.

@sacstim @goatluka77535 FWIW the line is closing at -150, so objectively it’s a good bet if ur into the EV stuff

“Just do the right thing and tell your followers your cashing out upon learning new information” this is an ego statement. Attacking me for not being “educated” while I haven’t seen a single green slip or even any type of tracking leading to believe you are profitable long term is crazy. Cause you give good insight don’t get me wrong but You’ve commented on multiple posts of mine with nothing positive yet when plays cash. everyone’s entitled to own opinions and if you think it’s a bad play just take the under and move on it’s whatever.

⚾️ MLB Sunday Play Of The Day 💎 Nolan McLean o17.5 PO ( -109 DraftKings ) #FightinFish vs #LGM 🏦 MLBSZN 94 - 54 ( 64% Hit Rate ) 🔥 McLean despite giving up 6+ Runs in B2B Outings still has some of the best underlying metrics in Baseball with an xFIP at 3.04 and SIERA at 3.02 which both Rank Top 10 amongst qualified pitchers The contact given up over the L2 games hasn’t been as hard considering the runs and hits he’s given up as the average Exit Velo on batted balls has been at 89.2 MPH Can’t pass on this matchup against the Marlins who generate some of the softest contact ranking 2nd Lowest in Hard Hit Rate against RHP and Bottom 7 in Barrel%, Hard Hit%, Exit Velo, xBA, xSLG, and xwOBA Against RHP on the road they rank 6th Lowest in BB%, 10 Lowest in wRC+ and putting up the 3rd Highest Ground Ball Rate Marlins also rank 4th Lowest in P/PA while seeing the 6th Lowest Foul Ball Rate which has led to the 4th Highest Ball In Play Rate The Arsenal against the projected 6 Lefties will feature a heavy fastball arsenal where Marlins rank 2nd worst against when looking at Pitch Value Per 100 In Zone for McLean jumps from 51.3% and 57.7% on his Sinker and 4Seam against Righties to 56.2% and 64% against Lefties There will be a lot of contact tomorrow he’s just gotta locate to generate soft outs This Marlins lineup has never seen McLean before which will benefit him first and second time through the order Even though Marlins don’t put the ball in the air often there will be heavy winds blowing in at Citi Field tomorrow which will suppress any Fly Balls into the outfield McLean how will you respond today?

@PhillySharp1 You got a read on the Red Sox today?

Sun #MLB A’s/NY o10 (-115) Lopez/Warren HALF UNIT #GamblingX

@MovingUnit_ Hey boss, do you track p/l for your model? Appreciate the good work

Moving Unit MLB Full Slate Prediction Model 5/31/26: Toronto Blue Jays ML 58.9% (-144) Baltimore Orioles ML 41.1% (+144) Minnesota Twins ML 48.6% (+106) Pittsburgh Pirates ML 51.4% (-106) San Diego Padres ML 46.9% (+113) Washington Nationals ML 53.1% (-113) Los Angeles Angels ML 40.7% (+145) Tampa Bay Rays ML 59.3% (-145) Atlanta Braves ML 62.1% (-164) Cincinnati Reds ML 37.9% (+164) Boston Red Sox ML 57.3% (-134) Cleveland Guardians ML 42.7% (+134) Miami Marlins ML 48.2% (+107) New York Mets ML 51.8% (-107) Detroit Tigers ML 47.2% (+112) Chicago White Sox ML 52.8% (-112) Milwaukee Brewers ML 70.0% (-233) Houston Astros ML 30.0% (+233) Kansas City Royals ML 50.3% (-101) Texas Rangers ML 49.7% (+101) San Francisco Giants ML 51.8% (-107) Colorado Rockies ML 48.2% (+107) New York Yankees ML 56.9% (-132) Sacramento Athletics ML 43.1% (+132) Arizona Diamondbacks ML 36.0% (+178) Seattle Mariners ML 64.0% (-178) Philadelphia Phillies ML 41.5% (+141) Los Angeles Dodgers ML 58.5% (-141) Chicago Cubs ML 51.3% (-105) St. Louis Cardinals ML 48.7% (+105) If you’re trusting the odds from this model and can’t get a better price on your sportsbook than what’s listed here, there may not be any value in that team. Feel free to share. #GamblingX #SportsBetting #MLBPicks

@KSplitAnalytics What u project the fair odds to be

Getting this in now, will write it up tomorrow. Amazing reverse split matchup here as Shane’s changeup is one of the best is the league against RHH and LAA is loaded with them.

@PhillySharp1 How come? Lines already up to 170.5 at most books

I don’t normally do this, but I am actually cashing out of this. I have a couple concerns. #WNBA #GamblingX

@PhillySharp1 Early thoughts on Knicks series?

Cash it Spurs +225 SERIES WIN💰 Hey Chet it’s game 7 #NBA #GamblingX

@PhillySharp1 Ahhh I had okc series after game 1. Good cash

@PhillySharp1 How do you start the game this poorly

@PhillySharp1 Yea the sides genuinely might be fucked, cause wtf

Posted Fever -9.5 last night it’s currently -11.5 Oh boy.. Haha #WNBA #GamblingX

@PhillySharp1 🔪🔪🔪

@x5ypep No more than the tigers should have w Valdez.

Sat #MLB ChiSox ML +104 Listed Pitcher HALF UNIT #GamblingX

@FiddlesPicks How do you devig odds?

If I form a consensus closing line, devig that to get true odds, and my bet beats that true price - the bet is good win or lose. Process leads to results. Secondary metrics like CLV/EV/xROI help let you know if what did was good enough to win long term, win or loss on 3 bets totaling 1unit risked is pretty meaningless big picture. Plenty of times I have said I won a bad bet, OKC -5.5 closed -3.5 for game 5 and won. Terrible bet, winner.

@ChipsPicks_ Thoughts on team total 3.5 at -110?

📅 MLB 5/30 PLAY 1 1u White Sox ML +102 FD bounce back today

@lockandcash Pointless trend

One of my favorite Game 7 angles... Teams that FORCE a Game 7 with a double digit win in Game 6: 🔥23-14 ATS (62%) overall 👀18-6 ATS (75%) L10 Seasons 🚨Spurs +3.5 in Game 7

@PhillySharp1 Aaand an error 😂

Mariners are on the verge of choking haha

@BearBetz @invisiblestats Like bro 😂

@invisiblestats Mfer called Justin an ace im in tears 😭🙏

Phillies v Dodgers UNDER 8.5 is a great look. *U8 also plays* You can thank the "sharps" for moving this up from 7.5... WHY👇

@invisiblestats Calling wrobleski an ace with those advanced stats is crazy lol. Phillies can’t hit rn tho so under should still be good

Going to keep this one simple: 2 aces on the mound. I'd be very surprised if the F5 under didn't smash - very juiced though. Retail moved line up from 7.5, sharp books didn't agree. They opened at 8 and the over has only gotten more juiced. Phillies have kept things LOW while on the ROAD. 9-1 to the UNDER L10 road games, 12-7-1 to the under L20. Then we have LAD at home where everyone expects fireworks... idk. LAD home unders are 7-3 L10 and 13-7 L20. Not to mention, this season, series game #1's are averaging ~0.5 less runs than games 2-4. Teams need to adjust to each other. (We can get into the details of both teams' aces/bullpens, but the numbers speak for themselves. This game goes LOW.)

@PhillySharp1 Atp I don’t know, I’m not able to watch but sky shooting splits look horrendous not sure about the shot quality though

@x5ypep So you explain it to me I get over 168. It closes at 172.5 and I’m supposed to look in the mirror and say this was a bad wager.?

Fri #WNBA Sky/Lynx o168 (-115) #GamblingX

@PhillySharp1 How you feel about Phil’s ml? Ik their bats are cold but wheeler at even money vs wrobleski is pretty crazy

Fri #MLB Phillies//Dodgers u8.5 (-117) Wheels/Wrobleski I would still take it under 8 You can find u8.5 from (-117)-(-125) HALF UNIT #GamblingX