Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️

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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️

Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️

@LeftieStats

Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by @EleanoraStats. All opinions my own. She/her pronouns

She/her Присоединился Eylül 2018
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
Correct. The only moral position on this war is to hope for a clear victory by Iran and the total humiliating defeat of the United States, Israel and Britain.
Archie Woodrow@SamuraiApology

was going to say something similar: really think there is an important sense in which this was not just a war to defend Iran's sovereignty, but ultimately to defend the possibility of sovereignty for EVERY country besides the US & Israel.

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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
🗳️#GE2029 estimate | North-West England: ➡️ Ref: 31% (+14) 🔴 Lab: 24% (-20) 🟢 Grn: 17% (+10) 🔵 Con: 14% (-5) 🟠 Lib: 8% (=) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 44 (+44) 🔴 Lab: 12 (-53) 🟢 Grn: 9 (+9) 🔵 Con: 3 (=) 🟠 Lib: 3 (=) ⚪️ Oth: 2 (=) +/- vs GE2024
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
Bombing Iranian territory is an act of war. This endless insistence that we are not at war with Iran, when we quite clearly are, is completely surreal. And the media, in their role as dutiful servants of the state, are going along with it x.com/Steven_Swinfor…
Steven Swinford@Steven_Swinford

Breaking: Britain has given the US the green light to use RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia to carry out raids on Iranian missile sites that are attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz It's the same legal basis as before - collective self-defence - but the targets are new. They are being described once again as 'US defensive operations' rather than offensive strikes “Ministers condemned Iran’s expansion of its targets to include international shipping. They agreed that Iran’s reckless strikes, including on Red Ensign vessels and those of our close allies and Gulf partners, risked pushing the region further into crisis and worsening the economic impact being felt in the UK and around the world. “They confirmed that the agreement for the US to use UK bases in the collective self-defence of the region includes US defensive operations to degrade the missile sites and capabilities being used to attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz. “They reaffirmed that the principles behind the UK’s approach to the conflict remain the same: the UK remains committed to defending our people, our interests and our allies, acting in accordance with international law and not getting drawn into the wider conflict. “Ministers underlined the need for urgent de-escalation and a swift resolution to the war.”

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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
🗳️ Senedd estimate (March): - Votes - 🟩Plaid: 30.4% (+9.7) ➡️Ref: 26.7% (+25.7) 🔴Lab: 15.3% (-21.0) 🔵Con: 10.4% (-14.3) 🟢Grn: 9.6% (+5.1) 🟠Lib: 6.0% (+1.6) - Seats - 🟩Plaid: 37 (+15) ➡️Ref: 34 (+34) 🔴Lab: 13 (-31) 🔵Con: 6 (-24) 🟢Grn: 4 (+4) 🟠Lib: 2 (+2) +/- vs 2021
Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ tweet media
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
Despite dropping by double digits (-13pts) compared to their 2021 vote share result, the SNP would win 62 seats, a drop of just two seats since 2021. SNP would win 48% of seats despite having just 29% of the List vote, with all seats coming from FPTP ballot.
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
🗳️ Vote share (March 2026): -- FPTP -- 🟡 SNP: 35% (-13) ➡️ Ref: 18% (+18) 🔴 Lab: 17% (-5) 🔵 Con: 10% (-12) 🟠 Lib: 10% (+3) 🟢 Grn: 8% (+7) -- PR -- 🟡 SNP: 29% (-11) ➡️ Ref: 17% (+17) 🔴 Lab: 16% (-2) 🟢 Grn: 13% (+4) 🔵 Con: 11% (-12) 🟠 Lib: 10% (+5) +/- vs 2021 result
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
🗳️ Holyrood seat estimate (March 2026): 🟡 SNP: 62 (-2) ➡️ Ref: 19 (+19) 🔴 Lab: 17 (-5) 🟢 Grn: 13 (+5) 🔵 Con: 9 (-22) 🟠 Lib: 9 (+5) Result: SNP minority government 🟡 -- +/- vs 2021 result
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
@CharliePDG @PartTimeBlue The problem with assuming "tactical voting" will win the day is that nobody has a clue who the best-placed party to beat Reform is anymore. It works in by-elections because all attention is focused on 1 seat, but when there are 632 seats (#GE2029) or thousands of seats? Nah
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
🗳️#GE2029 estimate | North-East England: ➡️ Ref: 36% (+16) 🔴 Lab: 24% (-21) 🟢 Grn: 16% (+10) 🔵 Con: 15% (-6) 🟠 Lib: 6% (=) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 22 (+22) 🟢 Grn: 2 (+2) 🔵 Con: 2 (+1) 🔴 Lab: 1 (-25) +/- vs GE2024
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Blues Fan!
Blues Fan!@PartTimeBlue·
@LockwoodFl99045 @LeftieStats Yep and Reform UK are predicted to wipe labour out and take control of the majority of North East councils.
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Flash Lockwood
Flash Lockwood@LockwoodFl99045·
@LeftieStats Wow. That's incredible. Are there local elections in May in the area?
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Dovah
Dovah@Dovah1000·
People that work are actually petite bourgeoise because its actually boomers who are the working class because they worked 'proper' working class jobs whereas all jobs now are woke. Therefore the Greens are a middle class party.
Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️@LeftieStats

‼️EXIT POLL | How Gorton and Denton voted: -- Workers -- 🟢 Green: 49% ➡️ Reform: 28% 🔴 Labour: 21% -- Retired -- ➡️ Reform: 48% 🔴 Labour: 34% 🟢 Green: 13% Poll: @Survation, 27 Feb-8 Mar

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Paul Jenkins
Paul Jenkins@PaulJen16915538·
@LeftieStats Shows that The Greens cant win seats in traditional working class areas which is going to be a problem for them because you need those seats to help you win an election
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
Full question asked to respondents: "If there were a UK General Election tomorrow under [preferential voting], how would you vote by ranking the following parties in the order of your preference? Put 1 for your most preferred party ... and so on".
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
‼️POLL | #GE2029 without any tactical voting* ➡️ Ref: 27% (+12) 🟢 Grn: 23% (+16) 🔵 Con: 17% (-7) 🔴 Lab: 16% (-19) 🟠 Lib: 13% (+1) Poll: @YouGov, 15-16 Mar (+/- vs GE2024) --- *Voters asked to state true first preference. Excludes respondents who said "Don't Know".
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
‼️EXIT POLL | How Gorton and Denton voted: -- Workers -- 🟢 Green: 49% ➡️ Reform: 28% 🔴 Labour: 21% -- Retired -- ➡️ Reform: 48% 🔴 Labour: 34% 🟢 Green: 13% Poll: @Survation, 27 Feb-8 Mar
Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ tweet media
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
@ScottishBevan Dude, Corbyn's Shadow Foreign Secretary spoke in support of the air strikes from the frontbench. Corbyn opposed them, his party did not and he did not impose any discipline on them
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Fraser
Fraser@ScottishBevan·
@LeftieStats Why didn't he join Labour under Corbyn whom also opposed the airstrikes? In fact he said he couldn't vote for Corbyn because he was antisemitic.
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Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️
When Zack Polanski joined the Green Party, the party was polling at just 1.7% nationally. Would be a bit weird for a careerist to jump ship to a party with even less support at the time than LDs, wouldn't you agree? BTW the real reason he left was that he opposed bombing Syria
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