@matt_slotnick @JaredSleeper Soon you'll be looking down at Anthropic Park from the Glasswing floor
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NateM
741 posts
@JaredSleeper “Anthropic should consider buying slack, whatever the complications” what are you insinuating here 😂
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We’ve been thinking hard about @AnthropicAI and the white-collar productivity stack.
Microsoft is the 800-pound gorilla, winning with a bundling playbook for decades.
We made a deck with some primary-research-backed recs on how Anthropic can beat it.
Link in replies, enjoy!
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@davidshor Do it again but flip the order. People anchor to the first option. If they read "only people who pressed the red button survive" first, the results will shift way higher towards red.
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We asked this to a large sample of nationally representative Americans - blue wins by a 3:1 margin!
Tim Urban@waitbutwhy
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
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How Midwestern your are is directly proportional to your proximity to Gary, Indiana.
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@BucknSF Yeah I’m not sure people are thinking through how friction going to zero is going to increase supply/output in a lot of different places downstream
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We will have more lawyers because AI zeroes the friction of suing people
It’s going to unambiguously bad for society and I don’t really know what the solution is
Aaron Levie@levie
We will likely have more lawyers in the future than today, because: 1) AI will cause so many more people to ask legal questions which will encourage them to need to verify or execute through an actual lawyer. 2) AI will cause an explosion of more and more exotic legal terms that lawyers will be spending even more time reviewing redlines or new cases around. 3) All the new areas of law that now are emerging around the use of AI itself in every single industry. AI introduces an explosion of IP, privacy, and regulatory compliance challenges across all verticals. This has historical precedent as well. Between the creation of the PC and the internet (both technologies that made the legal profession far more efficient), the ABA pegs active attorneys having gone from roughly 400,000 in 1975 to roughly 1,375,000 in 2025. When we make professions more efficient and automated, often demand for them goes up not down.
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@aakashgupta You should try this before deciding to hit send on all these AI slop tweets. This used to be good account
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Karpathy just exposed the one thing every AI company is hoping you never figure out.
An LLM spent 4 hours helping him build a perfect argument. Then he asked it to argue the opposite. It demolished the original case just as convincingly.
The model has no position. It has infinite positions. It will argue any direction with equal competence and zero hesitation. The sycophancy everyone complains about is a symptom of this: the model's default behavior is to argue YOUR direction, whatever that happens to be.
But Karpathy's right that this makes LLMs the best steel-manning tool ever built. Every founder, PM, and strategist should be running their strongest conviction through "now argue the opposite" before they ship anything. The model that just spent 4 hours perfecting your argument knows exactly where it's weakest.
The failure mode is clear: 99% of people never run the second prompt.
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy
- Drafted a blog post - Used an LLM to meticulously improve the argument over 4 hours. - Wow, feeling great, it’s so convincing! - Fun idea let’s ask it to argue the opposite. - LLM demolishes the entire argument and convinces me that the opposite is in fact true. - lol The LLMs may elicit an opinion when asked but are extremely competent in arguing almost any direction. This is actually super useful as a tool for forming your own opinions, just make sure to ask different directions and be careful with the sycophancy.
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@realcavsfans If Mitchell AND Harden extend (which is a proxy for reaching ECF or more) but if both don't or just one does then we lose the trade
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@powerbottomdad1 @joekent16jan19 You used to be pretty good at Twitter, what happened?
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After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today.
I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby.
It has been an honor serving under @POTUS and @DNIGabbard and leading the professionals at NCTC.
May God bless America.
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@syntheticxlong @SenThomTillis Yea because otherwise that could've been used for one day of war with Iran
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@SenThomTillis Glad you approve JPow spending 2.5b of my tax dollars to renovate a freaking office
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This ruling confirms just how weak and frivolous the criminal investigation of Chairman Powell is and it is nothing more than a failed attack on Fed independence.
We all know how this is going to end and the D.C. U.S. Attorney’s Office should save itself further embarrassment and move on.
Appealing the ruling will only delay the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.
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@Austen Forget the logistics. Would you pay for a year lease and only get 300 days of occupancy because your landlord needed to turnover the property after the last tenant? Obv not, so why should consumers get <24 hrs per rental period just so hotels can run 100% occupancy?
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Think through the logistics for 30 seconds and it will all make sense
☥𝐋𝐞𝐧𝐧𝐨𝐱@fw_lennox1
4pm hotel check-in and 11am check-out is one of the biggest scam in our society😂
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@bobbyfijan Housing is obviously a much better use for the land, but there's a graveyard under the golf course. It's undevelopable
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I think we can all agree that a golf course on public land is maybe not *quite* the best use of public park land
Bobby Fijan@bobbyfijan
Just imagine if we built housing in the Preisido. You could wake up every day and see this
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@OMGCapital True now but the thesis will change as robotics gets priced in
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@powerbottomdad1 Assuming they can manage all the regulations. Remember Cruise? Just because they've started unsupervised rides doesn't guarantee anything a few years from now
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people still dont understand this kills waymo. Tesla can make 2 million self driving cars a year at around 25% the cost of waymo. waymo predicts theyll be able to make 20k a year, a few years from now.
they'll be undercut and die
sucks@powerbottomdad1
haters and nay sayers all the way down in the grave. it's game over for you
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@RichardHanania But you don't care about causing more problems by using military force in other countries?
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NYT just interviewed Brian O’Hara, the police chief of Minneapolis. He discusses how ICE isn’t fighting crime, but is in fact causing more problems in the community. An absolutely amazing excerpt here.
O’Hara: So we've just gotten a pretty dramatic increase in 911 calls from people in the community related to a lot of the street enforcement that's happening. And I mean, it's everything from people are being arrested, and their cars are left in the roadway, sometimes blocking the street. And at one case left when it wasn't even placed in park and was rolling down the road.
NYT: Wait, wait. So ICE officials are taking someone out of their car, arresting them, and their car is not even put in park.
O’Hara: We had that happen. We had another time where there was a dog in the car and they left the dog in the car.
NYT: Wow.
O’Hara: I mean, even this morning, we've gotten calls for individuals who were pepper sprayed by ICE. There's just a variety of calls for service that we then have to manage and triage that were not happening before.
Low standards, recruiting ideological extremists, and a mission to terrorize communities is a bad combination.
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Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: federalreserve.gov/newsevents/spe…
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Top 100 population US cities (1 per metro) I’ve lived in or spent more than a few weeks in, how many for you?
NYC
LA
Chicago
Houston
San Diego
Dallas
Austin
San Francisco
Denver
DC
Vegas
Boston
Portland
Atlanta
Tulsa
New Orleans
St Louis
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U…
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@Noahpinion and let Google Maps work so people can actually plan a trip. That's a bigger barrier than the visa
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Maybe if China implemented visa free travel, more Americans would know it
@levelsio@levelsio
I keep annoyingly saying this too The only Asia that most Americans know and want to know is Japan And maybe Taiwan They have no clue about China, won't visit it, barely any clue what's going on in South East Asia, and their ideas about it are from decades ago which you can see back whenever they show up in popular culture like on Netflix It's a real blindspot that most don't visit the biggest threat to their global supremacy and try learn from them to avoid them taking the #1 spot
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