Matt Lefebvre

@Happygilmore776 @vcdgf555 Nothing has been proven to hit these IRBM’s. Ukraine has patriot and THAADs iirc and nothing can touch these - as they are able to manoeuvre in re-entry to evade AD interceptors.

@mattlef2 @vcdgf555 Zero air defense.

Each warhead looks odd for some reason.

@PiratePatriot47 @GordoCDA They do not carry conventional warheads, either the MREV’s are empty, or they are armed with spicy warheads.

@mattlef2 @GordoCDA If it's not nuclear armed, I don't see why it would be a big deal

Pay attention to the signal, not the noise. All signals are strikes on Iran are imminent.

@SoroushP4 @MarioBendigali @GordoCDA Nope. It’s a nuclear only strike vehicle - what makes it special is its hypersonic with multiple re-entry vehicles.

@MarioBendigali @mattlef2 @GordoCDA Interesting. I thought they always carried conventional warheads.

@MarioBendigali @SoroushP4 @GordoCDA It can’t carry conventional warheads

@SoroushP4 @mattlef2 @GordoCDA It did not have any warheads previously. If its used now it may have warheads which almost assuredly will not be nuclear

@PiratePatriot47 @GordoCDA I’m not saying anything. I’m saying that there is reported intelligence that indicates they are preparing one or multiple Oreshnik missiles, and there is discussions in the five eyes intel community that these are armed.

@mattlef2 @GordoCDA Are you trying to say they are going to nuke Ukraine this time?

@PiratePatriot47 @GordoCDA Both were empty

@mattlef2 @GordoCDA Why would that matter? They have done it twice, one was in Jan this year

@CKraggy @vcdgf555 They were empty

@mattlef2 @vcdgf555 Oreshnik has been fired at Ukraine at least twice with non nuclear warheads.

Ruh roh.

@DefenceGeek @hey_itsmyturn All hands like this is not for a peace deal. The Russian strike tonight is prompting a massive reaction from the US. Potential armed Oreshnik, and talk of summer movements into Baltics. Do we know if there have been concentrations of troops in Belarus recently?

A sudden flurry of other movements that have caught my eye in Europe, and now this? 👀

@vcdgf555 IIRC the oreshnik can’t carry a conventional warhead - but they can carry carrying size of spicy warheads - with scalable yields.

@vcdgf555 Yea. Everything that I’ve seen and heard from Canadian side, and other five eyes, is that this missile is armed - not hollow like the past launches. Russia is losing and with the major UA strikes on oil- RU is getting desperate. I could see a small yield weapon as a warning.

A deal is definitely around the corner, pakistani sources tell me.

@michaelh992 This makes no sense - as the Qatari and Pakistani delegations all left in a rush to get out before nightfall. All signs are pointing to conflict.

Iran reports a "rapprochement" with the United States towards an agreement (state television)

Need to work out those cadence muscles on camera again. Pacing is off, notes appreciated :)

The Xgimi Projector That's Taking Over 2026 #hometheatre #xgimi #projector #gaming youtu.be/l7bhaXdU4BM?si… via @YouTube

Just shot my first YT video in YEARS My god it feels good to be back, but I’m so out of practice it’s insane.

@ArmsControlWonk This isn’t a real threat. However China can and probably will respond in other ways like a direct economic decoupling or export restriction on major precursor chemicals needed for chip production or some sort of naval blockade of Taiwan.

So, let’s game this out. A Chinese flagged tanker pays the toll and transits the strait. We interdict it? What if the tanker is escorted by a Chinese warship?

@SecretaryWright Please send whatever your smoking my way. Thats some good shit.

Tonight, President Trump delivered a strong message to the American people. His resolve to take action in Iran marks a decisive moment in history—one that previous leaders had deferred for far too long. For 47 years, Iran has been responsible for the deaths of American service members, threatened the global energy supply, and destabilized the region. President Trump recognized that the world could no longer allow this to continue. This period of short-term disruption to energy markets is temporary. Ultimately, the President’s decisive actions will lead to a more peaceful, prosperous, and securely energized world. We stand firmly with our exceptional military as they work to protect our nation.