Anchorage Man

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Anchorage Man

Anchorage Man

@SethPartnow

NBA Data Science Manager @theScore/PENN. Author: “The Midrange Theory” Prev: Dir of N. American Sports @statsbomb Dir of Bball Research @bucks & @TheAthleticNBA

Milwaukee, WI Entrou em Aralık 2013
2.1K Seguindo38.1K Seguidores
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
If any literary agents follow me #onhere, my wife has completed her 1st novel entitled “The Last Prom on Earth” and is trying to find representation to help get it published maiaknolan.com/workwithme/ Anyone who ISN’T an agent or publisher but might know some, please signal boost!
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Mo Dakhil
Mo Dakhil@MoDakhil_NBA·
@SethPartnow @SportsStatsFan Nothing funnier than someone arguing about midrange shots with the guy who literally wrote a book on it titled THE MIDRANGE THEORY!
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Mo Dakhil
Mo Dakhil@MoDakhil_NBA·
This easily one of the dumber takes. The mid range game wasn't better, they just took more of them. Actually the midrange shooting FG% has stayed pretty consistent over the past 25 years, they take less of them now. You just enjoy watching missed shots, weird. Enjoy screaming into the void. Stats provided by @SethPartnow which will be in his upcoming book.
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Kyle Shanahan is Cursed@HomemadeLeba

@MoDakhil_NBA Lmao! No, you only have to guard the 3 and the rim because today’s players have ZERO mid range game. That makes it EASIER. Older eras had to actually guard the entire floor because players could hit from anywhere.

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SportsStatsFan
SportsStatsFan@SportsStatsFan·
Your take is heavily flawed. They are taking FEWER shots from mid range and thus are reserving them for more open mid range shots which leads to higher %. And/or, the spacing is leading to more open mid range shots while in the past they had to force tougher mid range shots which is probably what @HomemadeLeba is referring to. If a player tries to go from say 5 attempts from mid range shooting 40% to 10 attempts a game, his mid range fg% will more likely than not DECLINE. They are more selective on what mid range shots to take today than they were 15+ yrs ago.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
The bulk of assists awarded on “non potential assists” are this type of thing. Second dribble on a transition play is similar. From what I’ve seen, it’s reasonably consistent and there is virtually no home-road bias
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
Give or take 15-20% of assists awarded don’t show up as potential assists, and this is a perfect example case. Potential assists are restricted to <2.5 secs of possession and <2 dribbles. The second dribble kills the potential assist on both plays.
McCade Pearson@McCadeP8

@SethPartnow Here is a video of Thomas Bryant not getting a potential assist while the video next to it is Gobert getting an assist, but these are the exact same plays!!

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@GarrettBugay You’re looking in the wrong places, especially looking here rather than bsky if you want an actual discussion instead of just yelling at someone for saying your favorite team didn’t do everything perfectly. Bye now.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
“Just as good” despite Ant and McDaniels taking significant steps forward suggests to me they would have been better this year sans trade
Garrett Bugay@GarrettBugay

Would be curious to hear @SethPartnow take on Minnesota’s season now after his criticism of KAT trade. After the turn of the year, once DDV & Randle had become acclimated, the 24-25 Wolves were just as good as the 23-24 version. They advanced just as far in the playoffs. 1/2

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@NoTechBen Three dudes standing under the basket at all times and the restricted area becoming a mosh pit. Variety! It’s moronic and I’m disappointed in you.
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NoTechBen
NoTechBen@NoTechBen·
@SethPartnow It’s actually by far the best proposal to fix the current game. Would transform defensive options
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Gabriel Guzman
Gabriel Guzman@GabeLeftBrain·
Thanks to @dlee4three for inspiring the new tool update with this thread. Takes as input player annual salary, start year, and years signed for (along with optional age & position filters) and spits out a lost of players paid similarly in cap% terms along with value estimates.
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David Lee@dlee4three

his archetype (despite how valuable it's been for us) is not historically the type of player you want to tie up a ton of the cap in his younger playstyle comps are all under/around 10% of the cap most i'd be willing to go is $12M AAV

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@HPbasketball I can’t really think of a principled way to argue that 27.0 USG/64.8 TS is decidedly better or worse than 33.2 USG/63.3 USG. Even postionality cuts both ways. It’s easier for a guard to have high usage but easier for a C to have high TS.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@HPbasketball Everyone is just making shit up at this point. At least we don’t have the Embiid propaganda wing at work this time, but nobody has elucidated any clear standards for why it should or should not matter.
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Hardwood Paroxysm
Hardwood Paroxysm@HPbasketball·
My guy, he is shooting 62% from 2 compared to Shai's 58%, and better from three at 43% (!!!) to 37%. Minimum 200 jumpers, Jokic is the 9th most efficient shooter this season, Shai is 66th. I get it, Shai creates tough shots. But he also does not convert at what I would consider to be an impressive rate relative to MVP standards.
blake@BalakayM95

@HPbasketball I would say based on the way both play, SGA’s efficiency stats are more impressive than Jokic

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@ed_vergani @OdedRaz6 FWIW, I use a different baseline which is closer to (FGA * .7 - FGM)/2 and then there’s a bunch of little adjustments after that.
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Edoardo Vergani
Edoardo Vergani@ed_vergani·
Remade an old @SethPartnow plot using height instead of average position. Crazy how elite Gafford is as a rim protector—he stands out even more compared with players his height or taller. Truly in a league of his own when it comes to protecting the rim.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@HPbasketball Amother way of putting it is that a number of the peripheral Cavs happened to be playing way over their heads to start the year and that was never likely to continue
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Hardwood Paroxysm
Hardwood Paroxysm@HPbasketball·
Cavs have been the most fun team to watch this season, but I am afraid they might have Peaked Too Soon which is a thing I personally believe in that you don't have to.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
Don’t play games close enough for one call to matter. Problem fixed.
Mark Followill@MFollowill

Before turning the page on Wednesday, I've obviously been thinking a lot about it. The league has to find a remedy for situations like that. I absolutely understand the difficulty of going back and correcting non-calls but at a minimum the goaltending thing has to be fixed. There's already Hawkeye technology in place to assess goaltending objectively...so the league has to move to a system where whether it's called or not on the floor you can retroactively fix it...just as they do 2pters & 3pters. Or as was done in the OKC vs CLE game last night when a Max Strus shot was taken off the scoreboard because replay saw he stepped out of bounds. In an avg NBA game there are approx 10 blocked shots and about 0.6 defensive/offensive goaltending violations. There's no reason those plays can't be checked behind the scenes in the replay center with the use of Hawkeye and a replay center scoring changed can be initiated in the rare instances it's appropriate. That can be easily implemented in the first 46 mins. I accept there will be challenges on how to do it in the last two mins but figure it out. There's too much at stake for too many stakeholders to just throw your hands up in the air and say there's nothing we can do. On to the next and we (everyone on the MavsTV broadcast) appreciate the support and interest from all MFFLs! See y'all tonight. 👊

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@CharlieSokaitis You obviously know the comp structure for TV better than me, but that 15% has EASILY paid for itself in terms of structure of advances and royalties.
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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@knarsu3 @birdrightsnba @SravanNBA @HPbasketball @StoolGreenie Essentially if you go by the VERBAL nba dot com definitions, about 85% of threes attempted are open. Does that feel like an accurate description? Note that the issue is with the labeling rather than the data itself. On attempts closer to the rim, the labels work much better.
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Krishna Narsu
Krishna Narsu@knarsu3·
@birdrightsnba @SravanNBA @HPbasketball Well mainly where @StoolGreenie is wrong is that the Open 3PA that the NBA classifies as Open should not be classified that way. Should only be calling "Wide Open" 3-pointers open x.com/SethPartnow/st…
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow

@bbstats @AyCeeAyBee @datafox21 @ElGee35 Basically, these two combined with some film study convinced me that only the last group should be called "open" rather than the last 2 groups.

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Hardwood Paroxysm
Hardwood Paroxysm@HPbasketball·
So what's interesting is that Synergy does NOT have this. They have it 8 unguarded catch-and-shoot for Boston, 23 guarded. And going back and watching, I think Synergy's a LOT closer to evaluating the contests than the tracking.
Dan Greenberg@StoolGreenie

Tracking data is in. Celts 3pt shooting yesterday vs OKC "Open 3PA": 5-19 (26%) "Wide Open 3PA": 3-20 (15%) "Tight Coverage 3PA": 1-7 (14%) So, of the 46 3PA, 39 of them were clean looks and the Celts went a combined 8-39 (20%) OKC's defense was incredible at forcing TOs, but the shooting wasn't really their defense

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Anchorage Man
Anchorage Man@SethPartnow·
@SkoolboyLu the part of that chapter that I didn’t know how to fully articulate until, ironically, I left the front office is balancing “salary efficiency” with roster spot & minutes efficiency because aside from true max guys, each tends to be best served by a different category of player.
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!@SkoolboyLu·
@SethPartnow Seth this advice means a lot I appreciate the read, most if not all data came from basketball reference. I’ll def use the suggestions and adjust the project to make it more holistic. Happy Holidays to you and your family
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!@SkoolboyLu·
Which NBA teams are maximizing their salary cap? 🏀💰 Here's a look at team efficiency, the best value players, and more! @luisdepradine/maximizing-value-analyzing-nba-salary-efficiency-3232c5c225bb" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@luisdepradine…
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@MoDakhil_NBA @SportsStatsFan @HomemadeLeba @GarrettBugay @NoTechBen @GabeLeftBrain @sradjoker @dlee4three