Yamoshi.eth | dronedelivery.ai

If we assume we are living in the simulation. I have come to conclusion that there is a natural limit to how deep simulations can go. Each layer has fewer resources than the one above it. S(n) = Simulate(S(n-1)) where S(0) = base_reality

@jointheparti hey guys, can you get back to me :)

🚨 You hate to see it...But the numbers don't lie...The current odds of a US ground invasion of Iran by April 30, 2026 are now 66%!! 🚨 Day 31 of Iran War - Here's what the prediction markets are actually pricing We're a month into the US-Israel Iran campaign and the prediction markets tell an interesting story about where this goes next. Ground invasion timeline: US forces entering Iran by tomorrow (March 31) is trading at just 6¢ - essentially not happening. But extend that to April 30 and it jumps to 66¢. The market sees a high probability of ground forces within the next month, even as the Pentagon avoids confirming plans. Ceasefire skepticism: Despite Trump claiming Iran has agreed to "most of" the US 15-point demands, and Pakistan offering to host talks, the ceasefire market tells a different story. Ceasefire by April 15 sits at 18¢. Even by April 30, it's only 30¢. The money is betting heavily against near-term diplomacy succeeding. Oil chaos: Crude already hit $100 (that market is at 98¢ with one day left). The $105 market is at 27¢ by end of March - unlikely by tomorrow but the trajectory is clear with Brent already past $112. Trump threatening to destroy Iran's oil wells and Kharg Island today only adds fuel. Regime change: Iranian regime falling by June 30 trades at 16¢. Despite a month of intense bombing including Tehran power infrastructure, the market gives the regime an 84% chance of surviving through June. The big picture: Markets are pricing sustained military escalation with low confidence in diplomacy. The spread between the March 31 and April 30 ground invasion markets (6¢ vs 66¢) suggests the market sees a major escalation coming - just not this week. What's your read? Are the ceasefire odds too low given Trump's comments about deal progress?

@TateTheTalisman Uncompromisable

I’m hiring. Won’t give the job description. Post underneath why you think you’re qualified to work for me. 2 positions available.

@investingluc First smart Polymarket post I saw on X, but you don't need all that fancy things, only one number called probability 0-1.

I made a "should I be trading?" dashboard. Scores the market across 5 pillars: - volatility (put/call ratio, vix, positioning) - trend (spx vs 20d, 50d, 200d ma's) - breadth (advancing/declining, nas highs/lows) - momentum (sector leaders, laggards, % participation) - macro (fomc, rates, geopolitics) Each is weighted, combined, and averaged to give me a score for the current environment. Basically a yes, no, or stay small. Sometimes I just need someone (or something) to remind me to stay out. Happy to share the prompt if you guys want it...but I made this with @perplexity_ai's Computer.

@KyleDeWriter Anybody that has working 54%+ WR model/bot would not sell it below few M.

70% of Polymarket Monthly Leaderboard is taken by trading bots. None of the algorithms were vibe coded or explained by "Claude Quants". the real edge was never discussed publicly. the secret will never be exposed by dev on X. drop me the working claude bot with proofs and I'll pay for it. (never happens)

@Julianpetroulas Too many bad examples, stopped using them

@benjamincrozat good luck, this probably is not your first rodeo 😃

This is probably the lowest I've been since a few years. Can't find freelance work, was super close of getting a good job in a startup in Switzerland, I failed B2B sales, and I don't know how I'll pay rent this month. Worst of all: my second baby is coming next month. I did tons of outreach that I should have started earlier. But it'll likely won't bring any result for at least a month. So yeah, if you're looking for a senior developer with 10+ years of experience (18 in total, 13 as a pro), tons of skills, Laravel + ecosystem expert, LLMs expert, design expertise, business expertise, etc. Feel free to reach out.

@acceler8future @jonwillbanks It is one of the most researched supplement, no liver damage was seen in trials.

@jonwillbanks Cool - but you can't have too much I hear - liver?

Scientists gave 20 Alzheimer's patients creatine monohydrate for 8 weeks. This was the first clinical trial to test creatine in humans with Alzheimer's. What happened to their memory and cognition was extraordinary. Here's how remarkable creatine can be for your brain:

Every retweet of this post will equal a dollar given to children with Leukemia.

@TylerDurden probably the best game opening song

I’ve never played a single Halo game - as a lifetime gamer of 30+ years I feel quite disappointed in myself.

3,000 last days of Ethereum price change show the same trend. Worst Day: Tuesday & Thursday (57.38% Up Rate)   Best Day: Saturday (45.31% Up Rate)   Friday still best day to buy

@sooyoon_eth That is a huge sample size so it might be structural rather than random noise. Volume is definitely the next variable to consider.

@yamoshi_eth weekend pump data is interesting! though pattern recognition in crypto = dangerous game when everyone knows the pattern lol 3k days is solid sample size though. what about volume patterns? pumps on no volume usually fade

📊 I analyzed 3,000 last days of Bitcoin price action. The results? Crypto loves the weekend. 📉 Worst Day: Thursday (46.73% Up Rate) 🚀 Best Day: Saturday (55.14% Up Rate) Weekend Pump isn't a myth—it's math. Statistically, the best move might be buying the Friday dip to ride the Saturday wave. 🌊

If AI agents are able to mimic things that conscious beings/humans do, does it really matter if they are actually conscious or not.

@KristianCsep Just use Discord 😆

More than 10 of my bitcoin friends got hacked in the past month. All had 2FA enabled. It didn’t help. Here’s how they almost got me too 👇 HOW THEY FOOL YOU 1️⃣ Someone from your contacts messages you to schedule a call. This is already a stolen account. A friend who got scammed before you. 2️⃣ They send you a calendar invite first. Then, right before the call, they send a Zoom link. At a quick glance it looks legit. The preview looks identical to real Zoom. The trick is subtle: the hostname and subdomain are swapped. This is the fake Zoom link they sent me. A real Zoom link would have those two words around the dot swapped. 👀 https:// zoom (DOT) webus05. us/j/47369507762?pwd=7kiAzRm6PNBvNFdBBEY04cr6LLzHPk.1 Easy to miss, even if you know what to look for. Especially when it comes from someone you trust. 3️⃣ The fake Zoom app looks flawless. Perfect copy of the real Zoom UI. No red flags. 4️⃣ You immediately see your friend on video. This is NOT A DEEPFAKE. It’s a recording of your friend from seconds before they got scammed in the previous session. That’s why it looks perfect and trustworthy. HOW THEY GAIN CONTROL 5️⃣ The fake Zoom app says your audio is broken and asks you to update. 6️⃣ The update “fails” and you’re shown a command line troubleshooting guide. ⚠️7️⃣ If you paste that command into your terminal, it’s over. You just gave the attacker remote access to your computer. HOW THEY ROB YOU 8️⃣ The malware they install remotely is simple and runs fast. It takes one or two seconds. It usually does two things: A) Scans your computer for bitcoin wallets and steals access. ⚠️B) Steals session cookies from chat apps. This is how they bypass your 2FA later. ELI5 SESSION COOKIES When you log into Telegram on your laptop, you enter your password and 2FA once. Telegram then saves a session token on your computer so you don’t have to do it every time. That token is basically: “Yes, this is the same person who gave you the password and 2FA earlier.” When attackers steal it, they present it to Telegram, which sees it as a valid session and lets them in. So they don’t need your password or your 2FA code. THEY ARE YOU. If someone gets access to your computer, you’re done. At that point, it’s just damage control. MY GOLDEN RULE Life is short and beautiful. No client call is important enough to mess with command line troubleshooting. Be lazy. Be safe. PS: unrelated, but we just launched Braiins Hashpower. On-demand bitcoin hashrate. Try it. It’s awesome. Like ice cream when you’re 12 😁

@LumenX_ AMEN

I APOLOGIZE TO ANYONE WHO SCROLLS PAST THIS. BUT IF GOD HAS SAVED YOUR LIFE MORE THAN ONCE… TYPE AMEN.

@DavidFischer Jesus is Lord!

Can we get 700 people to unashamedly say Jesus is Lord?

@TylerDurden @Trad3rG hi Tyler, can you please shot a DM, would appriciate it!

@Trad3rG I do this every Monday morning but I like how you’ve laid yours out. 👍

Daily Bias

@DavidFischer Jesus is Lord

Can we get 700 people to unashamedly say Jesus is Lord?

@TylerDurden Tyler any way to reach you? :)

Man City to win. $100 to the first human reply with correct final score.

@Mrcryptoxwhale @NoLimitGains @grok DONE