
zekun
371 posts

zekun
@zekun023
大厂程序员。1011币安系统故障导致山寨史上最离谱清算受害者,低倍合约爆仓,多空仓位都持有,下跌过程刚开始就有空单被ADL,5:20山寨集体插针全仓被强平。




No complexity. No accident. 10/10 was caused by irresponsible marketing campaigns by certain companies. On October 10, tens of billions of dollars were liquidated. As CEO of OKX, we observed clearly that the crypto market’s microstructure fundamentally changed after that day. Many industry participants believe the damage was more severe than the FTX collapse. Since then, there has been extensive discussion about why it happened and how to prevent a recurrence. The root causes are not difficult to identify. ⸻ What actually happened 1.Binance launched a temporary user-acquisition campaign offering 12% APY on USDe, while allowing USDe to be used as collateral with the same treatment as USDT and USDC, and without effective limits. 2.USDe is a tokenized hedge fund product. Ethena raises capital via a so-called “stablecoin,” deploys it into index arbitrage and algorithmic trading strategies, and tokenizes the resulting fund. The token can then be deposited on exchanges to earn yield. 3.USDe is fundamentally different from products such as BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI, which are tokenized money market funds with low-risk profiles. USDe, by contrast, embeds hedge-fund-level risk. This difference is structural, not cosmetic. 4.Binance users were encouraged to convert USDT and USDC into USDe to earn attractive yields, without sufficient emphasis on the underlying risks. From a user’s perspective, trading with USDe appeared no different from trading with traditional stablecoins—while the actual risk profile was materially higher. 5.Risk escalated further as users: •converted USDT/USDC into USDe, •used USDe as collateral to borrow USDT, •converted the borrowed USDT back into USDe, •and repeated the cycle. This leverage loop produced artificial APYs of 24%, 36%, and even 70%+, widely perceived as “low risk” simply because they were offered by a major platform. Systemic risk accumulated rapidly across the global crypto market. 6.At that point, even a small market shock was sufficient to trigger a collapse. When volatility hit, USDe depegged quickly. Cascading liquidations followed, and weaknesses in risk management around assets such as WETH and BNSOL further amplified the crash. Some tokens briefly traded near zero. The damage to global users and companies—including OKX customers—was severe, and recovery will take time. ⸻ Why this matters I am discussing the root cause, not assigning blame or launching an attack on Binance. Speaking openly about systemic risks is sometimes uncomfortable, but it is necessary if the industry is to mature responsibly. I expect there may be significant misinformation and coordinated FUD directed at OKX in the near future. Even so, speaking honestly about systemic risk is the right thing to do—and we will continue to do so. As the largest global platform, Binance has outsized influence—and corresponding responsibility—as an industry leader. Long-term trust in crypto cannot be built on short-term yield games, excessive leverage, or marketing practices that obscure risk. The industry needs leaders who prioritize market stability, transparency, and responsible innovation—not a winner-take-all mentality where criticism is treated as hostility. Crypto is still early. What we choose to normalize today will determine whether this industry earns lasting trust—or repeats the same mistakes again.


Cathie Wood:比特币 280 亿美元的去杠杆损失惨重 2026 年 1 月 26 日,ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood 在 Fox Business 节目中指出,比特币近期的高位回落是受 10 月 10 日币安(Binance)软件故障引发的 280 亿美元去杠杆事件影响。她分析称目前的市场抛压已基本结束,随着机构投资者关注“四年周期”的转折,预计比特币将在 8 万至 9 万美元区间横盘筑底后,结束下行趋势并重拾升势。 来源:Fox Business






休息了两天回来看满眼都是骂CZ和币安的声音,尤其是英文区,觉得CZ应该回去蹲监狱,币安应该倒掉。 其实能理解,谁跌了总得找个出气的地方。 黄金白银美股A股,哪哪都涨就Crypto不涨,谁心里不憋气?我也一肚子火。 所有人都在震荡中被折磨,越是没有大波动市场就越需要找各种原因为什么不涨。 问题在于真的把币安斗倒了,CZ干趴下,Crypto就起飞了?BTC就去50万了? 其实骂CZ的人都知道不可能,但现在只是大家在熊市里被压的太久,喘不过气,情绪和怒火需要一个出口罢了。 而币安作为当前市场上最能赚钱,个头最大的CEX,CZ作为最高调的加密符号之一且是华人,干他的确合适,还政治正确。 虽然币安的确有值得改进的地方,比如很多朋友提的别光学腾讯那种后发制人Copycat,多支持点币圈创新(我同意),但如果币安倒了对中国用户真的就是好事? CEX赛道是目前为数不多华人还有话语权的地方, @cz_binance 也是为数不多在世界范围内具备一定影响力的华人领袖(你看看还有几个华人发推有大量老外回应的)。 如果这些都没了恐怕即便未来加密货币能如木头姐所言成为世界科技基石之一,我们也只能作为人傻钱多的用户跟着美国走了。 A16Z振聋发聩的宣言还在耳边,要确保美国在Crypto上击败中国,这波趁木头姐提1011英文区就开始集火,甚至连CZ 说“Buy and Hold”的推文都能被略显雷同的FUD内容淹没,要说不联想到点阴谋论都说不过去。 没有人是完美的,企业也一样。与其单纯发泄怒火,还不如好好想想提出一些切实可行的建议,我看易理华,老吴等不少人都有提建议。 只要是理性的,我相信cz能看到和考虑。 最后说到底还是得等牛市来,来了啥都好说了,熬吧。

Binance was probably behind that massive October dump This is my view and opinion based on onchain data, exchange notices, and timing: On Oct 6, Binance publicly said it would change how it prices BNSOL and wBETH on Oct 14. That created a 4-day window (Oct 10–14) where thin books could be smashed to nuke collateral across futures, margin, and loans. The punch landed in a tight 40-minute window, ~21:36–22:16 UTC on Oct 10: USDe on Binance printed as low as $0.6567 while other venues stayed around $0.90–0.95. wBETH collapsed to ~$430 (≈-88% vs ETH parity) only on Binance. BNSOL flushed to ~$34.9 (≈-82%). Binance later paid ~$283M to users and rushed the oracle fix early (moved from Oct 14 to Oct 11). In the 24–48h before the event, >$10B moved: Big USDT/USDC inflows into exchange hot wallets around 05:30–06:30 UTC on Oct 10. USDe flows tied to Binance labels: 0xdfd529 (Binance 7), 0x28c6c0 (Binance 14), 0x21a31e (Binance 8). Coinbase didn’t list the weak links (USDe / wBETH / BNSOL) but did two things: Moved 1,066 BTC from cold to hot minutes before the cascade ($130M at pre crash prices). During the drop, large flow that couldn’t fill on Coinbase appears to have been routed out via market makers (Prime-style diversion). Coinbase’s cbETH peg held; Binance’s wBETH collapsed. Who provided liquidity? The two biggest MMs (Wintermute, Jump) were basically absent in the three nuked assets during that window. No meaningful USDe / wBETH / BNSOL footprints from their known entities. Pull bids in those books while Binance marks collateral off those books, and the liquidation engine eats itself. A new account there scaled to ~$1.1B notional BTC/ETH shorts in the last two hours before the nuke, with one ETH add ~1 minute before the tariff post; PnL ~$160–200M. Shorting wallets tied to the pattern I tracked: BTC side: 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae ETH side: 0x2ea18c23f72a4b6172c55b411823cdc5335923f4 • Hyperliquid short wallets: 0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae 0x2ea18c23f72a4b6172c55b411823cdc5335923f4 We still seeing the problem even today, maybe the rumors and Fud around Binance are not that crazy















