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Zina

@zinak

Inhabiting virtual worlds since λ🐮 ⚖️Boards 🔬Tech + Commercialisation 🦋 Art+Science 📃 🪴Philanthropy💧Bias +Innovation🍸 Waters rising so keep dancing 👨‍🎤

Australia Katılım Mayıs 2008
1.1K Takip Edilen614 Takipçiler
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Catherine Cusack
Catherine Cusack@katieqs·
Why has the price of ethanol surged over 20 cents? (Ref: NSW Government fuel check app) It’s made in Nowra by the Honog family’s Manildra Group and already significantly subsidised by consumers under the NSW Governments Ethanol fuel mandate.
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Zina@zinak·
@jfsrev So was INDO a short trade? It goes sideways for a couple of days, and then cracks after that.
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Jeff Sun, CFTe
Jeff Sun, CFTe@jfsrev·
I got several questions about an earlier post in comments and via DMs, particularly about this statement and a simple rule I swear by, "If you're precise and efficient with your entries—ensuring entries are always below 50/60% from the LoD stop based on ATR nature of the securities volatility" The best way to illustrate this is to use a live market chart on the daily in the opening hour, as the LoD (Low of Day) value is determined by the current market price, which is constantly changing. Using an end-of-day chart wouldn’t be accurate because it will reflects the complete daily candle which defeats the purpose because decisions making are at time. ATR need to first be understood as a measures of the range of an asset's price fluctuations over a set period, including any gaps in price. For ADR, it excludes the gap in price. I prefer using ATR because price gaps is included in representing a stock price extension beyond its moving average, and historically, prices often pull back when reaching certain multiples of the ATR. I've taken screenshots and annotated two different charts of vastly different ATR% and LoD dist. The first is $INDO, where the LoD is at 10%, and the second is $CORZ, where the LoD is at 104%, already surpassing the 50% limit I use for considering it as a potential buy at time. The key word over here is at time. A few things to note, i) LoD for any stock will always begin every trading day from 0%. ii) LoD will always be at 0% if stock of interest remains trading at low of day at time. iii) LoD does not account for high of the day, if you often execute buy stop order via ORH entries, u need to be aware of how stretched the intraday range already is. This can easily be resolved in your trade journal via creating a 'distance' column using predetermined enter price - predetermined stop loss, using the difference in value to compare with ATR of stock (ensure it's less than 50%). The goal of this approach is to avoid entering trades that are already overextended within their intraday range, using a quantifiable measure of recent volatility (ATR). After all, don't we all wish for our newly placed trades to close the session with some profit cushion? If you want more breakdowns to ATR formula; tradingview.com/v/uloAa2EI/
Jeff Sun, CFTe tweet mediaJeff Sun, CFTe tweet media
Jeff Sun, CFTe@jfsrev

I love this sharing, I totally relate to this. If you're precise and efficient with your entries—ensuring entries are always below 50/60% from the LoD stop based on ATR nature of the securities volatility—then taking a 0.15% risk to your net liquidation value can easily scale up to 15-20% position size. Sometimes, I’ve gone even as high as 30% with a 0.15% risk; that happened with trades in $KOLD and $UCO earlier this year. The downside of designing trades with a tight stop loss is that you might hit your stop way more frequently than with a fixed %-based stop, especially during intraday. However, when it comes to the period that you rightly aligned your positions with the market's key turning points, you're setting yourself up for a few trades that can significantly pay off. These successful trades can quickly offset a prolonged drawdown, turning your performance positive and even making your year. You can be profitable even at 28% win rate on such circumstance because your profit factor for such traders are extremely high (as much as 4x 5x on average month, providing you scale down losses even before they hit the predetermined stop.) By the rule of the thumb, a low win rate but high profit factor strategy has way more lucrative potential to exploit further possibility and potential for equity growth because of its mathematical robustness. Try running a free Monte Carlo simulations for risk of ruin, and you will know what i mean. It's important to remember that the beauty of this represents just a <0.15% risk to your equity per opportunity. At the end of the day, you have control over your decisions, so any potential or unexpected drawdown can be kept in check if you know when to ease off when the market is already running hot. An edge in trading only comes to life when the person executing the strategy can make sound and pragmatic discretionary decisions.

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Zina
Zina@zinak·
@TheOneLanceB All these things have provenance in common. BTC will be enduring because people passionately believe in this collectable and it appeals to them. It has collective value, rarity and provenance. What’s your passion collectable @TheOneLanceB ?
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Zina
Zina@zinak·
@TheOneLanceB I get your point but I think you're discounting collectability. This collection is arguably entirely made of collective speculations: christies.com/auction/the-co… Have you tracked how much wealth is stored in bonded warehouses containing art that never sees the light of day?
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Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎@TheOneLanceB·
So what exactly is the remaining investment argument for Bitcoin, if not just greater fool speculation? It has melted during the recent period of dollar debasement fears. It has melted during periods of inflation. 15+ years later, crypto still has minimal utility outside of niche use cases and ultimately just remains a rough proxy for risk assets. (Also lol that Cathy Wood still has a $1m+ target on it.) Unlike a stock, it only works if incrementally more people believe in it… the so called “greater fool” argument given finite supply and hope of increased demand from adoption. But what really is the next saga for this stuff if prospective returns are indeed compressed and there really actually aren’t broad use cases for Bitcoin? 10 years ago you could argue that Bitcoin will one day be broadly adopted for common use. The fact that it hasn’t been over that time period IMO is signal that the use case isn’t there. (Crazy that I’ve now been trading $BTC for 15 years and the chatter of use cases is still the same yet I’ve never once used it!) As I questioned 6 months ago… what happens when the reflexive nature of Bitcoin stalls bc the prospects of 100x or even 10x returns during the up-cycles are gone.
Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎@TheOneLanceB

CURRENT VIEW ON $BTC Controversial take, but curious what people think… Given the price action in $BTC, I wonder two things: 1. Has $BTC topped shorter-term? 2. How compressed will prospective return be over the coming years? We had an absolutely beautiful setup in Bitcoin. Great consolidation. All-time highs. Tons of bullshit treasury purchases to fuel the fire. Positive regulatory news. Every trader I know (including me for the idiots that think I’m a permabear) was leveraged long to the hilt. And yet we could only get two real days of price expansion. At this point, who is the marginal buyer? Who isn’t long on a setup like that? Structurally, I’ve felt $BTC will go higher but that the massive returns are gone. As an asset reaches mass adoption, realized vol compresses as do returns. There is less price discovery to occur. It’s just basic market structure theory. Every cycle in $BTC, the returns have been about a magnitude less. And the failure of this breakout makes me think $BTC is largely approaching the era of market returns (market single-year returns/vol can be far higher than most think though). It didn’t take much imagination to see a quick move to $130k, $140k, $150k (the people who think $1m is around the corner are high on hopium IMO). Yet here we are. I always then end up wondering the second deriv… if returns compress and approach market returns, how many people would still hold bitcoin? The data doesn’t lie. Most holders of $BTC are in it solely for speculative purposes. People are looking for 1000%+ returns or even 100% returns. What happens to the average holder if we experience years of traditional market returns? What happens to the average holder if all of a sudden $ETH or some other coin starts to offer higher prospective returns? I have zero idea the future. Not a forecast. But certainly questions worth thinking about. @TheFlowHorse @skyquake_1 @TedHZhang

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Zina@zinak·
May have overdosed on The Barrel by @AldousHarding . Tested out the exquisite timber of the recording on every listening device I have available. Will probs do it all again tomorrow.
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Zina@zinak·
@ASIC_Connect calls to your 1300 number say that you're on holidays until 5th Jan. ......Does this mean late fees are also on holiday?
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Zina retweetledi
Black Hole
Black Hole@konstructivizm·
A groundbreaking discovery from NASA's OSIRIS-REx mission has just rewritten the story of life's cosmic origins.Pristine samples scooped directly from the ancient asteroid Bennu—delivered untouched to Earth in 2023—have revealed something astonishing: a treasure trove of bio-essential sugars, including ribose (the backbone of RNA, the molecule that carries genetic instructions) and glucose (the universal fuel that powers nearly every living cell on our planet).For the first time ever, these critical building blocks of life have been confidently detected in material collected straight from space, free from any Earthly contamination that plagues meteorites fallen to our world.Unlike rocks that crash-land and mingle with terrestrial microbes, Bennu's fragments were captured in the vacuum of space and sealed in a ultra-clean capsule—preserving their primordial purity. The verdict is clear: these sugars were born in the cold depths of the early solar system, billions of years ago.This finding completes the full set of major organic ingredients thought necessary for life to emerge: amino acids (previously found in other samples), nucleic acid bases, lipids—and now, the sugars that tie it all together.It powerfully bolsters the idea that asteroids like Bennu acted as cosmic delivery trucks, seeding young planets—including our own—with the raw chemistry needed for life to spark. Perhaps the very molecules that built the first RNA strands and fueled the earliest metabolism rained down from the sky during Earth's violent infancy.With every new analysis of Bennu's dark, carbon-rich grains, we edge closer to answering one of humanity's deepest questions: how did lifeless chemistry become living biology? The answer, it seems, may have been written in the stars—and carried here on silent, ancient rocks drifting through the void.
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goodalexander
goodalexander@goodalexander·
You can grayscale your phone adhere to a sleep time, exercise every day, take l theanine and still completely ruin your life because you didn’t focus on what was actually important to you and spent all your time / mental energy completing other people’s checklists
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Zina
Zina@zinak·
I solved today's Alphadots in 54 seconds and used 0 plots. Think you can do better? Play now at bloomberg.com/alphadots
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Zina
Zina@zinak·
@bennpeifert Ha. What’s really strange is watching people on pods with nothing but blank wall behind their heads. I find it v distracting. Firstly wondering if they are NPCs, secondly filling in that blank space. Large scale gritty photograph? Landscape video work? Plant wall? Portrait pair?
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Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️@bennpeifert·
This discourse about how no one in San Francisco has art is strange. Just need to work with a theme - like what being liquidated on degenerate speculative positions at VIX 90 feels like - and build around that
Benn Eifert 🥷🏴‍☠️@bennpeifert

Wow, art won. I would not have guessed. Okay. Here is one of my favorite pieces in my collection, Ossip by Emil Schumacher (1958). The subject matter is how it feels to be short uncapped variance in a market crash

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Zina@zinak·
Congratulations @GilmourSpace Technologies ! Very exciting to see Eris launch - a milestone event which collected so much valauable data. Here’s to the next launch soon 🤘🇦🇺
Gilmour Space@GilmourSpace

TestFlight1 — Liftoff 🚀 Today, Eris became the first #AustralianMade orbital rocket to launch from Australian soil — ~14s of flight, 23s engine burn. Big step for 🇦🇺 launch capability. Team safe, data in hand, eyes on TestFlight 2. (More pics and vids to come from the media.)

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Tina
Tina@moreproteinbars·
@Bonecondor Nope rope? Haven’t heard that before!
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Tina
Tina@moreproteinbars·
Hi guys 👋🏻, I almost died 😳😳😳🐍
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Zina
Zina@zinak·
Camped around Ningaloo, glimpsed the Dark Array, went swimming with whale sharks and saw bleached coral tips. Let’s work together to keep our planet healthy please. Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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Zina@zinak·
@nope_its_lily That architectural language palette is wild!
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Zina@zinak·
@mtizard Tis why we love you!
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Zina retweetledi
Josie Kins
Josie Kins@Josikinz·
I asked chatgpt's new image model to script and generate a series of comics starring itself as the main character. The results genuinely gave me chills. I'll post them all in a thread below.
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Cory Doctorow NO LONGER ON TWIT TER
The National Labor Relations Act put very strict limits on union organizing and union militancy. Now that Trump has effectively shut down the NLRB (by illegally firing a Democratic board member, leaving the board without a quorum), all bets are off: #strike-three-yer-out" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">pluralistic.net/2025/01/29/whi… 55/
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Zina
Zina@zinak·
Nominations for the 2025 UNSW Alumni Awards are open! Collect genuine karma points by nominating someone. More info here… 👇 linkedin.com/posts/zinakaye…
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