Zac Hill

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Zac Hill

Zac Hill

@zdch

Co-founder/President, Office of American Possibilities. Newest stuff: Resilient America; In Pursuit. Professional Wizard in a previous life.

Washington, DC Katılım Ocak 2009
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
Reading the Esther Allen translation of di Benedetto’s Zama reminds me of how one of the great triumphs of liberalism (which we’re abandoning wholesale) is its capacity for freedom from expectations - not just of others, but of our misplaced own.🧵
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@jachiam0 @TheZvi “You know what’s great for national security? For a bunch of cracked Chinese engineers to move back to China.”
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Joshua Achiam
Joshua Achiam@jachiam0·
I think these are important and sober considerations. One more I want to add: it may be a serious risk to US national security interests to become sufficiently inhospitable to foreign technical talent that we drive them to go back home. That would significantly decrease the US capacity for making technical progress at the same time as it hands an extraordinary bounty of talent and know-how to our adversaries and other strategic competitors. The success of the United States in technology is partly safeguarded by being such a powerful talent magnet: every great researcher or engineer who comes to work here is not working for another country. To the extent that we are in a competitive global race, we should be genuinely cautious about the possibility of diminishing our advantage at the critical moment.
Samuel Hammond 🦉@hamandcheese

I'm quoted in this piece so let me provide my full comment to the reporter: The most striking thing about the government's filing are the things it *doesn't* mention. It doesn't mention anything about Anthropic hesitating to allow Claude to be used to defend an incoming hypersonic missile, for instance -- one of the many bizarre things alleged by @USWREMichael. The focus on foreign national employees is an indicator of how thin the DoW's case is. It is also an extremely fraught line of argument to go down. Every leading US AI company employs a substantial number of foreign nationals. In FY 2025, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Apple, Oracle, Cisco, Intel, and IBM all appeared in the top 50 employers by number of granted H-1B visas, ranging from a few hundred to over 6,000. Meta alone had 5,123 approved H-1B petitions in 2025. (See: newsweek.com/h-1b-visas-imm… ) This is an undercount, of course, as there are many other visa pathways as well as greencard holders and dual nationals. The share is also higher in AI. A large plurality of the core research and engineering talent at every frontier AI lab is foreign, reflecting the global nature of the race for top AI talent. One talent tracker shows Chinese-origin researchers constitute roughly 40% of top AI talent at US institutions. Total foreign nationals likely constituting 50-65% of research teams specifically. This is certaintly true to my experience on the ground. (See: digitalprojectsarchive.org/interactive/di… ) So the first point is that employing foreign nationals, including Chinese nationals, is not unique to Anthropic. The more important question is what measures are taken to protect against insider threats. Ironically, within the industry Anthropic is widely considered to be the most serious and proactive about policing insider threats from foreign nationals and otherwise. They were early adopters of operational security techniques like compartmentalization and audit trails, in part because they were early to partner with the IC and DoW, but also as a reflection of their leadership's strong convictions about the future power of the technology. They were audited last year on these points: the compliance review found Anthropic employs role-based access control, just-in-time access with approval workflows, multi-factor authentication for all production systems, and quarterly access reviews. (See: tdcommons.org/cgi/viewconten… ) Anthropic is known for its security mindset more generally. Last year they famously disrupted a Chinese espionage effort occuring on their platform, banned the PRC from their services, and worked with the NSA and others to share intel. I can't speak to every other company, but the contrast is perhaps most stark with xAI. X employees famously slept in tents to work around the clock, are disproportionately Chinese, and have at least one case of an employee walking out with tons of sensitive data. See: sfstandard.com/2025/08/29/xai… Anthropic is also famous for its remarkable employee retention, which is another important vector for IP theft and security leakages. It's important to underscore just how precarious the DoW's case is, both on the legal merits, and as a potential precedent for the US AI industry. If employing foreign nationals is treated as a prima facie supply chain risk, *no* major US AI company would be eligible to contract with the DoW, along with most of the tech sector. Insider threats are a genuine and tricky concern. Many defense companies are ITAR restricted, meaning they can *only* hire US citizens. If that were the standard in AI, we would destroy all our frontier companies in an instant, and then scatter that talent around the world for our adversaries to scoop up. So in short, the DoW's argument is both ridiculous and playing with fire.

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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@johnarnold Yeah. I think the main lesson from my perspective is "when the desire for intervention is sufficiently high, no amount of energy friction will prove a meaningful deterrent"
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John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
The conventional wisdom in the 2010s was that energy independence would reduce US military involvement in the Middle East. In practice, high domestic production lowered the economic risks of disruption, making actions like a strike on Iran viable.
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@amandalitman Does she herself have the juice, given that she is one of the most thorough electoral underperformers in the Senate?
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Amanda Litman
Amanda Litman@amandalitman·
Elizabeth Warren getting involved in Democratic Senate primaries (and going against Schumer/the DSCC picks) is fun to watch and I hope more of her colleagues do the same. It’s more proof the establishment has lost the juice.
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
“The DoW’s argument is both ridiculous and playing with fire.”
Samuel Hammond 🦉@hamandcheese

I'm quoted in this piece so let me provide my full comment to the reporter: The most striking thing about the government's filing are the things it *doesn't* mention. It doesn't mention anything about Anthropic hesitating to allow Claude to be used to defend an incoming hypersonic missile, for instance -- one of the many bizarre things alleged by @USWREMichael. The focus on foreign national employees is an indicator of how thin the DoW's case is. It is also an extremely fraught line of argument to go down. Every leading US AI company employs a substantial number of foreign nationals. In FY 2025, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Apple, Oracle, Cisco, Intel, and IBM all appeared in the top 50 employers by number of granted H-1B visas, ranging from a few hundred to over 6,000. Meta alone had 5,123 approved H-1B petitions in 2025. (See: newsweek.com/h-1b-visas-imm… ) This is an undercount, of course, as there are many other visa pathways as well as greencard holders and dual nationals. The share is also higher in AI. A large plurality of the core research and engineering talent at every frontier AI lab is foreign, reflecting the global nature of the race for top AI talent. One talent tracker shows Chinese-origin researchers constitute roughly 40% of top AI talent at US institutions. Total foreign nationals likely constituting 50-65% of research teams specifically. This is certaintly true to my experience on the ground. (See: digitalprojectsarchive.org/interactive/di… ) So the first point is that employing foreign nationals, including Chinese nationals, is not unique to Anthropic. The more important question is what measures are taken to protect against insider threats. Ironically, within the industry Anthropic is widely considered to be the most serious and proactive about policing insider threats from foreign nationals and otherwise. They were early adopters of operational security techniques like compartmentalization and audit trails, in part because they were early to partner with the IC and DoW, but also as a reflection of their leadership's strong convictions about the future power of the technology. They were audited last year on these points: the compliance review found Anthropic employs role-based access control, just-in-time access with approval workflows, multi-factor authentication for all production systems, and quarterly access reviews. (See: tdcommons.org/cgi/viewconten… ) Anthropic is known for its security mindset more generally. Last year they famously disrupted a Chinese espionage effort occuring on their platform, banned the PRC from their services, and worked with the NSA and others to share intel. I can't speak to every other company, but the contrast is perhaps most stark with xAI. X employees famously slept in tents to work around the clock, are disproportionately Chinese, and have at least one case of an employee walking out with tons of sensitive data. See: sfstandard.com/2025/08/29/xai… Anthropic is also famous for its remarkable employee retention, which is another important vector for IP theft and security leakages. It's important to underscore just how precarious the DoW's case is, both on the legal merits, and as a potential precedent for the US AI industry. If employing foreign nationals is treated as a prima facie supply chain risk, *no* major US AI company would be eligible to contract with the DoW, along with most of the tech sector. Insider threats are a genuine and tricky concern. Many defense companies are ITAR restricted, meaning they can *only* hire US citizens. If that were the standard in AI, we would destroy all our frontier companies in an instant, and then scatter that talent around the world for our adversaries to scoop up. So in short, the DoW's argument is both ridiculous and playing with fire.

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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
This was a great translation but Jattin seriously, seriously underrates “deciding not to be a jackass”. ‘They hate me because of my poems and my love’ - well also, dude, they hate you because you’re *mean*!
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@akidderz *nodnodnod*. Very much appreciate your willingness to walk me through the context!
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akidderz
akidderz@akidderz·
This is awkward. I’m not defending the war nor this particular deployment, nor the planning involved (or lack thereof). All I was trying to say is that the particular argument about decommissioned avenger class minesweepers isn’t a good one. They were decommissioned because they were replaced with something better. The current tools will be sufficient and when deployed to do this task, will likely lead to better outcomes than if we had used the old avenger class ships.
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
Already waiting for Maverick Candidate Vance ‘28 to build entire platform around Iran Was A Quagmire
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@ThomasHochman “Cool yeah, uh, I’ll be over here, like, hollering at woman, but um, rest assured I’m monitoring the situation.”
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Thomas Hochman
Thomas Hochman@ThomasHochman·
Yeah ok shut it all down
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@JerusalemDemsas @TheArgumentMag @MattBruenig In general I would love if we could pre-empt the carnival of wheel-reinvention in favor of “broadly leverage the tax base and also leverage sovereign wealth vehicles to capture market upsides predicated on the productive value of the commons.”
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Jerusalem
Jerusalem@JerusalemDemsas·
New >> @MattBruenig wrote about AI, unemployment, and the poverty of American policymaking. People talk as if AI-driven labor displacement requires some totally novel solution, but... it doesn't. We already have a playbook for economies that generate insecurity for workers and windfalls for capital. Read more at @TheArgumentMag: theargumentmag.com/p/ai-could-des…
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@kaitlancollins Amazing instance of the Unintentional Confession genre wherein we admit to wanting to cause WWIII?
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Kaitlan Collins
Kaitlan Collins@kaitlancollins·
Asked why he didn't coordinate with allies before going to war with Iran, Trump says, "We didn't tell anyone about it. Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbor, OK?"
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@AndyMasley How much of this was manual BTW vs ~vibe-coded? Trying to place in the context of my Frontier AI Deployment Fund thesis.
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@mattyglesias It's kinda like how I'm often unironically energized by imagining what can be, unburdened by what has been.
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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@hamandcheese It's because we've eliminated "100%" of their military capability, which is of course quite different from eliminating 100% of their military capability.
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Samuel Hammond 🦉
Samuel Hammond 🦉@hamandcheese·
Very naive question, but where is Iran launching these missiles from, and why haven't they been taken out if the US supposedly has air superiority?
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Max Bodach
Max Bodach@maxb____·
This is a cool new project w/@JoinFAI & @ShopFloorNAM that gets at the on-the-ground reality for U.S. manufacturing. TLDR: our permitting regime imposes massive costs for no good reason, streamlining it will be good for workers, good for business, and good for America.
Thomas Hochman@ThomasHochman

Today, @joinFAI and @ShopFloorNAM have a new joint report outlining the permitting barriers to manufacturing in America. We sent a survey out to NAMs 14,000 member companies. The result is a trove of new data and detail on the national permitting picture. 🧵 on findings:

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Zac Hill
Zac Hill@zdch·
@meghanncuniff I am headed to Memphis to judge American Mock Trial Association regionals, and I gotta say I'm starting to have an idea for next year's case...
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Meghann Cuniff
Meghann Cuniff@meghanncuniff·
A retired deputy suing Afroman for defamation testified he doesn’t know why the rapper nicknamed him “Officer Pound Cake,” so Afroman’s lawyer played the “Lemon Pound Cake” video. “You would admit that’s you with the glasses walking by the lemon pound cake on the counter?”
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Fred
Fred@Grand_handsomer·
This is 10x more impressive than Babe Ruth calling his shot in a baseball game
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