David Lee

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David Lee

David Lee

@dlee4three

Nuanced & Informative NBA & Draft Analysis | GT ‘24 | Data Engineer | Hawks Film Room: @atlhawksfilm | Writer @afronews | hoops for the people @thehwcollectlve

Atlanta, GA Katılım Eylül 2017
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
Introducing the top 10 2026 prospects by AURA score, a blended percentile score among every prospect since 2006: 1. Boozer 2. Graves 3. Wilson 4. Okorie 5. Wagler 6. Flemings 7. Swain 8. Dybantsa 9. Philon 10. Evans Explore every draft class down below👇🏽
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David Lee@dlee4three

v4 of The 5th Factor just dropped, featuring: - AURA Score, my debut draft model that spans back to 2006 with NBA archetype projections plus EPM/EW/DPM - a custom recipe for NCAA RAPM - plus a daily tracker for SL performances w/ PBP stats the5thfactor.io

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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
@NBACouchside he might be playing in the absolute worst context possible for his game in general this Bulls SL roster the most incongruent ever i don’t get how this was the group of guys they put together
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kev
kev@NBACouchside·
Really not sure what to make of Swain being so bad in summer league so far. Doesn't look like the same guy. Not finishing at the rim, not handling with confidence, not able to set guys up, and the defense hasn't popped positively
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
Caleb Wilson only attempted 3 stepback 3s in his time at UNC, but I think his efficient energy transfer on his many spinning/turnaround middies translated to his OTD 3s tonight he's an incredible athlete, the coordination & speed in which he squares up is just as impressive
David Lee@dlee4three

.52 3PR is crazy in a vacuum for Wilson to put up after a 24 games sample where he attempted just 27 (.09 3PR) but it’s even wilder that ~8 of his 3PA were OTD step backs AND several were feet behind the line AND every single one was effortlessly fluid

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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
@Randojm_ one of these is more repeatable (because it’s in line with their pre-NBA profile)
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
.52 3PR is crazy in a vacuum for Wilson to put up after a 24 games sample where he attempted just 27 (.09 3PR) but it’s even wilder that ~8 of his 3PA were OTD step backs AND several were feet behind the line AND every single one was effortlessly fluid
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
or maybe it isn’t that crazy and Caleb Wilson’s dominance on the glass, touch, extremely polished passing & overwhelming feel indicators all belied him being exceptionally skilled and more likely to develop rapidly x.com/100guaranteed/…
avi@100guaranteed

the most important precocious skill integration is oreb-assist-stocks this is the ultimate functional athleticism x feel proxy, a synthesis of skills that exponentially raises ceiling beyond perception of raw box stats/bpm lots and lots of instructive developmental stories here

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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
come on man
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
Darryn Peterson's 35.1 USG% ranks 4th highest in this year's summer league, 96th%ile historically at his position Here are the other guards to surpass 30 USG%, 15 TOV% with a sub 1 AST/USG since 2017 in their 1st SL Nickeil Alexander-Walker Collin Sexton Donovan Mitchell
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TrashPanda@TrashPanda0523

DP rimfluence just not there relative to perceived role. Doesn't get all the way to the rim for some reason. Decreases playmaking opps. 17 assists, 18 TO on surely very high usage so far in SL.

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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
it was the 3rd most predictive of the stats I surveyed in terms of general rookie year translation. NAW & Mitch only played about 40 mins more total, I’d expect this to persist for DP to an extent. NAW SL AST/USG: 0.92 -> Rookie Year: .91 -> NBA Career: .78 Sexton: .62 -> .61 -> .77 Spida: .52 -> .66 -> .76 x.com/dlee4three/sta…
David Lee@dlee4three

I combed through NBA Summer League play-by-play data to determine which stats are most persistent through a prospect’s Summer League stint and their rookie season, as an expansion of @owenlhjphillips study from last year.

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Tanner
Tanner@tanner__wallace·
@dlee4three All three of these dudes played at least 5 SL games so any DP agenda has to wait until at least Wednesday. (Also curious how your AST/USG regression did at predicting these 3 specifically if these are the comps)
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Polb
Polb@Alessandro36304·
@dlee4three no ebuka? i thought hed be on here
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
@bask3twatch3r @Flawlesslikeeli or you’re underestimating just how much variance there is in basketball projection, the threshold for significance isn’t universal across applications
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
@Flawlesslikeeli R^2 above .25 is statistically significant, AST/USG is very relevant
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On Ball Creator
On Ball Creator@onballcreator·
dude it's summer league. It doesn't matter. Most of the players playing summer league won't even be on NBA rosters this season. Basically 0 guys Peterson was playing w/ last night will actually be in Utah's rotation 3 games is far too small of a sample size to base much on If the charts say otherwise, then correlation does not equal causation
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David Lee
David Lee@dlee4three·
@OTownNBA yeah it’s cause i don’t have any euro data loaded so it doesn’t map him correctly
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