FLwx
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Snow/rain mix underway in the western #Panhandle, with Winter Storm Warnings expanded into Jackson and Holmes Cos overnight. At 5 am CT, mix reports east to Walton County. Little hope of frozen precip in #Tallahassee but storm seems to be overperforming in Central Time #Florida.
NWS Tallahassee@NWSTallahassee

Temps are starting to drop into the upper 30s and a few spotters have begun to report sleet and a few snow flakes mixing in with the rain across the Panhandle and SE Alabama. Snow chances will increase to the east over the next few hours as temps cool further. #FLwx #ALwx #GAwx

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WeatherTiger - weathertiger.substack.com
Saturday Night Florida Snow Update: Rainfall is kicking up along the Gulf Coast tonight, which will probably change over to a few hours of mixed rain/snow or wet snow Sunday morning in the NW #Florida Panhandle and south Georgia. Latest: @weathertiger/note/c-201394266" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@weathertiger/…
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Friday afternoon #Florida snow potential update: Still in the game, though the pattern remain is one in which model forecasts overestimate totals, and also is different from the typical way the #Panhandle sees snow. Next update tomorrow PM as the storm starts to take shape.
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That change in the models makes the weekend forecast worth watching, as a substantial minority of GFS and European ensemble members do have at least some flurries north of I-10. I'll have an updated write-up about Florida's snow chances out tomorrow morning. #FLwx
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Do you believe? I'm still skeptical of North #Florida's weekend snow chances, but model guidance has trended much stronger over the last day with the "kicker" disturbance over the Plains that could wring out a little snow behind a front Sunday morning across the #Panhandle. 1/2
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