Champa Bay ретвитнул
Champa Bay
894 posts


@Last2ndFleetCMC @SarahIronside6 Hey LastInClass these are celebs???
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@SarahIronside6 I don’t know who needs to see this but Ms Ironside definitely does need to catch up with evilness of Democrats
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Champa Bay ретвитнул

NEW: Norah O'Donnell plays dumb as Trump tears into her after she brought up how the shooting suspect called him a “r*pist” in his manifesto.
O'Donnell: “He also wrote this: ‘I'm no longer willing to permit a ped*phile, rap*st, and traitor…’”
Trump: “I was waiting for you to read that because I knew you would, because you're horrible people. Horrible people.”
O'Donnell: “Oh, do you think he was referring to you?”
Trump: “Excuse me, excuse me… You read that crap from some sick person…”
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@RoxysRumble @washingtonpost I bet that bot farm in Indonesia really comfy
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@washingtonpost Ahh yes. The issue here is "trump's fault" not the radical left and their hate. Not the fact that we have thousands of brain washed Americans who legit think they are fighting hitler thanks to communists like your rag. Get fucked.
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Breaking news: The Trump administration provided a lower level of security for the White House correspondents’ dinner than it has for other gatherings of high-ranking officials, according to officials familiar with the plan. wapo.st/4eb1pRg
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@HenryMa79561893 posted at 6:07
the curse of the six seven strikes again
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@WarMonitors War really is hell. Curious about the drone pilot - did they enjoy? Seeing the resignation on his face would be haunting
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@clashreport What really happened at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner that Trump had to be rushed off the stage?
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@No3sports Now removed from that school down south, and part of my Bucs family, we cool. That 41-17 still stings though lol
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Champa Bay ретвитнул

@SnipSnapPolitic @MAGAVoice The U.S. spent more on munitions in the first 100 hours of Epic Fury than it typically spends on all vaccine research in an entire year (~$1.5B). 24-days in > than entire NIH spent on all vaccine technology research over 20 years ($17.2B '00-'19)
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RFK Jr just exposed the absurdity of government bureaucracy in real time.
Senator Warnock crying about "cuts to the rabies office" when there are 1-3 cases PER YEAR in America.
This is why we have $35 trillion in debt - politicians defending useless offices that employ dozens to handle what one person could manage.
"I think ONE PERSON manning that office can handle the traffic" - perfect response to government waste defenders.
Every department has rabies offices - bloated bureaucracies solving problems that barely exist while real issues get ignored.
🚨 Government waste investigations and bureaucracy fraud: @SnipSnapPolitic" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@SnipSnapPolit…
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Champa Bay ретвитнул
Champa Bay ретвитнул

Florida Roster Outlook
If Thomas Haugh returns, the level of talent Florida retains will be unmatched in the modern portal era. A predicted 87% of their minutes would be played by returners.
Decent chance Florida has the best roster in the country, per EvanMiya.com.

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Champa Bay ретвитнул

Orange production in Florida has collapsed over 95% in less than 25 years. 100% of trees are now infected with a disease officially deemed “incurable.”
Who killed the Florida orange? My investigation, in @slate, into the lost empire of the old citrus state.
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Champa Bay ретвитнул
Champa Bay ретвитнул

#Iran’s Lebanon Dilemma: Has Tehran Abandoned Hezbollah?
🔹The massive Israeli strikes in Lebanon – coming less than a day after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement – have injected immediate uncertainty into planned negotiations in Islamabad. From Tehran’s perspective, any ceasefire that excludes Lebanon is fundamentally incomplete and unacceptable.
🔹Iranian officials have consistently emphasized that, based on understandings reached through Pakistani mediation, the ceasefire was supposed to be regional in scope. The exclusion of Lebanon is therefore not seen as a technical oversight, but as a political shift.
🔹In Tehran’s reading, that shift reflects a deliberate decision by Donald Trump to align more closely with Israeli priorities following consultations with Benjamin Netanyahu.
🔹This has already reinforced a long-standing concern in Iran, i.e., the unreliability of U.S. commitments. Entering negotiations under these conditions is seen as strategically risky and politically costly.
🔹At the same time, Iran has drawn a firm red line. It has made clear that it will not participate in negotiations while Israeli strikes against Hezbollah continue. A reduction in the tempo of attacks is not sufficient, and Tehran is demanding a complete halt.
🔹This position reflects deeper structural pressures – both regional and domestic – that constrain Iran’s room for maneuver.
🔹In Iran, analysts increasingly interpret the situation as a calculated strategy by Washington and Tel Aviv to push Iran into a lose-lose scenario.
🔹If Iran escalates militarily in response to Israeli actions, it risks being blamed, especially domestically, for breaking the ceasefire. This is particularly sensitive given widespread public fatigue with war.
🔹A significant portion of the Iranian population, while not necessarily supportive of the regime, welcomed the ceasefire as a pathway toward stability. Renewed escalation could therefore trigger public backlash.
🔹This is compounded by an existing perception among many Iranians that the government invests heavily in regional conflicts, particularly in Lebanon and Gaza, at the expense of domestic priorities.
🔹In such a context, any Iranian military response could be framed internally not as national defense, but as a war fought on behalf of external actors. This interpretation that carries serious political risks.
🔹At the same time, restraint is not cost-free. Failing to respond risks alienating the Islamic Republic’s core ideological base, which has significant sympathy toward Hezbollah and expects tangible action.
🔹These constituencies – though smaller – are highly organized and politically significant. Their frustration with perceived inaction is already visible.
🔹As a result, Tehran finds itself navigating between two competing domestic pressures: a war-weary public on one side, and a mobilized ideological base on the other.
🔹Iran’s current approach reflects an attempt to balance these pressures. Rather than escalating directly, it is combining diplomatic maneuvering with indirect forms of pressure.
🔹On the diplomatic front, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has engaged regional and European counterparts, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive, region-wide ceasefire.
🔹At the same time, Iran has avoided direct military escalation against Israel and instead turned to its most critical leverage point, namely the Strait of Hormuz. The aim is to push the U.S. to constrain Israel.
🔹Despite expectations that maritime traffic would return to normal after the ceasefire, only a handful of ships passed since yesterday, indicating a deliberate effort to sustain pressure.
🔹From the perspective of some Iranian analysts, this form of economic and maritime pressure is more strategically valuable than missile retaliation. There is a growing view that limited missile strikes against Israel would achieve little beyond signaling solidarity, and could even play into Israel’s hands.
🔹The argument here is that Israel may actually prefer continued escalation, and that its demonstrated resilience in absorbing Iranian strikes has exposed the limits of Iran’s long-range missile deterrence. This has shifted the debate within Iran. The question is no longer whether to respond, but how.
🔹One camp argues that Iran could resume direct strikes against Israel while maintaining the ceasefire with the United States, effectively decoupling the two fronts.
🔹In this scenario, Washington – if genuinely interested in de-escalation – might tolerate limited Iran-Israel confrontation, allowing negotiations to proceed in parallel. Proponents see this as advantageous: it would sideline the United States and allow Iran to confront Israel directly.
🔹The opposing camp is more skeptical. They argue that even without direct U.S. offensive involvement, Washington would continue to provide Israel with logistical, defensive, and intelligence support. From this perspective, the idea of U.S. disengagement is largely illusory.
🔹Moreover, restricting the conflict to Iran and Israel would reduce Iran’s strategic flexibility. Tehran’s most effective leverage has come from its ability to target U.S. interests across the region, not just Israel itself.
🔹This creates a stark strategic dilemma: either escalate broadly, including against U.S. interests, or maintain the ceasefire and pursue diplomacy.
🔹Beyond these immediate tactical debates, Iranian analysts are increasingly focused on two broader strategic concerns.
🔹The first is reputational. Failure to support Hezbollah risks undermining the principle of mutual support that underpins Iran’s regional network.
🔹If Tehran does not act, allies in Iraq, Yemen, and elsewhere may begin to question whether the costs of supporting Iran are reciprocated. Such a shift would weaken Iran’s deterrence posture and erode its influence across the “axis of resistance.”
🔹The second concern is structural: the future balance of power in the region.
🔹Iran appears to view the current moment as a rare opportunity to reshape that balance, particularly through its leverage in the Persian Gulf.
🔹From this perspective, continued Israeli operations in Lebanon are not just tactical, but they are strategic moves aimed at fragmenting Iran’s regional network.
🔹By isolating and pressuring individual nodes like Hezbollah, Israel may be attempting to prevent coordinated, multi-front responses. Over time, this could create a new strategic reality in which Iran’s allies are weakened sequentially, leaving Tehran itself more exposed.
🔹Iran’s objective, by contrast, is to preserve its model of collective deterrence, in the sense that any attack on one actor should trigger a broader regional response.
🔹This logic explains Tehran’s insistence on including Lebanon in the ceasefire. For Iran, this is not a secondary issue, but central to preserving its regional architecture.
🔹Ultimately, the current crisis is being interpreted in Tehran as both a tactical challenge and a strategic inflection point.
🔹How Iran navigates this moment – balancing domestic pressures, alliance commitments, and great-power dynamics – will shape not only the fate of the negotiations, but probably also the contours of future of the future regional order.
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@GasBuddyGuy Up 10 cents in KC this morning.
Now 90 cents since March 1.
It's $3.49 now. It was $2.59 or below.
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Champa Bay ретвитнул

@Wuki Prove it then. Remix the B-52’s Rock Lobster 🦞 only the true Wuki will surface
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