Luca Biancofiore

252 posts

Luca Biancofiore

Luca Biancofiore

@zero_luca

Assoc. Prof. @univaq Ex-@MSCActions and @imperialcollege Fellow. Researcher in the beautiful topic of Fluid Mechanics.

L'Aquila Katılım Temmuz 2015
122 Takip Edilen121 Takipçiler
Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@gothburz actually I didn't check the reply before posting. Anyway it was one of the first link appearing on Google after writing his name + jet propulsion
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Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
@zero_luca He died in 2015. The account was created in 2023. I spent 40 minutes on the name match and never checked the obituary. You just found it in the replies. That's the whole essay in one link.
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Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I was one of 300,000 people who solved the WHCA shooting in 40 minutes. None of us were right. But we were fast, and that night, fast felt like the same thing. I need to tell you about a tweet. Not because it matters. Because I thought it did. Because for 3 hours on the night of April 25, 2026, I was certain it was the most important thing on the internet, and I need to tell you what that certainty felt like before I explain why I was wrong. December 21, 2023. An account called Henry Martinez. @HenryMa79561893. Pepe the Frog avatar. Glitched rainbow banner, the kind of pixel corruption art that looks generated, or found, or planted. Zero following. No bio. No replies. No likes. No history. Created that month and immediately abandoned. 1 post. 2 words. No context. No hashtag. No thread. Cole Allen. Just a name dropped into the algorithm like a coin into a well. Then silence. 2.5 years of silence. I found it at 11:47 PM. I know the exact time because I screenshotted the screenshot. 21 million views by then. 27,000 likes. 12,000 bookmarks. 2,000 replies and climbing. The account had 2,100 followers it never asked for. The only people who follow it found it after the shooting. One post. 0 engagement for 868 days. Then a man with that name charges a Secret Service checkpoint with a shotgun, and the dead account becomes the most analyzed two words on the internet. I screenshotted it. I saved it to a folder. I sent it to my group chat with no caption, just the image, because no caption was needed. Everyone already had it. Everyone was already doing what I was doing. Research. That's what I called it. Here is what I built in 40 minutes. Cole Tomas Allen. 31. Torrance, California. CalTech, class of 2017. Mechanical engineering. Cal State Dominguez Hills, master's in computer science, 2025. NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory summer fellow, 2014. C2 Education tutor. Teacher of the month, 2024. I typed faster than I've ever typed at work. Indie game developer. Published a game on Steam called Bohrdom. Non-violent. Skill-based. Inspired by chemistry models. Self-propelled pinballs, bullet hell without the bullets. He trademarked the name. He was working on another game: a top-down shooter set in outer space. A person who designed fictional violence for a living and removed the violence. I didn't stop to think about that. I was looking for the next connection. CalTech Nerf Club. Christian Fellowship. Registered to vote with no party preference. 1 political donation on record: $25 to Kamala Harris via ActBlue. October 2024. $25. The price of lunch. And then I found it. The JPL 2014 summer fellowship program lists a co-author on a published research paper: Henry Martinez. Cole Allen was a 2014 JPL Summer Undergraduate Research Fellow. Both names. Same program. Same year. I had 3 tabs open. I was cross-referencing a dormant Pepe account with a 10-year-old academic paper. I told my group chat I'd found something. I hadn't found anything. I'd followed the same trail 300,000 other people were following at the same speed, and the speed felt like intelligence. 40 minutes. That's how long it took. Before the Secret Service finished their incident report. Before the Acting AG drafted a statement. Before a single journalist filed a story. 300,000 people had already built the board, pinned the photos, drawn the string. I was one of them. I was fast. I was thorough. I was wrong about what those words meant. Then somebody ran the Pepe avatar through a face comparison. The frog holding a glass of whiskey in a bow tie. Next to a photo from inside the ballroom. A man at Trump's table holding a glass. Same angle. Same tilt. Arrows drawn between them. "LOOK AT THE GLASS. LOOK AT THE TIE." Shared 40,000 times before anyone asked what it proved. I shared it. I didn't ask either. Then somebody found the banner image on the Henry Martinez account. Glitched pixel art. Rainbow static. And somebody else found an EU research project from May 2022, "Study on Quality in 3D Digitisation of Tangible Cultural Heritage," that used the exact same visual aesthetic in its branding. "TIME MACHINE" was the project name. Time Machine. A tweet from 2023. A project called Time Machine. A man from the future. I could feel the board filling in. Every piece clicking against the next like magnets. My brain building the room before I'd checked whether the foundation was real. That feeling, the one where the pattern assembles itself faster than your skepticism can keep up? That's not research. That's gravity. And I was falling. Here is what the people with followers did while the rest of us were building their evidence for free. Karoline Leavitt, hours before the dinner, in a recorded interview: "There will be some shots fired tonight." She was talking about jokes. She says. The clip was timestamped, captioned, and circulating to 6 million people within 90 seconds of the first gunshot. 90 seconds. That's not reaction time. That's preparation. Fox News, mid-broadcast. Their White House correspondent's phone cuts out after her husband tells her "you need to be very safe." She later explains that the Washington Hilton has notoriously bad cell service. The internet doesn't believe in bad cell service. Not when it has a better story. I didn't believe in bad cell service either. Not that night. Then the word. Both sides. Simultaneously. The fastest bipartisan agreement in American history: STAGED. The left said staged to distract from the Iran war and the cratering approval ratings. The right said staged because a Harris donor did it. Both sides said it within the same minute. Both were certain. Neither had evidence. Neither needed any. I recognized this. I'd seen it before. Butler, Pennsylvania. The same pattern. The same speed. The same certainty arriving before the facts. I recognized it and I kept scrolling. Alex Jones called it staged at 9:14 PM. By 11:30 PM he said it wasn't. By midnight he was "investigating." By morning he was selling supplements about it. 3 positions in 6 hours. Every one of them monetized. I know his timestamps because I was tracking them. I called that research too. Marjorie Taylor Greene posted "many questions about Cole Allen" at 12:47 AM like she was peer-reviewing a doctoral thesis she'd never read. I liked the tweet. Then I unliked it. Then I screenshotted it. Brooklyn Dad, 1.3 million followers, asked "Staged or not staged?" like he was running a poll on pizza toppings. 800,000 impressions on that question. He didn't investigate anything. He didn't have to. He just asked the question and let 300,000 people do his research for free. People like me. That's content creation. That's what we call it now. A question with no intention of finding the answer. A prompt designed to generate engagement, not information. Brooklyn Dad didn't need to know if it was staged. He needed you to reply. Jack Posobiec. Libs of TikTok. Tom Fitton. All posted within minutes of each other. Not about the shooting. Not about the agent who took a round to the chest. Not about the 1,000 people who crawled under banquet tables in formal wear. About building a new White House ballroom. The president referenced the ballroom in his press conference that night. He posted about it on Truth Social the next morning. They don't need the conspiracy to be true. They need it to be first. They need the narrative shaped before you've finished processing the sound of the gunshot. By the time you look up from under the table, the story is already written, the merch is already printing, and the thread is already pinned. That is the machine. It doesn't run on truth. It runs on speed. And the people who operate it have more followers than the Secret Service has agents. I fed it for 3 hours. I called it staying informed. I need to tell you about a train. Los Angeles to Washington, D.C. 3,000 miles. Roughly 50 hours, if you take the southern route through Texas and up the coast. Maybe longer. Cole Tomas Allen boarded that train with a shotgun, a handgun, and multiple knives. He sat in a seat. Or a sleeper car. We don't know yet. And he watched the country pass outside the window for 2 days. The Mojave. The Rio Grande. The Appalachian foothills. The Potomac. What does a person think about for 50 hours when they have decided to charge a federal checkpoint? Does he sleep? Does he eat in the dining car? Does he look at his phone? Does he read the news about the dinner he's traveling toward? Does he think about the game he published, the one where he deliberately removed the guns? Does he think about his students? Does he think about the fellowship, the summer at JPL, the paper with the name that would end up on a dead Pepe account 2.5 years before he ended up on the ground in a hotel lobby? I don't know. Nobody knows. Nobody is asking. I wasn't asking. I was looking at a Pepe avatar through a face-matching overlay at 2 AM and calling it evidence. 40 minutes to build the board. 3 hours to fill it. 0 seconds on the train ride. The internet found the tweet in 40 minutes. The NASA paper in 45. The ActBlue receipt in 3. The Fox News clip in 90 seconds. The face-match Pepe theory in 20. The Time Machine banner connection in 30. Nobody found the train ride. Because the train ride doesn't have engagement value. It doesn't confirm anything. It doesn't fit a board. It doesn't go viral. It doesn't have a ratio. It's just a man, a window, and a decision that nobody can explain by cross-referencing a tweet with a 10-year-old PDF. Not me. Not the researchers. Not the influencers. Not the politicians. Not the algorithm. The tweet has 21 million views. The train ride has none. And the Secret Service agent who caught a shotgun round in his vest went home to his family that night. He is not trending. He is not a thread. He has no Pepe avatar. No one is drawing arrows to his face. He is alive because Kevlar works, and that is the least interesting thing that happened on April 25, 2026, according to every platform that covered it. According to me. I covered it too. I just didn't know that's what I was doing. I deleted the board. I kept the screenshot. I don't know what the tweet means. But I know what it doesn't mean. It doesn't mean what the people with the biggest megaphones need it to mean. It doesn't mean what the algorithms want to amplify. It doesn't mean what I decided it meant at 11:47 PM, when I was still falling, still reaching for the pattern because the pattern felt safer than the silence. The glass in the Pepe's hand is not the glass on the table. The banner is just pixel art. The tweet is still there. Sometimes a name is just a name. And sometimes a man gets on a train, and the only conspiracy is that we'll never understand why, and we'll build 1,000 theories to avoid sitting with that. 40 minutes to build the board. 50 hours on that train. I spent my time on the wrong one. I know because I'm still thinking about it. Not the train. The board. That's the part I can't stop replaying. Not the silence. The speed. That's the conspiracy. Not the tweet. Not the Pepe. Not the Time Machine. The conspiracy is that speed felt like intelligence. And I fell for it. And I'll fall for it again.
Peter Girnus 🦅 tweet mediaPeter Girnus 🦅 tweet mediaPeter Girnus 🦅 tweet mediaPeter Girnus 🦅 tweet media
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@rtl1025 possono sempre fare una chat nuova "Consiglio dei ministri - I superstiti" senza la Santanché
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RTL 102.5
RTL 102.5@rtl1025·
📌 La chat WhatsApp del “Consiglio dei ministri”, usata dai membri del governo Meloni per comunicazioni operative, è ferma da oltre 48 ore. Il blocco, secondo quanto riportato, è legato alla permanenza nel gruppo dell’ex ministra del Turismo Daniela Santanché, che dopo le dimissioni non è ancora uscita. La situazione, pur essendo un dettaglio tecnico, riflette le tensioni interne all’esecutivo: alcuni ministri evitano di scrivere per timore che informazioni sensibili possano essere lette da chi non fa più parte del governo. Il tema non è stato affrontato ufficialmente durante il Consiglio dei ministri, ma è emerso nelle conversazioni informali. Diversamente da precedenti casi, come quello di Gennaro Sangiuliano che lasciò subito la chat dopo l’uscita dall’incarico, questa volta si registra una fase di stallo: nessuna uscita volontaria né rimozione. Il risultato è una comunicazione paralizzata, in attesa di una decisione che chiarisca la situazione. 📸 ANSA/MOURAD BALTI TOUATI
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Lord Cutler Beckett
Lord Cutler Beckett@BacciFrance·
A breve i miliziani curdi iraniani inizieranno ad attaccare le forze governative iraniane nelle aree dell'Iran a maggioranza curda. Supportati dall'aviazione israelo-statunitense.
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Marco Travaglio
Marco Travaglio@marcotravaglio·
Cari amici, vi do una notizia con la morte nel cuore: dopo quelle con Matteo Renzi, ho vinto nel secondo Appello anche la causa con suo padre Tiziano. Il quale dovrà restituirmi i 50mila euro (più interessi e spese legali, per un totale di circa 100mila euro) che ero stato costretto a versargli da due incredibili sentenze di primo e di secondo grado per una legittima critica politica a “Otto e mezzo”. Lì, nel 2017, avevo risposto così a una domanda di Lilli Gruber sull'inchiesta Consip che vedeva indagato il babbo dell'ex premier: “Se il padre del capo del governo si mette in affari o si interessa di affari che riguardano aziende controllate dal governo, magari a beneficio di imprenditori che finanziano o hanno finanziato il capo del governo, questo non so se sia un reato, ma è un gigantesco conflitto d’interessi”. Renzi senior, credendo che parlassi di lui e non di suo figlio, mi aveva denunciato per danni. Ma io non lo sapevo, perché la notifica non mi era mai arrivata (al posto della mia firma c'era uno scarabocchio fatto da chissà chi). Così nel 2018 ero stato processato in contumacia, senza potermi difendere, da un giudice civile di Firenze. Il quale avrebbe potuto e dovuto verificare da solo la veridicità di ciò che avevo detto (era un fatto notorio) e assolvermi per aver esercitato il diritto di cronaca e di critica. Invece non lo fece e mi condannò a pagare 50 mila euro, più le spese processuali. Lo scoprii da un articolo del Foglio e da un post di Matteo Renzi su Facebook: “Sono ovviamente contento per mio padre... Bisogna sopportare le ingiustizie, le falsità, le diffamazioni. Perché la verità prima o poi arriva. Il tempo è galantuomo. Ci sono dei giudici in Italia, bisogna solo saper aspettare. E verrà presto il tempo in cui la serietà tornerà di moda. Ci hanno rovesciato un mare di fango addosso. Nessun risarcimento ci ridarà ciò che abbiamo sofferto ma la verità è più forte delle menzogne. Adesso sono solo curioso di vedere come i tg daranno la notizia”. Poi mi diede del “diffamatore seriale” e del “vitalizio per me e la mia famiglia”, annunciando che coi miei soldi avrebbe pagato le rate del mutuo della sua nuova villa da oltre un milione di euro chiamandola “Villa Travaglio”, nonché la sua festa alla Leopolda per i 50 anni. Il mio avvocato Caterina Malavenda fece appello, per poterci difendere almeno lì. Ma anche la Corte d'Appello mi diede torto, perché avrei dovuto “invocare l’esimente del diritto di cronaca o critica e, conseguentemente, fornire la prova della veridicità del fatto narrato” in primo grado (dov'ero ignaro contumace). Per fortuna la Cassazione annullò quel doppio obbrobrio, bacchettando i giudici di primo e secondo grado: spettava a loro verificare se le mie parole “integrassero il legittimo esercizio del diritto o di cronaca”, “rilevabile d’ufficio a prescindere dalla specifica e tempestiva allegazione della parte e anche in Appello”. E rinviò il processo a un nuovo appello, che si è concluso l'altroieri con il rigetto totale delle pretese di Tiziano Renzi e la sua condanna a restituirmi ciò che gli ho versato (76.295 euro fra risarcimento e spese legali), più gli interessi e le spese legali della Cassazione e del secondo appello. In tutto, un conticino di circa 100 mila euro. Motivo: “Appare palese come l'obiettivo della critica – e che di critica si tratti è indiscutibile – fosse Matteo Renzi e non il padre (come peraltro incidentalmente rilevato anche dal Tribunale),... Certamente dunque il giornalista ben poteva esprimere la sua opinione, avente ad oggetto un personaggio pubblico (addirittura ex Presidente del Consiglio)... Egli, pur premettendo che non sapeva se il contegno dell'odierno attore (Tiziano Renzi, ndr) fosse o no penalmente illecito, criticava Matteo Renzi perché chi riveste certe posizioni cruciali nella vita politica del Paese deve prestare attenzione a che i contegni anche dei suoi familiari siano trasparenti e tali da escludere ogni conflitto d'interesse... E osserva che l'interessamento della magistratura a vicende connesse a Matteo Renzi non è dovuto a un'invasione di campo, ma a un'eccessiva disinvoltura da parte di questi e dei suoi familiari nella gestione degli affari”. Così “la libertà di manifestazione del pensiero diventa strumentale anche al controllo sul potere politico da parte dei cittadini e assume la funzione di contribuire in modo determinante alla formazione della pubblica opinione, in modo che ciascuno possa liberamente orientare le proprie scelte”. Conclusione: “Devono pertanto ritenersi sussistenti tutti i presupposti per l'applicabilità della... esimente del diritto di critica o di cronaca...: a) l'interesse sociale...; b) la verità del nucleo del fatto storico sottostante il giudizio...; c) la continenza, essendo i toni utilizzati misurati e proporzionati al contesto, scevri da ogni connotazione gratuitamente offensiva e umiliante, o volta ad attaccare l'uomo anziché il suo contegno. Dunque, conclusivamente, la domanda risarcitoria di Tiziano Renzi dev'essere respinta”. Non ho altro da aggiungere, se non che il danno l'ho subìto io da una lite temeraria durata ben otto anni; e che questa sentenza, firmata dalle giudici Carla Santese, Giulia Conte e Ada Raffaelli Mazzarelli, è una boccata di ossigeno per tutti i giornalisti e i cittadini che credono nella Giustizia. Il resto lo lascio a una fonte ben più autorevole di me, con qualche ritocco (soprattutto sulla punteggiatura): “Bisogna sopportare le ingiustizie, le falsità, le diffamazioni, perché la verità prima o poi arriva. Il tempo è galantuomo. Ci sono dei giudici in Italia: bisogna solo saper aspettare. E verrà presto il tempo in cui la serietà tornerà di moda. Mi hanno rovesciato un mare di fango addosso. Nessun risarcimento mi ridarà ciò che ho sofferto, ma la verità è più forte delle menzogne. Adesso sono solo curioso di vedere come i tg daranno la notizia”.
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@StF195984 @petro_francesco Un conto è essere pro-Turchia (e Clash Report lo è chiaramente), un altro è inventarsi notizie di sana pianta — cosa che accadrebbe se non fosse stata verificata l’origine del video. Poi, ovviamente, la si pubblica solo perché va pro domo eo.
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Confuso
Confuso@StF195984·
@petro_francesco Non sono riuscito a verificare se il video arriva da Gaza .
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@Majakovsk73 @boschel69 Le regioni curde in Turchia sono tra le più religiose del paese. Dire che i curdi come popolo è laico è perlomeno controverso
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Majakovsk
Majakovsk@Majakovsk73·
#Siria #DeirHafir Si avvicina la battaglia tra governo ed SDF a Deir Hafir. Esercito siriano ha dichiarato aree di Deir Hafir il distretto di Maskana e le città di Babiri e Qawas, zona militare (area evidenziata), chiedendo ai curdi ritiro oltre l'eufrate. Curdi dal canto loro hanno iniziato far saltare i ponti sul canale che circonda la zona.
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Majakovsk
Majakovsk@Majakovsk73·
1\#Ucraina Fronte di Dniepr: Russi pareggiano fronte nella zona di Vesele e Zelene Haj
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@raffaelecaru Però abbiamo avuto un calendario molto facile. 12 punti era quello che ci si aspettava. Adesso si vedrà di che pasta siamo fatti in Champions league.
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Raffaele Caruso
Raffaele Caruso@raffaelecaru·
La cosa che non sopporto di oggi è far entrare Calhanoglu e Akanji dalla panchina. Dovevano entrare Luis Henrique, Diouf e un giovanotto dell'Under 23 per dire. Ma un passaggio a vuoto, in una stagione logorante, ci sta. L'Inter è prima in Champions a punteggio pieno. E a -1 dalla vetta del campionato. Ci davano per spacciati e ridimensionati dopo l'addio di Inzaghi. Poteva andare peggio. Il Napoli è 24esimo in CL e la Juve è fuori dalla zona playoff per dire. #FCIM
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@clement_molin Si je ne me trompe pas, la dernière proposition évoquée par Poutine serait de prendre l’ensemble du Donbass et de maintenir la ligne de front ailleurs. Dans ce cas, une fin de guerre par la diplomatie pourrait être envisageable, sans laisser les Russes franchir le Dnipro.
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Clément Molin
Clément Molin@clement_molin·
L'Ukraine 🇺🇦 va perdre #Pokrovsk, plus grande ville prise en 2 ans et demi par la Russie 🇷🇺 La situation de l'armée ukrainienne se dégrade de jours en jours, en passe de perdre deux nœuds logistiques stratégique, Pokrovsk et Koupiansk. Depuis le début de l'année, l'armée russe a avancé 40km vers Zaporizhia depuis l'ouest de l'oblast de Donetsk et ne se trouve plus qu'à 75km de la ville. Dans le Donbass, parmi les 7 villes importantes encore sous contrôle ukrainien (sur 30 villes de plus de 20k habitants, dont 8 capturées entre 2022 et 2025), 3 sont en danger direct et deux devraient être abandonnées dans les prochains jours. L'infanterie russe a poussé au cœur de Pokrovsk, atteignant même le nord-ouest de la ville. De facto, la ville et sa soeur jumelle, Myrnohrad sont quasi encerclés. Pourtant, des positions ukrainiennes subsistent encore 12km au sud de la seule route de sortie de Myrnohrad. La situation est dès lors catastrophique pour les derniers défenseurs ukrainiens, d'autant plus que la présence de petits groupes de soldats russe s'étend jours après jours au cœur de Pokrovsk. Indubitablement, la prise du conglomérat urbain de Pokrovsk marquera la grande victoire russe de l'année 2025. Au même titre que la prise de Bakhmout en 2023 et le nettoyage de la banlieue occidentale de Donetsk en 2024. Ce qui est certains, c'est que cette fois, l'armée ukrainienne a préparé la suite, trois lignes de défenses et deux en construction sur la route menant à Pavlohrad, la seule grande agglomération plus à l'ouest, à 90km, menant ensuite au Dniepr et à Dnipro, 50km plus loin. Juste au nord, on retrouve aussi à 20km la ville de Dobropilla, qui jouera aussi un rôle crucial de porte d'entrée vers la campagne (qui mène à Lozova, au sud de l'oblast de Kharkiv à 70km et Pavlohrad, au nord de l'oblast de Dnipropetrovsk à 80km de là, les deux seules villes de la région). Avant d'envisager ces objectifs lointains, tout comme Zaporizhia, l'armée russe compte bien se concentrer sur les 4 dernières grandes villes du Donbass, dans la vallée s'étendant entre Kostiantynivka et Sloviansk, comptant également Droujkivka et Kramatorsk. L'armée ukrainienne compte bien y mener une importante opération de défense, qui a déjà commencé avec le début de l'infiltration russe dans Kostiantynivka. Le point positif, les 4 villes ne sont pas isolées comme Pokrovsk. A l'est, Tchasiv Yar et Siversk qui tiennent toujours offrent une impécable défense face à l'axe logique d'attaque. Au nord, Lyman puis la rivière Siverski Donets offrent également une ligne de défense naturelle assez efficace. Le risque vient donc du sud. La chute de Pokrovsk précipitera l'offensive russe vers le nord. L'arrêt de la percée de Dobropilla a permis à l'armée ukrainienne de terminer la construction de 3 lignes de défenses à l'ouest de Kramatorsk, ainsi que 2 lignes est-ouest pour éviter toute progression derrière les 4 villes. Inévitablement, l'armée russe va tenter d'isoler le conglomérat urbain. La tâche est colossale, certes, il faudra éventuellement prendre Izioum, Barvinkove et Dobropilla pour encercler la région. Eventuellement, une infiltration rapide d'infanterie russe pourrait mettre fin rapidement à la campagne du Donbass. L'armée ukrainienne n'est plus en capacité de tenir parce qu'elle n'a plus d'infanterie. Elle ne parvient pas à mobiliser les hommes et beaucoup s'enfuient. Ce manque d'infanterie a pour résultat l'impossibilité de tenir les villes. La solution éventuelle est de fortifier un maximum en dehors des villes, ce qui nécessitera moins de soldats pour tenir un secteur, mais c'est une stratégie dont la réussite n'est pas vraiment garantie. On le voit à Koupiansk, l'armée russe infiltre facilement les zones urbaines, mais aussi les campagnes, comme à Pokrovsk'e, ou elle pousse depuis des semaines. La seule solution pour l'Ukraine ? Arrêter la guerre. Poutine ne veut pas, à moins d'accepter des conditions absolument inacceptable (laisser les russes traverser le Dniepr par exemple). La solution de secours ? Détruire l'économie russe, basée sur la rente. Quand le prix de la guerre deviendra trop cher pour Poutine, il arrêtera. Pour cela, il faut plus de missiles, plus de drones, pour frapper les usines, raffineries, ports, oléoducs ou gazoducs...
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@pati_marins64 Aside from Pokrovsk which are the remaining Ukrainian strongholds? Thanks a lot for all your analyses.
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Patricia Marins
Patricia Marins@pati_marins64·
The Russians will continue advancing at the same pace, but an agreement would be preferable. Perhaps no one has followed the Russian arms industry as closely as I have in recent years, and those who follow me know I have made very few mistakes on this subject. I estimate that Russia can maintain its current level of effort for about three more years, both financially and in terms of military equipment reserves. They will also continue increasing missile, FAB, and drone production. However, a large part of the investment in the Russian industry cannot accelerate their progress against Ukrainian fortifications. Historically advances over fortifications take time and resources. Pokrovsk is falling, but there are still other strongholds ahead. The Russians will not take less than 12-18 months to capture all the fortresses, although I am confident that with the continuation of the war, they will succeed. This timeline will certainly double if Ukraine lowers its recruitment age. After capturing these, the Russian advance would be much faster — and that is the point Ukraine must avoid. Although the Russians demonstrate superiority in equipment and manpower, this has little impact on the difficulties offered by Ukrainian defensive positions. Ukraine has mediocre offensive capabilities, but in defensive positions, they seem like an entirely different army. Russia currently occupies 20% of Ukraine, which is quite significant, especially because they have been able to connect their territory to Crimea. This undermines NATO's position and the rhetoric Russia wants to promote. On the other hand, NATO will argue that it prevented Russia from taking all of Ukraine. I find this a reasonable perspective for both sides.
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Ines 🦋
Ines 🦋@1inessy·
Guess the Legend Level: HARD
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khalifa
khalifa@_0Nestor·
4. Real Madrid
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khalifa
khalifa@_0Nestor·
Top 4 players From Every Football club If they had a Mount Rushmore A thread 🧵👇 1. Chelsea FC
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Luca Biancofiore
Luca Biancofiore@zero_luca·
@egea_blog Ça peut-être liée au déplacement des brigades pour contenir la percée russe à nord de pokrovsk?
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